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- Unfortunately, most precious
metals investors don't take the food markets very seriously. Please click
here now. That's the corn chart.
- The major media may be playing
down the skyrocketing prices of corn, wheat, and soybeans, but the price
charts are telling another story. Note the vertical move by corn. It has
blasted up and out of this "super-wedge" chart pattern.
- Please click
here now. That's the gold chart. Note the tremendous similarity to
the corn chart. They both peaked at the end of last summer, and the
price action since then is very similar.
- A lot of investors are worried
that the price zone of $1525 for gold might "break",
producing a sizable decline.
- Please note that corn broke its
"$1525-equivalent" lows, and then it soon went as vertical
as a flagpole.
- I wouldn't worry about whether
$1525 breaks or not. I'd worry about whether you are on board the gold
rocket, if it makes a move like corn does. When the price of an asset
goes vertical, there's no time to "buy the breakout".
You have to be in before the move occurs.
- It's not fun getting in when the
charts tell you that the price is going lower, but getting richer
involves very little fun, on the buy side of the equation. Most
investors' problems are caused by having a little too much fun when
buying!
- You rarely know in advance what
will trigger a violent price move. Please click
here now. There are quite a number of long-term factors that could
lead to much higher corn prices, and the ability of pests to engineer
themselves against "Monsanto's finest" is one of those
key factors.
- Rising food prices have an
effect on gold. There is only so much marking to model that Ben Bernanke
can engage in, before he has to admit that there are growing
inflationary pressures in the food markets.
- A price chart that shows food
prices gapping higher is positive for gold prices.Please
click
here now. That's a chart of soybeans, and you can see a clear head and
shoulders top pattern in play. Unfortunately for the food price bears,
it's just a two day chart.
- Please click
here now. You are now looking at a longer term chart for soybeans,
and there's a fantastic head and shoulders bottom pattern in play. The
mini-top on the two day chart is simply indicating that there could be a
pullback towards the neckline area of this giant h&s
bottom formation.
- The target of the h&s bottom on soybeans is about $17 a bushel.
That's a substantial move. There are massive bull wedge patterns in play
on both corn and wheat. This incredibly bullish action in the grains
could send gold & silver surging higher, just when everyone has
almost given up on it ever happening.
- There is not much rain in sight
in America's corn belt, and the word amongst
farmers there is that the corn crops grown on lower-grade soil could be wiped
out by Saturday. Even if it starts raining right now, these farmers
are expecting prices to rise about 20% from current levels.
- Please click
here now. That's the silver price, and you can see that it broke the
demand line. What happened when that line broke? Silver didn't fall
down. Be careful about getting overly-bearish on gold and silver here, as
the seasonally strong season for these mighty metals gets underway.
- Please click
here now. That's the seasonal chart for silver, courtesy of Dimitri Speck. Today is June 26, and that date is
right in the area of silver's point of maximal seasonal weakness.
- Rather than predict further
declines in the metals, I'd suggest you should "err" on the
side of being overly-bullish.
- Think carefully about gold and
silver as assets of the highest quality. That's more important than
whether they might have another leg down against the dollar. I doubt
that many investors can do that successfully, but that fact doesn't
mitigate the importance of trying.
- Most chart patterns don't work.
Even when they do, professional investors will accumulate an asset that
has "broken down technically". The biggest question is
whether value is offered to the investor, when they buy.
- In the case of gold stocks,
value is offered to the investor at current prices, but there is a
broadening formation on the weekly GDX chart.
- To view that formation, please click
here now. It could be argued that a broadening top pattern is
in play, with a technical target of about $30. I think the supposed
broadening top is more likely just a chart shape.
- Gold stocks may be beginning to
exhibit an important non-confirmation with bullion. Note how far away
from the $39 area lows GDX is, while gold (and especially silver) are
very near to their lows.
- In the final analysis, if the
broadening formation on GDX is a real chart pattern, you have to be
prepared to buy and endure prices down to the $30 level. I'm fully
prepared to increase my position substantially if GDX trades below $39.
- If it's just a shape, then you
need to be sure you own a nice chunk of gold stock at these levels, so
you can benefit from much higher prices.
- GDX is currently trading about
12% above its $39 area lows, while gold is only about 3% above its $1525
area lows, and silver is almost right on its lows. The outperformance of
senior gold stocks is extremely bullish, for the entire precious metals
sector!
Special Offer
For Website Readers: Please send
me an email to freereports4@gracelandupdates.com
and I'll send you my free "Triple S" report! Learn what's ahead for
silver, soybeans, and sugar, and why these 3 great assets may soon put on a
parabolic exhibition of price action!
Thanks!
Cheers
St
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