As if Hillary didn’t have enough “going for her” – assuming her goal is
the biggest landslide defeat in U.S. history – the Democratic Party just
admitted its server was hacked, setting the stage for additional “smoking
gun” revelations. Worse yet, a list of (likely, just a small part of)
her planned tax hikes is now public, of roughly $1 trillion
over 10 years. Including a huge increase in income taxes; a “fairness
tax” on the rich; and a big increase in the death tax. And that doesn’t
even include her Bernie Sanders-like desire for free college tuition (FYI,
Sanders quit the Democratic Party on Wednesday); which, if legislated, could
cost as much as Obamacare.
And did I mention that the Social Security Administration just admitted
it is bankrupt – “coincidentally,” simultaneous with the introduction of
a Congressional bill titled, I kid you not, “SAVE UP,” to “bail-in” Social Security with higher taxes?
In other words, as I’ve been screaming from the rooftops for years, particularly
as we are in the early stages of what will be the worst economic
downturn since the Great Depression (with much more debt, and an imploding
currency to boot), it won’t be long before we become the Socialist States of
America – with European-style tax rates that will destroy the vast majority
of your savings. Which is why the urgency to cash out IRAs; and get out
of the system – or “GOTS, as Jim Sinclair calls it; has never been more
powerful.
In a nutshell, today’s article relates to the destruction of the
“propaganda leg” of the government’s “evil tripod” of money printing, market
manipulation, and propaganda. Yes, money printing is alive and
well – shortly, to “go Japanese” and “European.” And YES, market
manipulation is more virulent than ever – as evidenced by the “dead
ringer” algorithms supporting the “Dow
Jones Propaganda Average” every day this week. Not to mention, the
(largely failed) attempts to suppress Precious Metals, which I’ll get to
shortly.
However, starting with Wednesday’s pathetic FOMC policy statement –
prompting me to tape “the
Fed died today”; and ending with yesterday’s unfathomably horrible 1Q GDP
report, it’s gotten to the point that literally, NO ONE is listening
anymore. Nor does anyone care what “Wall Street” has to say – like
Goldman Sachs suggesting Wednesday’s FOMC statement was, LOL, “incrementally
hawkish.” And consequently, raising its estimate of the “odds” of a
September rate hike from 25% to 30%. This, less than 24 hours before
the Atlanta Fed’s “GDP now” tracker reduced its estimate of 2Q GDP “growth”
from 2.4% to 1.8%. Which in turn, was followed by yesterday’s BEA, or
Bureau of Economic Analysis’s, report on 2Q GDP growth, of…wait for it…just
1.2%, whilst 1Q “growth” was reduced from 1.2% to 0.8%. However, the
“icing on the cake” was the BEA’s admission that the “double seasonal
adjustments” undertaken last year – to goose chronically weakening GDP
results – don’t work; and thus, must be revised again. But
don’t hold your breath, as this time they expect it to take two years
to “fix.”
Trust me, U.S. data cooking insanity is about to “go Chinese,” as the
worst economic Depression in history gains momentum. No matter where
one looks, the outlook is worsening – from Ford admitting the (massively
oversupplied, historically subprime-laden) auto industry has peaked; to
McDonalds’ miserable experience in the dying restaurant market; to plunging
global trade volumes; Caterpillar’s 43rd straight month of declining
revenues; the nation’s longest “non-recessionary” streak of plunging durable
goods orders; collapsing E&P capex, as the next leg of the “transitory”
crude oil plunge takes hold; the sixth straight quarter of declining
corporate earnings – which would be much worse if GAAP accounting
were used; the lowest homeownership in five decades – coupled with the
highest rents in U.S. history; and exploding healthcare costs, care of
Obamacare and some of the world’s
worst demographics.
Why else would global interest rates be lower than at any time in history
– with the majority of QE-supported Western bonds trading at negative
yields, and U.S. Treasuries destined for the same fate? That is, until
hyperinflation wipes all such bonds out, in what will be history’s
most destructive bubble implosion. Summing the sorry state of the
collapsing global economy up perfectly, the CEO of UBS, one of Switzerland’s
largest banks, said yesterday “there is very little visibility about the
future on every front, both macro and geopolitical. I don’t see any
relief in the foreseeable future.” Which sadly, will turn out to
be the understatement of the century.
Which segues perfectly to the topic of Europe’s dying – or better put, dead
– banking system. Which I assure you, is just getting started on the
“Road to Perdition” that will destroy the savings of millions of Europeans in
the coming years. Deutsche Bank, whose stock appears primed to enter a
“Lehman death spiral” at any time, may be the poster child of European
financial failure. However, Italy’s entire banking system is in the
same position, as evidenced by Monte Paschi, Italy’s third largest bank,
failing the ECB’s softball-like “stress test” last night. And by
softball-like, I mean it doesn’t include the potential impact of
shock-to-the-system events like, say, the BrExit; negative interest rates; or
even the domino-like collapse of hundreds of trillions of derivatives – most
of which, can’t be quantified because they are held “off balance sheet.”
That said, Monte Paschi still failed the test; and thus, required
another bailout last night – which I assure you, will have a very short
lifespan. Meanwhile, the second worst performing bank in the study
(which “coincidentally” excluded Greek and Portuguese banks) was UniCredit,
Italy’s largest bank. Not to mention, the fact that countless
others, including Deutsche Bank, only “passed” because the bar was so low –
at 7% of capital – that it was nearly impossible to fail. Which is why
it’s so ominous that Italy’s banks performed so poorly, amidst “stress”
scenarios not even a fraction of what they are likely to endure in the coming
months. To which, all I can say is this. Anyone, pardon my French
– or Greek, Italian, Portuguese, Irish, or even German – stupid enough
to maintain large, soon-to-be-negative-yielding balances; of
soon-to-be-hyper-inflated currency of European banks; deserves exactly what
they are about to get.
Conversely, anyone crazy enough to ignore precious metals’ 5,000
years of wealth-preserving history – amidst a collapsing price suppression
scheme, which will shortly yield prices many multiples above today’s levels –
deserves the same fate. Let alone, as evidence of the Cartel’s imminent
demise, which I have been warning of all
year, is staring us in the face. To wit, following the massive
Precious Metal “key reversals” following Wednesday’s FOMC statement and
yesterday’s GDP report, we learned late yesterday that, as I predicted, the
Cartel – er, “commercials” – yet again failed to cover its historic
naked short positions as of Tuesday afternoon. That, before the
aforementioned Wednesday and Friday price surges, which unquestionably forced
them to increase their shorts further. Thus, if they can’t cover them by
Tuesday (and my guess is, they’ll be on the run from minute one on Monday),
next Friday’s report will be even uglier.
To wit, on a day when 8% of the entire COMEX registered silver inventory
was withdrawn – taking it to nearly an all-time low level, worth barely $500 million – we
learned the “commercial” naked short position rose another 868 contracts, to
an all-time high of 107,123 contracts, worth $11 billion. Meanwhile,
their near-record gold naked shorts barely ticked lower. NO ONE has
spent more time focusing on the looming “commercial
signal failure” this clearly portends. Which, more than ever, I
believe will be a 2016 event.
In a nutshell, I am officially declaring Central bank, and government
economic statistician, credibility to be DEAD as of this week. Next up,
as history’s largest, most destructive fiat Ponzi scheme inevitably implodes,
is – amongst other things – the gold Cartel!