Do you want to buy silver? Have you considered seasonal price patterns before
jumping in with both feet? What typically has happened to the price of silver,
in past years, following a March/April purchase? Does it make sense to buy
now or wait to make that purchase?
In 2004 we can see that if we had made purchases of silver bullion in the
first trading day of April, by September our investment would still be unprofitable.
Additionally, multiple buying opportunities would still present themselves
had we waited and not purchased in April. So what happened in the following
years?
In 2005 our investment would not have suffered too badly but we would have
had multiple buying opportunities had we been more patient.
The bottom line is that in every single year since 2004, there would have
been equal or better buying opportunities in the price of Silver after the
month of April. In some years, such as 2004, 2007, 2008 & 2012, the price
of silver dropped significantly in the months following the month of April.
Investors can be their own worst enemy when they focus on the short term and
psych themselves out. In a bull market an investor can simply buy and hold
for the long term, but this is easier said than done. If their purchase does
not rise the moment they purchase it they can doubt themselves and sell low.
Looking for lower risk opportunities to average into new positions can really
help improve your portfolio's performance and help you stomach intermediate
term price swings.
We think it is wise to look at the markets from many angles. At www.investmentscore.com we
have proprietary indicators that help us gauge Short, Intermediate & Long
term buying opportunities. We also consider seasonal patterns and wait for
the lower risk opportunities to average into new positions. Our long term
indicators suggest that we are in a bull market and the bottom line is that
we want to make money from the big trend. Short term considerations can be
important but even if an investor had bought on the worst day of 2003 they
would still have an extremely profitable position today. Today's silver and
gold markets are very interesting as prices are down, the current correction
is getting to be long in the tooth yet the historical seasonal pattern suggests
caution.
Buy now? From a long term perspective we think it makes a lot of sense to
buy now. From a short to intermediate perspective things are less clear and
it may make sense to be patient and buy cautiously.
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