Technical analyst Clive Maund is following this
company whose varied projects include blockchain technology for real estate
transactions, a solar power project in Puerto Rico and a California land
deal.
Although Greenbriar Capital Corp. (GRB:TSX.V; GEBRF:OTC) hasn't
done much since we started following it, the outlook for it remains very
favorable and its stock continues to look like it is readying to break out of
a giant base pattern.
One important positive development for the company that has been moving
forward is that its RealBlock blockchain technology looks like it is going to
gain widespread use. The reason for this is that over the past couple of
years there has been an explosion in cybercrime involving hackers breaking
into email accounts, especially gmail, and intercepting the wire transfer
instructions that have in the past been routinely sent between real estate
companies and their clients via email for the purpose of expediting real
estate transactions. The hackers intercept the wire transfer instructions and
then reroute the wired funds into their own accounts. This problem is
mushrooming and approaching crisis proportions and this is where Greenbriar's
RealBlock blockchain system comes into play, as it is an encrypted safe
transfer system that shuts the hackers out. There is a lot of interest in
this system and potentially a lot of big customers that would lead to
substantial earnings per share for Greenbriar, and that's without factoring
in its Puerto Rican solar project and its innovative Smartglass technology,
which are both believed to be moving forward.
Looking at Greenbriar's latest 10-year chart, we see that although it has
continued to zigzag around in recent months within the confines of its giant
base pattern, its technical condition has continued to improve, with a
buildup in upside volume driving both of its volume indicators higher and
higher. This is an obvious sign of ongoing accumulation, and clearly breakout
can be expected to occur when all of the stock available around current
levels has been soaked up—and here we should note that Greenbriar only has
about 19 million shares in issue, and the majority of these shares are
tightly held by insiders—so it is obvious that the upside potential of this
stock is very big once it decides to get moving.
On its latest 6-month chart we see that after another sharp run-up on
strong volume early in September, it is rather overbought and rounding over
beneath resistance, so it could drop back again. While the positive volume
pattern suggests that it could break higher from the current pattern, if it
doesn't and instead drops back again, it will simply be regarded as
presenting another opportunity to buy or build positions further.
The conclusion is that Greenbriar continues to look like it is readying
for a major bull market advance, so we stay long and it is buy on any
near-term dips, if any. The fact is that most investors have no idea how much
this company is going to be worth and is already worth. Let's just briefly
consider this. With respect to the company's Montalva solar project in Puerto
Rico, following the devastation wrought to the island's infrastructure by
Hurricane Maria, the Federal Oversight and Management Board has classified
Greenbriar's solar project a "Critical Project" and recommended
that the project get built, and a court ordered valuation found the net
present value to Greenbriar to be US $191 million even if the project does
not get built, which works out at $10 a share.
Then we have Greenbriar's RealBlock blockchain technology, which is commencing commercial operations in just a few days
through its tradename RealBloq. With the real estate industry having no
choice but to adopt this technology because of the increasingly ruinous
consequences of ballooning wire transaction fraud, which was up from $17
million in 2016 to $969 million in 2017 based on FBI reports, this is set
to be a multi-billion dollar industry, and Greenbriar is already there with
the solution.
Finally, the company's land position in California, acquired at a very low
price, is set to be developed which will yield a further $260 million to
shareholders. So I'll stick to the charts, you do the math—don't worry, it's
easy "back of a matchbox" stuff, and to get you started I'll remind
you that Greenbriar only has 19 million shares in issue, most of which are
tightly held.
Greenbriar Capital website.
Greenbriar Capital Corp., GRB.V, GEBRF on OTC, closed at C$1.39, $1.11 on
28th September 2018.
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