Learning from the Iconoclast

 

By : David Bond

Editor, The Silver Valley Mining Journal

 

 

 

                                                  

 

 

 

 

 

The Wallace Street Journal

 

 

Wallace, Idaho – What does Goldcorp legend Rob McEwen know about junior mining stocks that the markets haven’t figured out? Because while the markets were busy eschewing junior exploration companies during the recent rally, McEwen was buying.

 

The most recent news broke Wednesday: McEwen picked up a two-stage private placement in Spokane, Washington-based Minera Andes (MNEAF.OB) worth C$10 million – or about one-third of Minera’s market cap before the obligatory trading halt on the news. We’ll spare you the technical details of the deal; they can be found on Minera Andes’ website. We were more interested in the whys.

 

“I’m bullish on the price of gold,” (and presumably silver), McEwen said. “Goldcorp started as a junior and I’ve always been a big believer in exploration.” Indeed. McEwen took Goldcorp from a penny-stock junior to a billion-dollar company, via means that defied the conventional mining industry “wisdom.” His most outrageous stroke came in 2000. Goldcorp’s Red Lake gold mine in Ontario was not performing to his expectations. To the horror of Goldcorp’s own investors and geologists, McEwen posted all of Red Lake’s geologic data, including all of Red Lake’s dirty laundry, on the internet, and issued a half-million dollar challenge: Be the guy who can tell me how this thing can make money, and the purse is yours.

 

A couple of Aussies from West Perth who’d never been to Red Lake, never been to Ontario, never been to Canada, never been to the Americas, downloaded and crunched Goldcorp’s heretofore proprietary numbers, built a model, and told McEwen where to drill. Bang! The first four holes the Aussies suggested hit the motherlode. Red Lake went from an annual gold production rate of 53k-oz at $360/oz cost to 504k-oz at $59/oz. Quite a nip. All on the internet, no holds barred. McEwen told several e-magazines at the time his ‘hang-it-all-out’ approach was inspired by Linus Torvalds’ open-source-code computer operating system, Linux. Unlike the anal-retentive Microsoft, Torvalds wrote a PC computer operating system that anybody could hack in to, and steal or improve as they saw fit. The result, after nearly a decade, is a feature-rich OS that is much cleaner, less buggy, less memory-intensive, and far more user-friendly than Windows. And it’s free. McEwen figured that model could be transported to the mining industry. He won.

 

You’d never know there was a billionaire on the other end of the phone line. Rob McEwen is about as polite and gentle and unassuming as a Nanaimo bartender. When, after several hostile proposals, Wheaton River merged with Goldcorp, with Goldcorp the surviving entity, McEwen handed over Goldcorp’s helm to Wheaton River’s Ian Tefler. Rob remains non-executive chairman of Goldcorp, but came to regard himself by February 2005 as basically “unemployed.” He walked away from hands-on management. There was a reason. After Goldcorp’s phenomenal performance earlier this decade, McEwen wanted more.

 

Goldcorp was a great early run, but it was not making the growth curve I wanted. I tried all the variables, looked at everything. Then one day I walked down the hall by a mirror, took a good look, and I said, ‘Humph, there’s a variable I haven’t looked at.’”

 

You get the sense, early on in a chat with Rob McEwen, that this is a guy who gets bored easily. “I never intended to retire. “I wanted to stay engaged and juniors are what I like, because they grow into majors sometimes. I really think the seniors have disappointed investors. There was suggestion that as gold goes up profits would go up, but now the profit margins are smaller. In order for seniors to get their growth curves, they have to buy new discoveries. I wanted to invest in the people that are good in that. The market forgot about us from 2004 to today.”

 

Enter Minera Andes.

 

(Your correspondent must confess a certain favourable bias toward Minera, because their IR guy, Art Johnson, is a fellow Cowles Publishing Co. ex-pat. Art wrote about mining for the old Spokane Chronicle, till Cowles folded the Chron. I wrote about mining for the Spokane Spokesman-Review until the powers-that-be decided Coeur d’Alene real estate markets were more important, and rolled-up the Silver Valley bureau. Art and I both found our ways into IR work for miners, Art for Coeur, me for Sunshine, back in the late 1980s. If Art likes a mine, ipso facto so do I. So take my word for it that you can take Art’s word for any thing.)

 

Minera is partnered-up with the Peru-based Hochschilds in Argentina at the San Jose property. Nice crowd to run with. There are about 300 guys on the San Jose right now, prepping up a world-class silver and gold deposit whence mill construction begins next quarter. Engineering and banakable feasibility studies are in their final stages, all favorable.

 

At this point, Allen Ambrose, who is the CEO of Minera Andes, is about to burst, because he wants to talk about mining opportunities in politically-stable Argentina,

 

So let’s let Allen talk: “Every time we’ve drilled an anomaly we’ve hit veins. We have over 32 km of veins identified; it’s truly a district-scale property. If this was in the States or Canada you’d have three or four companies. In Argentina you have the ability to make these discoveries at the surface because nothing in that region has been explored. You’ve got a couple of producers down there in that part of the world, that’s all. Our target is 5.3 million oz of gold.”

 

Continues Mr. Ambrose: “What sets us apart is moving out of exploration and into production. We’re close to that stage. As Rob pointed out to me at our last meeting in Toronto, you look at a profile of company moving from exploration into production, they tend to get quiet, then move into production. There’s value in growth.”

 

After five Nevada gold company moves, why Argentina, why Minera Andes, we interrupt. Rob, why?

 

“I saw a company with a strong track record in a promising part of the world. This looks at lot like Nevada, and I’ve taken a recent interest in Nevada. It’s even better than Nevada because it’s 100 years behind Nevada. They have the ingredients to build a good-sized company.”

 

Minera has enough bank credit to get the San Jose on-line in 2007, now that McEwen has weighed in. Four mineralized systems over more than 30 kliks are known to exist at San Jose. Of this distance, only about 20 percent has been drill-tested for mineralization at depth. The current resource, says their company literature, based on US$300 gold and $5 silver, is 700,000 ounces of gold equivalent. Using a cutoff grade of 100 grams per ton the Huevos Verdes vein has an indicated resource of 1,058,000 tonnes with a silver grade of 266.8 g/t and gold grade of 3.1 g/t, for a total of 9,075,300 ounces of silver and 106,000 ounces of gold. The inferred resource is 1.541 million tonnes with a silver grade of 318.7 g/t and a gold grade of 3.5 g/t for a total of 15,789,700 ounces fo silver and 173,000 ounces of gold. (Equivalent figures are based on a 60:1 silver/gold ratio which does not take into consideration possible differences in metal recoveries).

 

Fifteen million ounces of silver, 173 thousand ounces of gold, for starters. Found by geophysics. Confirmed with diamond drills. Operated by the Hoschilds. That gets our attention.

 

McEwen is thinking ahead of the market. So is MinAndes. The best luck we ever had was the bad luck that hit the juniors last time around. Want to play? Now’s the time. Follow this guy.

 

 

 

By : David Bond

Editor : The Silver Valley Mining Journal

www.silverminers.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Analyse d'audience