|
At long
last GM has gone bankrupt and was booted from the DOW along with Citigroup. The
world did not end as former CEO Wagoner suggested would happen. Indeed the
markets seemed to be cheering the news. Let's take a look at some headlines.
GM Files Bankruptcy to Spin Off More Competitive Firm
General Motors Corp., the largest manufacturer to go
bankrupt, filed for court protection with a government-financed plan intended
to create a viable company that can compete in world markets.
The U.S. government will
extend $50 billion of loans to the 100-year-old automaker and plans to
convert that into a 60 percent stake in the reorganized company, according to
a filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New
York. GM today missed a deadline to show that it
could reorganize outside of court and reported debt of $172.8 billion, more
than twice its assets.
“Any suggestion that an American corporate
icon like GM could file for bankruptcy would have been laughable a few years
ago,” said Lynn Hiestand, a lawyer
specializing in restructuring with Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP.
U.S. Gets Majority Stake in New GM
The United States
will invest another $30 billion during and after the GM bankruptcy process,
bringing the U.S.
commitment to $50 billion. Following that infusion, "the U.S. Treasury
does not believe or anticipate that any additional assistance to GM will be
required," a senior administration official said Sunday night, calling
the restructuring a "permanent" solution.
Under the proposed restructuring, about 60 percent of the new GM would be
owned by the United States,
about 12 percent by the governments of Canada
and Ontario,
a union health trust would own 17.5 percent, and the company's current
bondholders would get 10 percent.
"The proposal seems to favor the rights and
claims of the UAW, a political ally of the current administration and a
powerful lobbying force in Washington, over the rights and claims of the
company's diverse group of bondholders," according to a letter from 20
House members, led by Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Tex.),
to Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner. "Contractual
rights of investors are being trampled by the government under the rationale
of 'extraordinary circumstances.' "
A critical legal issue is whether the bondholders might be able to get
more for their debt if the company were simply liquidated, the proceeds
distributed among those with claims.
The first critical issue is fairness. And by that measure bondholders
were robbed. The next critical issue is the taxpayer investment of $50
billion into GM that will never be repaid.
GM to Announce
Tentative Hummer Sale
GM has been studying strategic alternatives for the
brand for a year, and has settled on a buyer that could take over the brand
by the end of the third quarter, these people said. GM will continue
producing Hummer H2 and H3 trucks and SUVs at plants in Louisiana
and Indiana
for the buyer.
GM is withholding the name of the buyer until a later date, and will only say
on Tuesday that this investor is committed to continuing to develop the
Hummer portfolio and build alternative-fuel models for the brand at some
point. The purchase price will also be withheld.
If GM had not found a buyer by early June, Hummer would likely have been
killed in bankruptcy court, one person involved in the deal. GM found an
investor for its Opel brand over the weekend -- Magna International Inc. --
and is seeking buyers for Saturn and Saab.
Anyone dumb enough to buy the Hummer deserves to follow GM into
bankruptcy.
Filings Reveal Depth of Problems
General Motors Corp.'s $82.2 billion in assets and
$172 billion in liabilities spell out the extent of its problems and sheer
breadth of the 101-year-old giant's bankruptcy.
In a torrent of filings at the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan, GM's mind-numbing scale is
evident: It has 463 subsidiaries and has built 450 million cars and trucks
over the years. It employs 235,000 people world-wide. This includes 91,000 in the U.S., which
it pays $476 million each month, and 493,000 retirees with various benefits. It
spends $50 billion a year buying parts and services from 11,500 vendors in North America.
A liquidation analysis by the turnaround and advisory firm AlixPartners LLP,
which is also providing a chief restructuring officer to GM, estimated that
GM would have paid back its banks 23 cents to 77 cents on the dollar on the
$6 billion it owed them.
The Treasury, on the hook for $20 billion, would have gotten back 12 cents to
24 cents. Bondholders, the UAW's health-care trust and other unsecured
creditors would have received nothing.
A Saga of Decline and Denial
The above is a long, interesting read with enough details to suggest Wagoner
was incompetent.
For the New GM, A Final
Challenge to Please Drivers
America will soon have a new auto maker, "The New GM" -- or as some
will call it, "Government Motors." Politicians, financiers and
lawyers created it. American consumers will decide whether it succeeds.
The New GM will be a shadow of what the once-mighty old General Motors Corp.
used to be. But it will be a really big shadow -- with more brands, more
models, more dealers and possibly more market share than any other player in
the U.S.
industry. It will have a diverse ownership: the U.S. Treasury, the
governments of Canada and
the province of
Ontario, a collection
of bond investors and the United Auto Workers.
Mr. Henderson vowed that the New GM, freed of many of the health-care and
debt-service obligations that sucked up its capital, will now "increase
our investment in new technology" and no longer waste effort on cars
that aren't "best in class."
GM has said this before. Now it will have to deliver.
Pray tell, why should GM have to deliver now? Obama has already thrown
$50 billion at GM, what's another $50 billion more to win union votes?
Obama: Nationalization of GM to be short-term
In a defining moment for American
capitalism, President Barack Obama ushered General Motors Corp.
into bankruptcy protection Monday and put the government behind the wheel of
the company that once symbolized the nation's economic muscle.
The fallen giant, the largest U.S.
industrial company ever to enter bankruptcy, is shedding some 21,000 jobs and
2,600 dealers. Sparing few communities, the retrenchment amounts to one-third
of its U.S.
work force and 40 percent of its dealerships.
"We are acting as reluctant shareholders because that is the only way to
help GM succeed," Obama said of the temporary nationalization of the
100-year-old company.
"What I have no interest in doing is running GM," Obama said. His
only goal, he said, was to get GM back on its feet and then "to get out
quickly."
Take a look at the lead sentence of this article. The writer of this
story clearly does not know the difference between capitalism and toenail
fungus.
The Ad Campaign
for a ‘New’ G.M.
Can General Motors make up for decades of mistakes
and misfires in a minute?
That is the ambitious goal of a 60-second commercial to begin running on
television on Wednesday. The spot is already available on a Web site
(gmreinvention.com) and on YouTube.
The commercial was created by Deutsch, an advertising agency owned by the Interpublic
Group of Companies that handles assignments for G.M. like producing campaigns
for the (soon to be divested) Saturn division.
GM Reinvention
Does anyone find that music extremely scratchy and irritating? That sound is
god awful to me. Speaking of which I find those on-star ads extremely
irritating as well. I will immediately turn the station when I hear one. So
does my wife who even drives a GM.
Booted From The DOW
At long last GM is booted from the DOW.
GM, Citigroup
Replaced in Dow by Cisco, Travelers
By replacing GM with Cisco, Dow Jones & Co. has
removed automakers from the best-known benchmark for U.S. stocks,
saying in an e-mailed statement that computers are as central to the economy
as cars were in the previous century.
Cisco, the world’s largest maker of computer-networking equipment,
joins Microsoft Corp., International Business Machines Corp., Intel Corp. and
Hewlett-Packard Co. in the Dow, boosting its technology weighting from about
17 percent.
Travelers, the second-biggest U.S. commercial insurer, joins
JPMorgan Chase & Co., American Express Co. and Bank of America Corp.
among financial companies in the Dow. Its higher price than Citigroup’s
will boost the benchmark’s financial weighting to about 10 percent from
about 7 percent. Financials make up about 14 percent of the S&P 500, a broader benchmark.
The choice of New York-based Travelers restored an insurer to the Dow
average, which had lacked one since the removal of AIG.
No One Could Have Predicted This
Let's return one more time to the opening snip:
“Any suggestion that an American corporate
icon like GM could file for bankruptcy would have been laughable a few years
ago,” said Lynn Hiestand, a lawyer specializing in restructuring with
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP.
Really?
Flashback Wednesday, November 16, 2005
Inquiring minds are reading Can GM Be Saved?
...the real debate is not whether GM will go
bankrupt, but whether said bankruptcy occurs sooner rather than later.
The real question then should be how to handle the upcoming bankruptcy in the
most equitable manner possible rather than wasting money trying to prevent
it.
...
GM is currently on collision course with bankruptcy anyway so it may as well
happen in a manner that protects the most people. The 5 step program above
would protect both GM pensioners and US taxpayers. No doubt union members
will object to step number 4, but a reduction in the power of the UAW would
appear to be a foregone conclusion anyway.
...
Finally, the union may as well lock in a good deal for its pensioners right
now as opposed to a poor one later that might also affect taxpayers to the
tune of $30-100 billion or so.
...
the Mish plan to save GM in a "fair and equitable manner" was a
purely theoretical exercise that favored pensioners while ignoring huge
implications to GM stockholders and bondholders. In that regard it can not be
viewed as a serious proposal.
...
Here is the bottom line: No matter what CEO Wagner believes about bankruptcy,
it seems likely the market or the PBGC or perhaps even a new law protecting
pension benefits over bondholders will force him to change his mind. If
history is any guide, not only will GM go bankrupt, but pensioners will get
the shaft and taxpayers will end up footing some of the bill.
How did
I do?
Mish
GlobalEconomicAnalysis.blogspot.com
Mish's Global
Economic Trend Analysis
Thoughts on the great
inflation/deflation/stagflation debate as well as discussions on gold,
silver, currencies, interest rates, and policy decisions that affect the
global markets.
|
|