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New York closed at
$1,662.70 yesterday. Asia held it there at the weekend and London then set it
at $1,658.00 at the morning Fix and in the euro at €1,255.015 while the
euro stood at €1: $1.3211. Ahead of New York’s opening it stood
at $1,660.60 and in the euro €1,253.00 while the euro was at €1:
$1.3253.
Silver held again at
$31.22 down 40 cents in Asia. Ahead of New York’s opening it stood at
$31.17.
Gold (very
short-term)
Gold will
consolidate with a stronger bias, in New York today.
Silver (very
short-term)
Silver will
consolidate with a stronger bias, in New York today.
Price Drivers
On a seemingly ordinary Monday morning ending March
and signaling the closeness of Spring in the northern hemisphere there seems
to be little happening of significance, in the gold and silver markets. After
the Indian jeweler’s strike last week, we do expect a good pickup in
Indian demand as the strike caused a postponement of demand not an
elimination of it. We do see Chinese demand facing a similar situation too.
While permission of the People’s Bank of China is required by importers
to bring gold in, internal and official demand is relatively constant and
rising. So a bureaucratic delay will also only postpone demand, not eliminate
it. This is a positive for the gold and silver prices.
But there is an event of far greater significance
about to happen in response to the U.S. use of the SWIFT international
settlements system to prevent Iran from receiving payments for its oil. It
goes without saying that if Iran is prevented from exporting oil that supply
must be replaced likely by Saudi Arabia, who made a loud noise about the
extra 25% capacity it has to squash any oil shortage that may arise from U.S.
moves. But what is alarming for the BRIC nations [Brazil, Russia, India and
China] is that they are also being hit as buyers of that oil. It is more than
unlikely that they will cow tow to the U.S. moves and will seek and develop a
SWIFT system that allows their currencies to be used in place of the Dollar
for oil payments. We have written about this in our newsletter and in
succeeding ones, as this could prove to be the key move, in undermining the
U.S. dollar as the sole global reserve currency. [To follow this series,
please subscribe to our
newsletters at www.GoldForecaster.com and at www.SilverForecaster.com.] While it may
appear to spectators that this will be a short-term defensive move by the
BRIC countries, the need to reduce the power of the U.S. over these emerging
powers will be seen as paramount to them. So the moves they make will be
permanent. As precious metal investors, you will need to have a deep
understanding of these issues and what lies beneath the surface if you want
to maximize the benefits to you.
Regards,
Julian D.W. Phillips
for the Gold & Silver Forecasters
Global Gold Price (1
ounce)
|
|
Today
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1 day ago
|
Franc
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Sf1,558.97
|
Sf1,553.41
|
US
|
$1,698.22
|
$1,691.80
|
EU
|
1,269.22
|
€1,262.34
|
India
|
Rs.88,434.81
|
Rs.88,591.11
|
|
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