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Profile and commentaries of Papli
Papli
Member since June 2011
Followed by 4 membersFollows 0 member
114 commentaries, with 7 Replies
4 replies to his comments (4%)
Average Note : 84 / 100 for 41 rated commentaries  64  12 
Last commentary posted on Wednesday, May 18, 2016
 
 Profile Commentaries Followed By Following 
 Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
How Strong is Physical Demand for Precious Metals
A good article Mr Hamlin. The goldsmiths' strike in India is off and jewelers have got back that smile on their faces.
Gold likes the turmoil which was political in nature during the years 2008 to early 2012 when it shot up from $ 750 to almost $ 1900 if I am not wrong. As political upheavals resolved recovering us from the brink of a world war, gold retraced but only to levels above $ 1000 +/- ( considere...
5/18/2016 at 5:30 AMPermalink
 Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy
Is Silver a Better Bet than Gold in the Near Future
Chris the reverse is also true. I have been following both metals for the past decade and experienced the burn out in silver when it sank from its near record highs of $ 49 something to $ 14 recently. At the end of the day while investments in gold during this period remained in the green my silver holdings still are in deep red. I think timings of buying these metals and sensibly switching of investments betwee...
5/1/2016 at 2:52 PM  2  0  Rating :  2 1 AnswerPermalink
 Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy
The Next Technical Price Targets for Gold and Silver
Chris the end thing is the reward and the in thing is the risk. For the moment any new investment in silver may turn out to be risky but at the same time for those of us who are sitting on silver selling may be riskier. So may be wait a while keepng the mind open to buying than selling silver.
5/1/2016 at 2:41 PMPermalink
 Jan Skoyles Real Asset Co - The Real Asset Co
Five mistakes to avoid with gold investment  (4)
Jan your article is reassuring to say the least in the backdrop of falling gold prices. Gold is a long term investment with horizons of five years and above. Gold crossed $ 1000 about five years ago and at that time most believed this would not happen. Sitting above $ 1550 today for those of us who invested sub $ 1000 is a happy state with the intent to invest in more gold as opportunities unfold. Another import...
3/1/2013 at 1:47 AMPermalink
 Jan Skoyles Real Asset Co - The Real Asset Co
2013's Silver lining  (3)
Thanks Jan. The connect between gold and silver prices with silver following gold either way in trade has kept the GSR at a constant ratio mostly in the 52-55 range. This connect is now on the wane as there have been trading sessions this year, when gold has ended trading in the negative territory and silver closing positively. A case in point are the gold and silver closings over the previous two week ends. Res...
1/19/2013 at 1:53 AMPermalink
 Gold Forecaster
Gold and Silver Market morning, January 14, 2013  (1)
Silver's robustness will be validated if there are more trading days when silver traces its own path upwards independent of gold like it did on Friday.
1/15/2013 at 1:35 AMPermalink
 Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Real Silver Highs 4  (4)
Adam very interesting and factually correct reflection of silver prices over the past four decades. I agree silver is consolidating at present levels. I would not be worried even if silver dropped to $ 27 and would refrain from qualifying such a fall as a bearish trend. I am all for investment in silver and its bullish antecedents, but its connect with gold prices cannot be wished away. Gold will have to move fi...
1/14/2013 at 4:23 AMPermalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
Gold in an Uncertain World  (1)
Jeffrey you have summed it all. Gold thrives on uncertainites and these are only increasing be they be economic, social, geo-political or willed by God. But the difference lies in our changing attitudes to these rising calamities and inter alia the response of gold prices. In the past year gold's up move has been anything but static inspite of manifold increase in these calamities. Diversification it appears rem...
12/18/2012 at 1:57 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Charleston Voice
Silver sales set to outshine gold in India  (3)
The connect between an Indian and gold and or silver is basically traditional and customary and therefore more from compulsion than choice. Both metals are expensive to risk buying exclusively for investment given their volatility and uncertainity at any given time. And only a numbered few can afford taking this risk. The spurt in demand for silver for jewellery is from the affluent who can afford both and those...
12/15/2012 at 2:06 AMPermalink
 Chris Powell - Gata
IMF study in 1999 found 80 central banks lending 15 of official gold reserves  (1)
When you let the cat out of the bag don't be sure it will return home. Never the less, the reported piling up of gold reserves by all central banks, their policy not to sell any and this under hand activity of lending are going to seriously impact gold prices going forward and positively finally.
12/11/2012 at 1:21 AMPermalink
 Chris Powell
Goldman's 'gold is dead' call is perfect contrarian indicator, Ron Rosen says
Tan is right. During partiton between India and Pakistan in 1947, it was only gold that we could manage to conceal and carry leaving our landed properties and farms behind. Gold was concealed in all possible nooks and corners of our physical self, especially women hid it in their hair and clothing. Some of us who got cornered bartered gold to save our lives. Gold also helped in rehabilitation and making a new be...
12/8/2012 at 1:45 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Chronically Low Gold Price Forecasts  (6)
The low gold prices predicted by Bloomberg Median Analysts based on a four year cycle appear to be far off the mark for the simple reason that after 2009, due to the decaying and uncertain monetary system the value of gold's worth as a saviour and measure of value vis a vis the dollar has got elevated manifold. Today the central banks including of emerging economies are accumulating and adding gold to their rese...
12/7/2012 at 1:58 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Charleston Voice
CASH IS STILL KING: Why Preppers Need to Stop Worrying about Gold and Start Keeping Cash  (5)
The melt down scenario will build up over time and not happen in a whiffy. If it does, I think gold will score over cash for you would not be sure where you are headed for. I recall the partition between India and Pakistan in 1947. Yes, that was a real melt down, when over night we had to run either way to save our lives ; our belongings and possessions at that juncture meant nothing. Whatever gold we could conc...
12/6/2012 at 1:59 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Franklin Sanders - The Money Changer
Why Silver will outperform gold 400 how you can join the party  (8)
Fascinated by the title of the post, I opened to read it and lo and behold found I was the lone person to comment upon it on 12 Dec 2011. A year gone by and some more data available, I find we are roughly where we were this time last year both in gold and silver. But in the interim silver touched the high of $ 37.23 and the low of $ 26.67 while most of us wrestled with the idea of should I or should I not swap b...
12/4/2012 at 2:21 PM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Tim Iacono
Treasuries and Silver the Clear Winners Since the Election
Tim I agree .With the GSR having declined from somewhere in the 58 region to 51.2, it is time to shift to silver before it gets too late. Since
01 Jan 12, the percentage of gains in silver over gold stand at 19.16 and 9.06 exactly twice over. The fear of confiscation of your gold by government ordinance as had happened in 1933, is another new factor that weighs favourably for investment in silver vis-a-vis...
12/3/2012 at 1:34 AMPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
The Gold Market Through China's Eyes  (1)
Jeff, possibly the Americans and may be Germans and French who figure at the right end of your investment chart are lulled into gold buying inactivity as their Central banks hold gold in tons equivalent of over 70% of their national forex reserves . It is not so in case of either India or China who are buying gold apparently to increase holdings. But at the investor level both India and China are following diver...
11/28/2012 at 3:48 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Vedran Vuk - Casey Research
Even if Gold Is Stupid, It's Still Smart  (2)
Vedran, I like your logic used to justifying that gold is still smart so what if it is stupid. Life is a one time gift of God and no one knows how long it will last. And the worst is we do not know how gold will behave during our investing life time. For some it rose from $ 35 to $ 850 and for others it dropped from there to $ 235 to rise again to current levels. Net net, providence lies in possessing some gold ...
11/28/2012 at 2:01 AMPermalink
 Alasdair Macleod - FinanceandEconomics
Why gold is better than cash  (13)
Vox thanks for your caution against trading. Your arguments against trading are logical and justified. I would like to add that the age of the trader/investor and whether he is employed or retired(but working and earning) also matter in the decision to trade or invest in precious metals or other instruments.
For the sake of convincing myself whether to trade or invest in precious metals, I compared my earnin...
11/24/2012 at 1:54 AMPermalink
 Alasdair Macleod - FinanceandEconomics
Why gold is better than cash  (13)
Vox, I hundred percent agree with you. The third reason for diversification into precious metals is to duck the evil designs of the politician and bankers to deprive us of our last morsel. Of late back home, there has been a sudden surge to get after the corrupt. Resultantly, it is the small and less corrupt whose financial dealings are being intruded into, while the big fries are members of the enquiry panels p...
11/23/2012 at 1:52 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 1 AnswerPermalink
 Alasdair Macleod - FinanceandEconomics
Why gold is better than cash  (13)
SW thanks. It is by coincidence that I wrote the comment exactly a year ago and find the quandry of whether gold will move to $1800 or $1600 remains. While in the interim I have not sold my gold either but had I booked profits and traded in gold my gains could have been easily compounded. The option of sticking to our holdings and possibly adding some more or trading remains open. I still feel we could trade our...
11/22/2012 at 1:14 AM  3  0  Rating :  3 1 AnswerPermalink
 JS Kim - SmartKnowledgeU
Are Republicans or Democrats Better for Gold Silver Performance  (7)
Kim thanks. It is evident party lines don't matter as long as sub standard politicians and bankers remain at the helm. Here is three cheers to gold and silver bugs.
11/7/2012 at 4:17 PM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Dan Dontrose - The Fundamental View
On Further Inspection A Troubling Pattern May Be Taking Shape For Silver  (5)
Dan honoured to receive a private mail from you. Thanks. Probed into my observations on your articles in the past and have concluded we are into the dip for the time being, but maintaining calm being bullish on silver. Your articles dated 13 Apr, 03 Mar and 25 Nov 11 and my comments had forseen what is unfolding presently. I am still a believer of the Industrial use forte of silver hence sticking to my holdings,...
11/3/2012 at 1:39 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Dan Dontrose - The Fundamental View
On Further Inspection A Troubling Pattern May Be Taking Shape For Silver  (5)
Dan thanks. The extreme values are 20/25 dollars apart. But because the long term pattern is bullish (either due to failing economics at the one end or improved economics leading to aggressive industrialisation at the other), I as a long term investor feel that over a 3 to 5 years investment horizon any person should gain between 50 to may be 100%. I have a hunch silver's industrial usage will call the final sho...
10/22/2012 at 3:29 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 1 AnswerPermalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Fed 'Currency Debasement 3' (QE3) Sees Gold and Silver Surge 2 and 4.3
Mark thanks for your views. This QE 3 to infinity will bring out the real worth of PMs. In fact it has simplified the whole issue of individual investment. In plain terms get out of cash(losing worth by the day) and go for gold and silver. When? The simpler answer is now in the sub $ 1800 and $ 35 in gold and silver respectively. And dare to go long atleast upto 2015 when Fed rethinks about revising interest rat...
9/15/2012 at 3:41 AMPermalink
 Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy
Silver at Multi-Month High  (1)
Good article. Due to volatility of silver it is seldom prudent to wait for dips on the contrary ride the trend. The important issues of economics, silver's use in industry, the fact that it is the only commodity trading far below its historical highs, silver's disposition vis a vis gold in terms of GSR, that it follows gold which is more likely to go up than down all are all positive trends favouring buying silv...
9/12/2012 at 1:49 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 24hGoldWire - The Economic Times
Gold imports dip 18.4 to Rs 71,912 crore in April-June
As a corollalary, reportedly due to high prices of gold attributable to declining rupee and government imposed additional taxes, cases of gold smuggling which had died down for almost two decades have re-emerged. The younger and affluent population which showed scanty affiliation for gold believably are using their savings to invest in gold. With the customary marriage season round the corner and a good monsoon ...
8/31/2012 at 1:29 AMPermalink
 Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold forecaster
The Shape Future of Indian Gold Demand – Part 1/2  (3)
Julian, the profession of the gold smith is perhaps the only one in India that sons don't mind stepping into without fuss. A goldsmith's son in almost 100% cases willingly adopts his father's profession, what ever be his field of qualification. Whether this is out of compulsion or lure I leave it to your judgment.
6/15/2012 at 2:42 AMPermalink
 Dan Dontrose
Something To Watch For In Gold  (2)
Wait for $ 1700 for gold and $ 33 for silver before any fresh entries, else buy in sub $ 1600 and $ 30 range. This strategy might mitigate uncertainty and speculation linked with your investment.
4/13/2012 at 2:01 AMPermalink
 John Browne - Euro Pacific Capital
BRICS Plan for the Future  (4)
John, you have left no scope for disagreement. The BRICS experiment is the harbinger of the new world economic order culminatinating finally into the re-introduction of the gold standard. With all nation states vying for economic growth and independence do we have a choice?
4/6/2012 at 3:40 AMPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
Will India Stop Buying Gold  (1)
Jeff thanks. But you have both missed out covering the impact of custom duty raise in Indian Budget this year from 2 to 4 %. All bullion traders have been experiencing the negative impact of this raise on their sales and procurements.Last week there was a nation wide strike and closure of bullion shops. I am sure revenue losses would run into a few crores. If the custom duty raise is not rolled back, it will nag...
4/3/2012 at 2:57 AMPermalink
 Mary Anne & Pamela Aden - Aden Forecast
Taking a Breather  (3)
Mary and Pamela thanks for simplifying the "golden path". Identifying B and C every time must have been a great challenge each time as it is now. As a corrollary, all pro-gold events must have happened between these two points to spur gold to new highs before the fall to D. I fear manipulation either way. Too preemptive otherwise to be true.
3/27/2012 at 3:08 AMPermalink
 Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
Ben Bernanke on the Gold Standard  (5)
Nathan, I firmly believe we must spend what we can afford and am, therefore, for return to the gold standard. I am worried, however, if the central banks even hold that " film " of gold and what, if it has " Tungsten fillings" discovered lately?
3/27/2012 at 2:19 AMPermalink
 Warren Bevan - Precious Metals Stock Review
Bottoms Are Nearing  (5)
Bevan looks like the bottom for gold at $ 1700 and silver at $ 33 is already in, not with standing, that we are trading below these levels. I see an upside from here as the dollar hype and reported improvements in debt ridden Europe run out of steam. Custom duty hikes and strikes are issues, but insignificant. If history can be a guide this is the nth time in as many months when $ 1700/33 have been violated by g...
3/27/2012 at 1:59 AMPermalink
 Andy Hoffman
Chutes and Ladders  (7)
Ranting excellent observations. On the contrary, let's thank these perpetrators for inducing peak adrenalin levels in the market attracting traders and investors alike. Gold and silver are for those who have faith, predominance of chutes over ladders not with standing.
3/13/2012 at 1:49 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Bullion Vault
Gold Below 200-Day Average, Technical Analysts Point Below $1600  (2)
With gold at sub $ 1700 consequent to failed attempts to break $ 1800, it may be wiser and safer to predict further dips. Gold and silver prices at $ 1700 and $33 have sustained themselves against all economic and geo-political odds including the go slow on QE being dolled out surreptiously though. The Europian mess is unlikely to be resolved into a sumptuous meal. Iran remains on the agenda and any conflict wil...
3/9/2012 at 1:09 AMPermalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS — A Quick Note on Recent Gold-Price Action  (2)
Jeffrey thanks. The base for gold and silver are now authentically fixed at $ 1700 and $ 33 even if some more dips from higher levels are ordained. If this is the fifth time we have dipped in almost as many months, I do not think a sixth dip is likely in the near future. It may be worth the while to go for the kill this time.
3/8/2012 at 3:06 PMPermalink
 Dan Dontrose - The fundamental View
Gold And Silver Smashed…Nobody Really Knows What Lies Ahead  (13)
Dan thanks for your post and timely warnings that are well taken. But with gold at 8.64 % and silver at 23.14% gains to date this year why cry wolf? This is the fourth time both gold and silver have survived major turbulations to remain above $ 1700 and $ 31 ( now $ 33) and shall slowly and steadily recover again. Yes, gold moves up silver follows, the reverse will be true when silver establishes its antecedents...
3/3/2012 at 9:27 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Goldmoney
Vietnam’s central bank plans new gold regulations  (1)
It is gold, gold and gold all over. Gold has become the malady and the antidote to all evils that confront the universe. Firstly, kept under a tight leash, later released and now donning the mentle of much sought after anti inflationary hedge with value that doubles as currency. The writing is on the wall. Time and stocks are limited. Go for your gold and hide it for the next big news will be gold robberies.
2/28/2012 at 12:32 AM  1  2  Rating :  -1 1 AnswerPermalink
 Darryl Robert Schoon - Survive the Crisis
Gold Fire Sale  (6)
Outstanding and remarkable treatise on the gold trail and it's hold-ups. But what baffles me is the mention of the word ' silver' only once and at the end of the post yet clubbing it with gold to read ' buy gold, buy silver , have faith'. If gold would get to $ 10000 would it be impropriety on my part to predict silver at $ 588.23, the gold to silver ratio being historically 1:17 ?
2/27/2012 at 4:14 PM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Silver Shield
The Silver Bullet And The Silver Shield  (27)
A brilliant presentation. But everything must happen to gold first before the repercussions good or indifferent are felt by silver. The ever increasing debt, uncontrolled inflation and world wide economic mess we are in are a by product of delinking from the gold standard. Presently, gold scores over any currency as an option to the dollar and not silver.The silver trade is too miniscule to portend a change for ...
2/26/2012 at 6:03 PMPermalink
 Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold Forecaster
Will the Greek Bailout Make Gold, Silver Rise or Fall  (6)
The use of gold to bail out of a crisis has been a practice followed by individuals and nations alike. It is a well known fact, that India which figures on the top of the list of countries from where the demand for gold originates, had way back in the 70s mortgaged 65 tons of its gold as security to obtain a loan in dollars from a central bank. Due to the embargo and own currency having limited value outside its...
2/23/2012 at 12:56 PM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Richard Mills - Ahead of the herd
Silver Eagles Soar  (7)
Richard, being informed is being fore armed. It does not require more than common sense to conclude that gold and silver ought to be on our personal ' Harbord List '. World War III may well be round the corner.
2/23/2012 at 2:18 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Jason Hommel - Silverstockreport
Silver is Money!  (4)
Prerequisites to silver ever becoming currency are , firstly, it must surmount the $ 50 jinx of the 80s, secondly, threaten the gold to silver ratio of 1:16 and possibly beat it, thirdly, the industrial demand should remain subdued to spare its use in coinage, fourthly, the central backs should sit back and allow this to happen in spite of all the gold they hold and fifthly, some economist should bench mark the ...
2/21/2012 at 4:28 PM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 FOFOA - FoFOA
India's Gold  (1)
Thanks for putting the Indian gold penchant into focus. The connect between an Indian and gold is based upon trust and faith vindicated by time and tradition. A slight shift in outlook. More and more Indians are buying physical gold for trading, replacing their holdings of gold jewellery with artificial look alikes that are cheaper and safer to wear.
2/18/2012 at 3:03 AMPermalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Asia Buying Gold On Dips - “Empires May Fall, Currencies May Change…
Mark, in Asia the relationship between investors and gold is based on trust vindicated by centuries of association between the two. Convinced that at $ 1700 and $ 33 gold and silver have possibly come to stay, yet everybody is waiting for a dip to buy at lower prices. In India, banks are offering 9 to 10 % interest rates but taxes and inflation squeeze the final gains. 20 % gains in a month in gold and silver ap...
2/14/2012 at 1:43 AMPermalink
 Bud Conrad - Casey Research
The Fed Resumes Printing  (2)
Zero interest rate, strong dollar, improved employment status and no QE appear to be a text from a fairy tale and surely not from a fiscal document.
2/10/2012 at 12:52 PM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Gold Challenges Resistance at $1,750/oz – Technicals and Fundamentals Remain Very Positive
It appears the new bench marks for gold and silver are $ 1700 and $ 33 on the upside. Yes, gold will get to $ 1800 but not before experiencing sub $ 1700. Silver just traces gold's path. At 11% monthly gain, it may not be imprudent to book some profit and buy later on dips. PMs are following a cycle not too seriously guided by world events that just keep happening. When there is too much noise it is better to we...
2/3/2012 at 1:10 AMPermalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
Un-Seasonal Expectations  (2)
Jeffrey the wild cards are aptly identified and will only upwardly spur gold prices. I don't think there is scope for doubt.
2/2/2012 at 12:18 PMPermalink
 Gold Forecaster
Gold Silver Market Morning, February 01, 2012
Julian, you are so right ' gold is a want and silver a need '. Though insignificant today, I feel this ignorance today will become silver's forte tomorrow.
2/2/2012 at 3:30 AMPermalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Silver Surges 21 in January - Silver Demand Is “Diminishing A Supply Surplus”
Mark, as long as gold trades higher silver will replicate. $ 1700 for gold and $ 33 for silver are the new base. Significant moves in gold above these levels may see significant moves in silver that may surprise every body. Reasons, historical precedent, investment and industrial demand, higher beta and a long pending and overdue historical high.
2/1/2012 at 2:55 PMPermalink
 Times of India
Indian Govt declines any comment on use of Gold to pay for Iranian Oil  (1)
Do sovereign nations owe an explanation for independently exercising their national policies? The days of imperial hegemony are over. it may be prudent to look up and reconcile own balance sheets than work out plans and options that may push you further into the 'Red'.
1/28/2012 at 1:46 AMPermalink
 JS Kim - Underground Inv
Identifying Severe Undervaluation Points in Gold Silver is a Much Better Strategy  (4)
Kim, thanks for the valuable insight. It instills added confidence in the worth of gold and silver as sensible investments in times when banks are failing and currency wars are rampant. Such events will culminate into increased investor demand further negating the capability of banking cartels to manipulate prices. I believe a study of demand pattern of gold over the past decade confirms over 56% of demand origi...
1/28/2012 at 1:29 AMPermalink
 Goldmoney
Gold is money! Indians to pay for Iranian oil with gold  (1)
The world order is changing. Lord Montgomery once said and I quote,"Men apart every man an emperor". Similarly, all nations of the world, big or small, weak or strong have started to exert themselves against internal strife(Iraq/Libya) or external pressures(Iran). This new dimension is unpardonable to say the least and will lead to fresh centres of power and conjectural wars. So make a head start by hoarding gol...
1/27/2012 at 1:47 AMPermalink
 Chris Blasi - Neptune Global
Sovereigns Declare War on US Dollar  (6)
Chris, war is the irony of history of mankind. Today USA Vs Iran, tomorrow China Vs Russia or India, who knows when and for what reasons? In the mean time, get hold of all the gold and possibly silver you can afford. These will buy you flour and bread, be it in Yuans, Roubles or the Rupee any time any where.
1/26/2012 at 2:34 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Gold Forecaster
Gold Silver Market Morning, January 24, 2012
Yes, the central banks are looking for gold. India's central bank the RBI reportedly is paying Iran for its oil purchases in gold. It appears that a workable monetary system incorporating gold is well on its way. Its time to accumulate while gold is still affordable. War may ensue to save the dollar but that will only 'sensationalise' gold.
1/25/2012 at 3:50 AMPermalink
 Larry Laborde - Silvertrading
Jan 17 1980 : Silver reaches its all time high - H.L. Hunt and the Circle K Cowboys  (14)
Larry, thanks for the Hunt's story. The concluding paragraph sums it all. Given the volatility, plan long but be short on targets and think twice before the next move. After all we are at over 14% gains already in silver commencing this year.
1/21/2012 at 1:31 AM  1  1  Rating :  0 1 AnswerPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Resaerch
When Will Gold Reach a New High  (2)
Jeff thanks for the data. I appreciate and share your positive outlook towards gold. Now my view point. Firstly, all lows have been severer than their previous ones. We, therefore, should be looking at between 10 to 15% lower prices from current levels to drop from 19.2% to 29.5% and possibly another 5 % i.e. gold at $1400-$1480 levels.
Secondly, from the graph gold recovered from around $350 to say $1900 du...
1/20/2012 at 1:57 PM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
2012 Gold Estimates Lowered By Banks - But Remain Bullish
While it is agreed that gold is still in the bull run, the more pertinent question is to know when is it going to make a new low (say $1550), before the new highs are made in the second half of 2012?
1/19/2012 at 1:20 AMPermalink
 Andrey Dashkov - Casey Research
When Will Silver Make a New High  (3)
Andrey thanks. At 46.3 % from last top we are at the average(46.25%) of the previous two falls. Buying silver at today's price of $30 is OK. But all three falls have been severer than their previous ones. Let silver fall beyond 57.6% to initiate a buy. It may be worth the wait.
1/18/2012 at 1:44 AM  5  0  Rating :  5 Permalink
 Perth Mint Blog
Dollar Cost Averaging - A Strategy For Making The Most Out Of Fluctuating Gold Prices
Dollar cost averaging is a means to an end. It provides a sense of financial security in a falling market but raises adrenalin levels if practised in a rising market. Since volatility is the order of the day, a combination of dollar cost averaging, at times timing the market and disciplining to book profits without being greedy may be considered an investing option.
1/17/2012 at 2:09 AMPermalink
 Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Dollar to Launch Gold  (8)
SW thanks for your precise data related to the gold silver correlation over past six months. At 26 % it is still high, given that silver has been badly mauled over this period and any reversal in gold trends is likely to benefit silver more than gold because of the former's higher beta. My next 'default' trade will be in silver not gold. After all, you agree both metals follow a trend. The time is not far when s...
1/15/2012 at 6:45 AMPermalink
 Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Dollar to Launch Gold  (8)
Adam, thanks for revisiting the negative correlation between gold and dollar. Charts are convincing. We are poised for favorable action in gold antime even if gold goes sub $ 1600. Dollar is going to run amock sooner than later. Silver follows gold almost daily evident from charts of both metals. Is it time to press the trigger or wait ? I have a hunch we may see $ 1500 before the move up.
1/14/2012 at 1:29 PM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Alf Field
Gold Correction Is Over  (15)
Well researched. Thanks. I conclude that due to the imponderables, for an average investor, gold investments based upon personal or collective judgment are akin to one blind leading another but with the 'faith' that finally they would reach their destination overtime. It is because of this 'faith'' in gold that we continue to invest in the metal in spite of our infirmities to influence the gold prices.
1/13/2012 at 2:54 AM  1  1  Rating :  0 Permalink
 Jim Willie CB - Hat Trick Letter
The USDollar Paper Tiger  (16)
The King(dollar) is dead. Long live the King!
1/12/2012 at 1:49 PM  2  1  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
Was 2011 a Dud or a Springboard for Gold
Jeff thanks, but don't neglect silver. The story is the same as that of gold, may be more tragic. And remember silver has the industrial angle as well.
1/10/2012 at 2:34 PM  1  2  Rating :  -1 Permalink
 24hGoldwire - 24hGold
Analysts expect gold to hit record high in 2012  (1)
If gold is slated to rise so will silver and possibly lead. Watch out for the contracting gold to silver ratio. It may be prudent to ride silver at the behest of gold during the year.
1/10/2012 at 2:25 PMPermalink
 Mac Slavo - shtfplan
2012: Predictions of a Mad Tin Foiler  (40)
Mac thanks. But don't you think suicide is a viable option to avoid the pain of the Armegeddon and redeem ourselves of our individual and collective acts of omission and commission that have led this to pass in God's wonderful world? By so doing, we may possibly leave something for the survivors to rebuild the universe along God's guide lines. And by chance, if you happen to be among the lucky survivors, rid you...
1/6/2012 at 2:49 AM  0  4  Rating :  -4 Permalink
 Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Resolutions For 2012
Stewart great article. Thanks for panning on facts and figures and not confusing readers with speculative targets. Readers must appreciate that in the long run, what holds good for gold will hold better for silver even though gold may lead the way.
1/5/2012 at 1:52 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Lorimer Wilson - Munknee
These 8 Analysts See Gold Going to $3,000 - $10,000 in 2012! Here’s Why  (8)
Sounds too fascinating to be true, nevertheless, hang on to your cash untill $ 1700 is comprehensively taken. Mind you, you may be able to buy your ticket at $ 1500 and possibly less as well for the predicted space trip. Faith and patience are the hall mark for any wise investment.
1/5/2012 at 1:38 AM  4  0  Rating :  4 Permalink
 Goldmoney
Gold price rises again – its 11th consecutive year
Indian currency is the only one other than the dollar in which gold has not given negative return over the eleven year cycle. While such a trend in dollar terms can be attributed to dollar being the world currency in which gold trades, in case of India it is faith in gold. As long as you have faith in the power of gold over the long run, you need not watch daily news or read analysis on gold trends. If you do th...
1/5/2012 at 1:15 AMPermalink
 Gold Forecaster
Gold Silver Market Morning, January 03, 2012
Julian, the power of gold and silver lie in the realization by more and more of us on the street that there is surely something amiss with the economic system and that investments in gold (and possibly silver) in such unpredictable times might finally turn out to be our saviours. If there is hesitation it is due to uncertainty, the desire to buy low and in most cases non availability of cash. Once gold and silve...
1/4/2012 at 1:27 AM  3  0  Rating :  3 Permalink
 Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold Forecaster
U.S. Dollar Replaced by China, Japan - Gold Positive!
Julian thanks. The route chart reads thus _ Europe_ Asia_ Dollar_ Yuan_ Gold. But how? Having travered 50% along the route already, inspite of navigational errors and some guess work over time, we will sail to destination ' Gold'. They say necessity is the mother of all inventions and I believe it.
1/3/2012 at 1:15 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
Gold Records 11th Annual Gain, Ends 2011 Up 11 as World Stocks Drop 8  (2)
Adrian thanks. From your post and many others gold(and silver) are moving the proverbial glass half empty or half full way. It appears cash may remain king at least till the first quarter. It is not wise to lose first before winning.
1/1/2012 at 3:24 AM  1  1  Rating :  0 Permalink
 Peter Souleles
Did Rubini lose $ 2.1 billion for his clients   (3)
Buying gold is a matter of faith and trust cemented by growing distrust in the manner human beings go about doing business. If you agree with what I say go ahead and buy physical gold or silver any time any place.
12/27/2011 at 1:27 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
World Economic Trends and the Future Price of Gold  (5)
Jeffrey, thanks for your well researched article that makes a lot off sense going forward. Gold ultimately has only the upside but investors could make more money by booking frequent profits once laid down targets are achieved. This would insure against volatility and long waits. After all everybody likes the fast track these days.
12/25/2011 at 3:12 AMPermalink
 Dan Dontrose
Round 3 of the precious metals “Flush” looks to be on
Dan the flush is over and out. The recent one has proved the fact that man proposes and God disposes. Nobody here has any idea what the hell is happening.Period.
12/15/2011 at 1:55 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Franklin Sanders - The Money Changer
Why Silver will outperform gold 400 how you can join the party  (8)
Extremely interesting post and more so in hindsight. Gold to silver ratio(GSR) is a useful bench mark to trade in gold and silver over a min ten year period irrespective of market trend being bullish or bearish. Ordinarily silver follows gold both ways ; it is gold and silver and never silver and gold. In my investing experience of five years I have experienced GSR at 31.22 (Apr this year) but lost out on all my...
12/12/2011 at 1:42 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 Permalink
 Dan Dontrose - The Fundamental View
$1600.00 gold, $27.00 silver and 10,000 on the Dow Industrials in soon enough time  (9)
Dan you could not be more right. When markets are confused gold and silver trade high. But when markets are thoroughly confused they sky dive. I can see gold and silver at $ 1600 and $ 27 respectively, but for most of us(confused lot) who are invested where is the cash? Some wise person rightly said ' the king is dead long live the king'. The same holds good for elusive cash with the committed investors.
11/25/2011 at 6:05 PM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Alasdair Macleod - FinanceandEconomics
Why gold is better than cash  (13)
By the time paper money stops losing its value more than enough would have been lost. Consequently, the purchasing power of gold in real terms would have also suffered a set back inspite of gold's high worth at that time in respective currencies. Since knowing when paper money has stopped losing its worth is impossible to gauge, I feel percentage target based investments in gold be liquidated from time to time f...
11/22/2011 at 2:19 AM  2  0  Rating :  2 1 AnswerPermalink
 George Maniere - Investing Advice
Last Chance to Buy Gold and Silver At a Discount  (2)
George, if it is our Last chance to buy gold and silver need we to wait for QE 3 to be doubly sure of our investment decision. I think $1700 and $33 are the new floor values for gold and silver respectively. It is time to take the plunge, else it may be too late.
11/2/2011 at 2:36 AMPermalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
Gold - Recovery and Resurrection
Nichols thanks for the post. And silver too will experience the resurrection in the wake of gold and possibly spearhead it by the year end.
10/27/2011 at 2:19 PMPermalink
 George Maniere - Investing Advice
Silver Waits to Break Out  (1)
Yes, the only direction for silver remains the upside provided gold consolidates around $1700. Should gold show weakness silver will follow suit. Gold's trading pattern this weekend will clarify silver's futuristic course which I have a huch will be positive.
10/27/2011 at 10:07 AMPermalink
 Tim Iacono - Iacono Research
Putting The Current Gold Price Correction Into Proper Perspective
Tim your study and analysis are bang on. As long as gold trades above $ 1600 there is less cause for alarm. Any dip below those levels may be used as a buying opportunity. For those in gold purchased at higher prices, I recommend hanging on to benefit from the recovery.Once gold goes past $1700, the scope of making new highs are likely to brighten. Those in trade may also consider dollar cost averaging then rath...
10/10/2011 at 2:18 AMPermalink
 Mac Slavo - ShtfPlan
Media Lunacy: Gold Is Backed By Nothing, Unlike the US Dollar Which Is Backed by the US Govt  (4)
Wrong. Gold is backed by the centuries old faith of it's investors whom it has never let down. If in doubt reread your history or existing records.
10/6/2011 at 3:54 AMPermalink
 James West - Midas Letter
Wall Street Journal Examplifies Mis-information on Gold  (2)
Gold speaks for itself. Any misinformation campaign is and will be self defeating. Investors are gullible but not dopes. We need to thank the analysts and the internet for making information available enabling investors to make common sense based investment decisions.
10/6/2011 at 3:50 AMPermalink
 Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Is Gold Bound to Rebound
Gold has stabilized around $1600. This has stalled silver's fall too. Going forward the two may recover at best, a rebound looks less likely. There is far too much uncertainty and loss of investor confidence and capital lately to generate and then sustain a rebound.
10/5/2011 at 6:46 PMPermalink
 Jesse - Jesse's Café
Currency Wars: Restricting Gold and Silver Sales in France
This is new wine in old bottles. 1985 in Moscow you could officially pick up the same item much cheaper from the government store if you paid in dollars and not in roubles. Official rates fetched a dollar for 11 rupees and a rouble for 18 rupees, but a dollar fetched you four roubles. Get into gold(and silver) to stay abreast with futuristic currency exchange rates.
10/4/2011 at 3:50 AMPermalink
 Deepcaster
Gaining from the Golden Road Ahead  (2)
The negatives that propel gold and silver are in place if not magnifying, yet gold and silver have taken a beating with the downside not fully realized. When the upside does commence a major part of this momentum would get sucked into retrieving the previous highs and by then the cartels will reactivate to stem this tide. It is time we trade for percentage based targets that are mathematical, else our profits wi...
10/2/2011 at 2:39 AMPermalink
 John Browne - Euro Pacific Capital
Don't Panic on Metal Tumble  (4)
John thanks for the post. These days we live in a world where every thing must happen fast and in quick time and accordingly our response and reaction. Gold at $1600 has different connotations for those who picked it up at $1900 and others at $1000 without reference to a hypothetical inflation adjusted figure which gold has never ever got close to. If gold were to dip towards $1400-1200, it may be prudent for th...
10/2/2011 at 2:11 AMPermalink
 Jeff clark - Casey Reseach
How Far Can Gold and Silver Climb  (2)
If you believe in your self you don't need a crowd to reassure. I read somewhere that an informed man is the wisest. The more I read about the economic mess we are heading for, the more I tend to believe we are clueless in our efforts to get out of it. Every time gold falls below $ 1800 it fights back. Silver, yes traces gold but I have a hunch there is a surprise in the waiting. Did anybody predict gold where i...
9/20/2011 at 5:43 PMPermalink
 Silver technicals - Zealllc
Silver Technicals
The logic of trading 50/200 DMA holds good even today substantiated by hindsight knowledge of seven more years of silver investments including covering the post silver ETF period. The extreme volatility demands as you have recommended, sub division of the portfolio into two parts, namely, a long term buy hold portfolio and a trading portfolio to make the quick buck repeatedly. Thanks for sharing your wisdom.
9/20/2011 at 2:20 AMPermalink
 Silver technicals - Zealllc
Silver Bull Seasonals  (1)
Thanks. Seasonality and direction of gold's move both impact silver prices. The GSR factor is another parameter that can be gainfully used to predict silver's move vis a vis gold. Below 40 silver tends to beat gold. By the time this ratio gets to around 30 the strength in silver starts to decimate. Only extensive industrial demand for silver resulting in shortages will enable silver prices to delink from gold. W...
9/18/2011 at 9:00 AMPermalink
 Andy Hoffman - Ranting Andy
The Agony of Defeat – For the Gold Cartel  (1)
Andy well said. The cat is out of the bag thanks to analysts like you and the growing awareness among the investing populace. The rebounds from the manipulated lows to still higher historical highs are a clear bench mark to assess the prowess and confidence of the investors in gold and silver. The best thing is there is more talk about the next high than the possible low. They say knowledge is power and this is...
9/11/2011 at 2:31 AMPermalink
 Silver Shield
The Idea Of Unattainable Silver Is Catching On  (10)
I agree with you a hundred percent. For those of us who have been following events closely, the inhibiting factors to investment in physical silver(or gold) remain finances and the volatility which spurs us into bottom fishing that leads to procrastination and indecision. For those of us who have invested it is a difficult decision whether to go short or long again given the volatility and the manipulation in th...
9/10/2011 at 1:21 AMPermalink
 Chris Powell - GATA
Look who's watching GATA  (1)
Chris keep up the good work. Your worth is now being acknowledged and ratified.
9/8/2011 at 3:00 AMPermalink
 Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
140 Years Of Silver Volatility  (5)
Professor Fekete thanks for the curt warning. Silver has it's own ways and is surely unpredictable and moody. It may be wise to stay in trade upto pre-defined targets rather than attempting to hang around guessing the top. This way small profits will add on to finally accumulating larger ones.
9/7/2011 at 1:52 AMPermalink
 Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold Forecaster
$1,500 or $2,000 Gold   (3)
Julian right time for the post. While gold is equidistant from either target, $2000 appears more plausible given it's quick recovery from $ 1704 and assuming nothing else is going to improve soon.
9/3/2011 at 5:17 AMPermalink
 Bullion Vault
Market "Questions Upside for Gold", Finnish Demand "Puts Entire Greek Rescue at Stake"
Ben thanks for the post. What the market is possibly bewildered at and questioning is, the pace at which gold has moved up in the past three months. In its journey gold established many new highs almost every week outpacing all gold bugs and bulls' perception as well as their predictions. In fact, everybody including the investors are out of breath. Once normal body parameters are restored, I see gold at $ 2000 ...
9/2/2011 at 5:15 AMPermalink
 Goldmoney
India's gold and silver demand exploding
Well said about gold but silver is also following in the wake. Silver as an investment is gradually getting accepted in India. Its storage is an incumberance in comparison to gold. Few Indians are aware of silver's use in Industry. The pro silver camp is, however, on the rise. Going forward the demand for silver is surely going to multiply manifold due to its cost differential when compared with gold. That both ...
9/2/2011 at 5:01 AMPermalink
 Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Silver Ready to Breakout - Technicals and Fundamentals Suggest $50/oz in Early Autumn  (1)
Mark your post is invaluable. It is time silver proves it's antecedents vis a vis gold.I have closely followed the GSR. Any thing sub 40 will spur silver. When ever silver establishes it's new historical high I have a hunch the GSR will be in 31~33 range. This will dip further towards its geological ratios when silver trades past $ 50 towards its inflation adjusted targets.
9/1/2011 at 4:15 AMPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
Fear Mania Comes to Gold  (4)
Jeff thanks for the post. Gold has come to stay. The change over will be fear, faith and finally greed. It is when the greed mania sets in that we must pocket our profits.
9/1/2011 at 4:01 AMPermalink
 Peter Souleles
Time for the Marlboro man to use gold and silver patches  (3)
Peter, good I gave up smoking two decades ago. To smoke on credit adds to the flavor on two counts. Firstly, you smoke limitlessly and secondly after a while you lose that count as well. And for my Chinese friends they must open every smoked packet. They might find a half smoked or unsmoked cigarette for solace.
8/8/2011 at 5:44 PMPermalink
 JS Kim - Smart Knowledge U
Why Gold and Silver Prices Will More than Double Again Even From Current Prices  (7)
kim I endorse your thought one hundred percent as I have participated in the meteoric rise of gold from the time it were $ 800 per Troy ounce. Going by what is happening around us I do not see an early or easy end to this bullish trend supported by our politician's acts of omission and commission. Genuine investors are on the rise and many are venturing into buying their first ounce of gold even at these prices....
8/5/2011 at 1:53 AMPermalink
 Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold Forecaster
Gold, Silver Unaffected by Debt Crisis  (4)
Julian thanks for the outside of the box thinking and therefore the difference. Gold is where it is based upon the increasing appeal of it's lustre to the average investor who is turning wiser and more informed about the merits and specially the long term safety in investing in gold. We are sure to make a few highs even this month historically famous for recording annual lows.
8/2/2011 at 1:49 AMPermalink
 Jim Willie CB - Hat Trick Letter
Conscience of a Gold Investor  (12)
Jim, I find conviction in what you have written. While your reference is to American state of affairs, corruption in politics and ,therefore, in all wings of the government is the norm all over the world that seems to be getting messier by the day. We are collectively getting more and more self- centric due to our loss of faith in our systems. Gold and (silver) as you have rightly pointed out appear to be our on...
7/31/2011 at 2:42 AM  1  0  Rating :  1 Permalink
 Sara Nunnally - Smart investing Daily
No Matter What… Buy Silver  (6)
Sara I have liked your arguments favoring investments in silver. Past performance in comparison to gold and other commodities substantiates your vision. But silver still requires gold's goodwill to move up. With gold moving down,if it does, no way silver can make fresh highs predicted by you. Silver is cheaper and affordable and competitive, hence it's lure as an investment instrument.
7/30/2011 at 2:02 AMPermalink
 Andy Hoffman
$ 50 Silver : The ultimate resistance   (3)
Bang on. In this universe only two types of financial fools will exist, namely, those without gold and those without silver. Period.
7/27/2011 at 4:08 PMPermalink
 Jeffrey Nichols - Nichols on Gold
Gold’s Long March Upward Continues  (1)
Outstanding post to say the least. The greatest pro-gold trend comes from sharing the knowledge about its future for which we need to thank analysts like you, and of course the internet that carries your message. Thanks for all that you have written. Our wisdom will be judged in posterity from what we do with gold from here on.
7/26/2011 at 5:26 PMPermalink
 Mike Niehuser - Beacon Rock
Gold and the Pursuit of Happiness  (2)
Mike, I like your trust in gold and its 'possessional link' to ultimate salvation and happiness. However, this confidence appears to be on the wane towards the latter and conclusive part of the post. Why so remains a mystery. I have a hunch that by year end gold will be much above $1500. How much, let that remain a myster too.
7/2/2011 at 6:14 PMPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
Can You Pass The 2011 Gold Quiz  (1)
Jeff good information. Thanks. Kindly check whether or not the RBI, India (Central bank) did or did not add to its gold reserves in 2010?. I think it did add 300 tonnes in the first quarter.
6/5/2011 at 3:43 PMPermalink
 Jeff Clark - Casey Research
When a Gold Necklace Isn't Jewelry
True. Indians love their gold and silver but in ornamental form. It makes their women look gorgeous and cared for financially and emotionally. The gold necklace and earrings my wife got from my mom will be passed on to our daughter in law this November on her marriage. Apart, we plan to spend on her gold bangles, ring, a bead necklace etc, firstly, to assure her and her parents and relatives that she is welcome ...
6/5/2011 at 3:11 PMPermalink
 James Turk - Goldmoney
Gold and Silver Form Promising Bullish Divergences  (1)
Outstanding and relevant. When either begin to move out of synchrony with the other repeatedly over a few sessions the true bearish or bullish trend will set in.
6/3/2011 at 8:31 PMPermalink

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