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 | Jesse - Le Cafe Américain |
US Dollar Valued In Gold Since 1718  |
| How many ounces of gold can $1000 buy?
The answer over time is instructive. Here is some knowledge about money.
It is remarkable how few economists really understand this, and what it means, what it implies.
Here is Paul Krugman's opinion on the currency war and the US dollar in a recent piece called Godwin and the Greenback. I think it speaks for itself. And he is certainly not the worst economic voice out there, which is what makes this so disconcerting. At least he is not an ausSunday, October 25, 2020 |
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 | Nathan Lewis - New World Economics |
| God, Gold and Guns |
| We’ve been looking into One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter.
October 2, 2017: One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter
October 14, 2017: One Nation Under Gold #2: The Silliness of the Bretton Woods Years
Now, we will follow Ledbetter’s account of the end of Bretton Woods in 1971, up to the present.
The account of the 1971 devaluation was, following the pattern of this book, long on details but short on insight. It seemed to people at the time that they “had no choice,” thatSaturday, October 24, 2020 |
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 | John Paul Koning - Bullion Star |
| How California stayed with gold when the rest of the U.S. adopted fiat money |
| We are ten years into the age of bitcoin. But people are still using national currencies like yen, dollars, and pounds to buy things. What does history have to say about switches from one type of monetary system to another? In this post I’ll dig for lessons from California’s successful resistance to a fiat standard that was imposed on it in the 1860s by the rest of the U.Saturday, January 19, 2019 |
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 | Chris Powell - GATA |
| Iran's break with the dollar is easier said than done |
| A little over two weeks ago Iran eliminated another function of the U.S. dollar in its internal workings in a move positioned amid yearslong plans to reduce dependency on the greenback. The consequences will be manifold and interconnected, but there are discrepancies in views concerning what will happen as a result among experts and officials.
On Feb. 28, the Ministry of Industry, Mines, and Trade announced by way of a directive that all traders are henceforth barred from registering their imporSaturday, March 17, 2018 |
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 | Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Are We Going to $1,120 or $1,510 No Matter What, Own Some Gold! |
| Who will win: bulls or bears? The LBMA published its annual forecast survey for precious metals prices in 2018. Gold prices range from $1,120 to $1,510. Where is the price of the yellow metal headed?
Summary of the Survey
The views of about 30 analysts in the 2018 forecasts are strongly divergent. The average price of gold is projected to be $1,318, so it is expected to be around the current level, but almost 5 percent higher than the last year’s average of $1,257.12. However, the average gold pFriday, March 16, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| EUR/USD – Something Old, Something New and… Something Blue |
| Since the beginning of the month all battles between bulls and bears run in a fairly narrow area, which unfortunately doesn’t create good investment opportunities. In today's alert, we looked at the broader perspective of EUR/USD and the USD Index itself, and we already have our own types where we will likely open next positions. If you do not want to miss the levels that we think about, take a look at our today's analysis.
EUR/USD
From today’s point of view, we see that the situation in the Friday, March 16, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Are We in Late Cycle Implications for Gold |
| In the previous edition of the Market Overview, we explored the fascinating history of bull and bear cycles in both the U.S. dollar and gold. Since then, the idea of cyclicity doesn’t lead me to drop off, disrupting my sleep cycles. Let’s then dig into the topic. We start with the business cycles, as in the recent Gold News Monitor we wrote that “we are in the late stages of the economic cycle – as the cycle matures, volatility increases and investors start to buy more gold as a hedge.” Why do wSaturday, March 10, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Make Gold, Not (Trade) War! |
| “So it begins.” This is what King Theoden said right before the Battle of Helm’s Deep in the Lord of the Rings. Fortunately, the army of Uruk-hai doesn’t threaten the kingdom of men. But something else – also dreadful – endangers us. Trade wars.
Are Trade Wars Good?
President Trump shook the world last week, saying: “(…) trade wars are good, and easy to win.” Wrong! Each economist will say that. It’s true that economists often argue with each other. People even said “two economists, three opinioFriday, March 9, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Is Another Opportunity on Forex Market Lurking Just Around the Corner |
| The combination of several resistances turned out to be a too big challenge for the buyers at the end of the previous week, which resulted in a decline in the greenback on the following days. Does it mean that another profitable opportunity may be just around the corner?
EUR/USD and Bullish Formation
On Friday, we wrote the following:
The first thing that catches the eye on the above chart is an invalidation of the tiny breakdown under the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the green zone. YeTuesday, March 6, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| What Does February Stock Market Crash Mean for Gold |
| One month after the February stock market rout is an excellent time to step back and review all the facts – and their implications for the gold market. Here’s exactly what happened – and what it implies for your capital allocation.
After more than a year of continuously advancing, the S&P 500 fell nearly 10 percent in five days.The sell-off was allegedly triggered by the surprisingly strong January jobs report, showing the acceleration in wage growth. That released fears of higher inflation, whSaturday, March 3, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Euro, Cable and Aussie - The Reward for Patience |
| February was the best month for the U.S. dollar since October. Nevertheless, what goes up must fall someday. Yesterday, the gravity caught the greenback after President Donald Trump said the country will impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. As a result, the USD Index reversed and declined, supporting our three currency pairs. Will yesterday’s news kill the greenback’s rally in the coming days?
Analyzing the charts after yesterday’s session we noticed several disturbing factors, which caSaturday, March 3, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Why Did You Send Gold Lower, Mr. Powell |
| Not nice, Mr. Powell! Gold prices fell more than 1 percent after your comments as the Federal Reserve’s new chairman. What did you say – and what are the implications for the precious metals market?
As We Warned, Powell Is More Hawkish
We have been alerting investors about the hawkish turn at the FOMC for a long time. For example, in the Gold News Monitor on February 13, we wrote that Powell could move faster on normalization than Yellen, as the macroeconomic conditions have become more favorablFriday, March 2, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Crude Oil – It Smells Like… Profits |
| Although oil bulls pushed black gold higher after yesterday market’s open, their triumph was very short-lived. Looking at the daily chart, it even tempts to say that their rally took place on an empty tank. Why? Because thanks to yesterday’s decline oil bears not only made short positions more profitable, but also gained next pieces to their puzzle. Let's check them together in today's alert.
Today's alert will start a little differently than usual, because we will take you on a small journey toFriday, March 2, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Relationship Between Crude Oil and U.S. Dollar in February 2018 |
| On Thursday, the price of black gold moved higher after the EIA weekly report showed an unexpected decline in crude oil inventories. Is this one bullish factor strong enough to push light crude higher in the following days? What did the buyers miss?
Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil inventories declined by 1.6 million barrels in the week ended Feb. 16, beating expectations for a gain of around 1.8 million barrels. This first in four weeks decline in crude oSaturday, February 24, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Gold Bull and Bear Markets |
| In the previous part, we thoroughly analyzed the bull and bear trends in the U.S. dollar. But what about gold cycles? Let’s look at the chart below, which shows the long-term behavior of gold prices.
Chart 1: Gold bull and bear cycles (from 1971 to 2018, London P.M. Fix, in $).
As one can see, there were only four cycles compared to six in the U.S. dollar: two gold bull markets and two gold bear markets. The first bull market started symbolically in August 1971, when President Nixon closed thSaturday, February 24, 2018 |
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| Chris Powell - GATA |
| China is letting the yuan crush the dollar, and Trump is just one reason |
| The Chinese yuan has appreciated 10 percent against the dollar since the start of 2017, quelling some criticism that the export giant has been deliberately suppressing its currency to gain economic advantage over its trading partners.
This is all going according to China's plan, experts say.
Although the strength of the yuan against the dollar is in part due to the greenback's weakness, experts say the world's second-largest economy is also propping up its currency to appease President Donald Friday, February 23, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Why Recent Lows Are Crucial for Greenback |
| Since Friday, the USD Index extends increases and makes up for lost points. Looking at the daily chart you can even conclude that the bulls use every opportunity to push away their opponents from the recent lows. Why are they so important to them? We took a closer look at the situation and we already know the Achilles’ heel of the bulls. Do you also want to know it? We invite you to read today's alert.
Focus on the USD Index
Before we analyze the recent changes in our currency pairs, we decided Friday, February 23, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Hikes Are Coming! |
| Are they? As usual, the FOMC minutes provoked diverse interpretations, both dovish and hawkish. Let’s analyze them, separating the wheat from the chaff. What do the recent minutes really mean for the gold market?
Hawks Attack Bullion
We have long warned investors about the hawkish treat. For example, as early as in the October edition of the Market Overview, we wrote that the Fed under Powell could be more hawkish than under Yellen. In December, after Powell’s nomination, we elaborated on our stFriday, February 23, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| The End Is Near |
| The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near?
What Lies Ahead?
The recent stock market turmoil brought traders to their knees. We, of course, covered the descent for our readers, calling for calm. We urged investors not to panic aboutTuesday, February 20, 2018 |
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| Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits |
| U.S. Dollar Bull and Bear Markets |
| The idea of endlessly repeated cycles is a very old one. This is how the ancients perceived time: not as linear sequence of events, but as replaying patterns of dark and golden ages. Although the Judeo-Christian culture changed the way we view time, we like to see the market as an area of constant struggle between bulls and bears, and the resulting upward and downward trends.
Since the end of the Bretton Woods system back in the early 1970s, the U.S. dollar has also moved in trends and cycles. DFriday, February 16, 2018 |
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