In a case of the pot
calling the kettle black, Bernanke Says
Insurer AIG Operated Like a Hedge Fund.
“If there is a
single episode in this entire 18 months that has made me more angry, I
can’t think of one other than AIG,” Bernanke told lawmakers
today. “AIG exploited a huge gap in the regulatory system, there was no
oversight of the financial-products division, this was a hedge fund basically
that was attached to a large and stable insurance company.”
The company “made huge numbers of irresponsible bets, took huge losses,
there was no regulatory oversight because there was a gap in the
system,” Bernanke said. At the same time, officials “had no
choice but to try and stabilize the system” by aiding the firm.
My Comment: By attempting to
bail out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, AIG, Citigroup, Bank of America, and
Merrill Lynch, the Fed is making irresponsible bets, taking huge losses, and
has no regulatory oversight. There is a huge gap in the system, and that gap
is the Fed itself.
AIG is getting as
much as $30 billion in new government capital and relaxed terms on its
bailout announced yesterday.
In another sign of tighter regulation to come, Bernanke said supervisors
should have authority to bar new financial products that may be destabilizing
to markets.
My Comment: The first thing
supervisors should do is eliminate the Fed for its role in destabilizing the
markets.
“AIG is a huge,
complex, global insurance company attached to a very complicated investment
bank, hedge fund that was allowed to build up without any adult
supervision,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said today
during testimony to the House Ways and Means Committee. Because of “the
risks AIG poses to the economy,” he said, “the most effective
thing to do is to make sure the firm can be restructured over time.”
My Comment: The most effective
thing to do is let AIG go under.
“Whether we
like it or not, America’s federal policy is now driven by the need to
avoid another Lehman,” said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment
officer of Cumberland Advisors Inc., in Vineland, New Jersey.
My Comment: There is no need to
prevent another Lehman. Instead, there is precisely a need for more Lehmans. The
sooner we stop trying to prop up failed institutions, the sooner the economy
recovers. This is the lesson of Japan. Kotok badly needs a history lesson.
Bernanke said the
revised bailout gives taxpayers “the best chance” of eventually
recovering “most or all of the investments” the public has.
My Comment: There is no chance
of recovering the $163 billion taxpayers have wasted bailing out AIG and
Bernanke knows it.
Banks relied on
AIG’s financial products unit to back about $298 billion of assets
through derivative contracts at year-end, making the firm a
“systemically significant failing institution” that has to be
propped up, the Treasury said.
My Comment: Bernanke ought to
name the banks being bailed out on the other side of those $298 billion in
derivatives. And the amazing thing is even with that $163 billion going
Goldman, Citigroup, JPMorgan or whoever, and even with a further $300 billion
in guarantees to Citigroup and another $100 billion in guarantees to Bank of
America, the banking system is still insolvent.
“We’re
doing our absolute best in partnership with the Fed and Treasury to unwind
the very issues that Chairman Bernanke is talking about in a way that
preserves systemic stability and pays back taxpayers,” said Christina
Pretto, an AIG spokeswoman.
AIG has reduced the number of bets made by the financial products unit that
sold credit-default swaps by more than 25 percent since October and cut
expenses by “ hundreds of millions” of dollars, she said.
My Comment: Lovely. Taxpayers
have shelled out $150 billion and AIG has only reduced its derivatives by
25%. Pretto has some gall to suggest taxpayers will be paid back.
AIG’s Fourth Rescue May Not Be Last
Taxpayers can expect to shell out still more as analysis shows AIG’s Fourth
Rescue May Not Be Last.
U.S. taxpayers may
not be done bailing out American International Group Inc. after the head of
the Federal Reserve said a fourth rescue of the insurer was needed to keep
the financial system from failing.
“We’re not done with AIG by a long shot,” said Phillip
Phan, professor of management at the Johns Hopkins Carey Business School in Baltimore. “The problem is we still don’t know the extent of the
risk AIG has. We don’t know where the bottom is.”
The rescue, which now leaves taxpayers on the hook for $163 billion at AIG, a
government official said, was raised after the New York-based company
reported a $61.7 billion fourth-quarter loss on March 2. AIG still has
billions of dollars in unrealized losses on assets and faces declining
revenue on premiums because of the slump in commercial insurance and the
company’s struggle to attract new business.
Bernanke told the Senate Budget Committee yesterday that because AIG has so
many counterparties, its failure “would have had very adverse effects
on the banking system.” The company’s growth in risky markets is
attributable to a lack of regulation, he said.
The insurer will probably need more government funds to cover contract
liabilities and declines in asset values, according to Sean Egan, president
of Egan-Jones Ratings Co. in Haverford, Pennsylvania. At the end of December,
AIG had $27 billion in unrealized losses on swaps, options and forward
contracts and $25 billion in pretax gross unrealized losses on bonds and
equity securities. Credit-rating downgrades on structured finance products
may also boost losses, Egan said.
“We expect the U.S. will continue to support AIG until it is no longer
too big to fail,” Egan wrote in a March 2 report.
More Hedge Fund
Insanity
Inquiring minds are reading Ackman’s
Pershing Square Target Fund Fell 33.3% in February.
William
Ackman’s hedge fund that invests solely in Target Corp. fell 33.3
percent in February, bringing the loss since inception to 93 percent,
according to an e-mail sent to investors.
The decline in Pershing Square IV fund was more than three times that of
Target shares in February. Ackman made his bet using options rather than the
underlying stock, which can magnify gains or losses on an investment. Target
tumbled about 9 percent last month.
Ackman last month told investors seeking redemptions that they would get
their money back in March.
Ackman, 42, started his fund investing in the Minneapolis-based retailer in
2007 with $2 billion. A
call to his office wasn’t immediately returned.
Hedge Funds typically take 2% of
assets (annually) and 20% of profits.
In this case there were no profits. However, assuming the 2% figure is
accurate, Ackman made a veritable fortune driving his target fund to a 93%
loss. Not to worry, investors will "get their money back in March",
whatever is left of it.
Mish
GlobalEconomicAnalysis.blogspot.com
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