With the dollar sliding, technical analyst Clive Maund says the outlook for gold and silver could not be better.
Today has been momentous because the dollar has finally broken down from its giant 3-year long Broadening Top pattern, and fundamental developments suggest that it will continue to weaken, and since it has now broken down decisively, the rate is decline is likely to accelerate. These fundamental developments include the imposition of tariffs, long proven to be self-defeating and economically destructive, which invite retaliation and will slow the global economy, and the administration stating that it wants to see a weaker dollar as a means of increasing competitive advantage, which again will invite a "beggar thy neighbor" response from other powers.
Thus the underpinnings of the stock market rally are being kicked away. The outlook for the dollar is now grim, but on the other hand the outlook for gold and silver could not be better, and they are now limbering up to break out of their giant Head-and-Shoulders patterns, and once they do will enter a vigorous bull market. Gold and silver stocks will soar when that happens, because after years of tough conditions, producing mining companies are slimmed down and efficient and rises in metal prices will go straight down to their bottom lines.
In the environment that we will soon be moving into you will basically be able to "throw darts" and pick winners in this sector, while most of the rest of the stock market goes into meltdown.
As we can see below, gold is now in position to break out of its giant base pattern that has taken almost five years to build out. The talk about it being suppressed by manipulation is largely "sour grapes"—the plain fact of the matter is that versatile investors were partying elsewhere, in the broad market, the FANGS, Bitcoin and Cryptos, etc., most of which will soon hit a wall.
Ditto silver, which will take a lot of investors by surprise because it has been more depressed, but has the capacity to rally more strongly.
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Charts provided by the author.
CliveMaund.com Disclosure:
The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund's opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications. Although a qualified and experienced stockmarket analyst, Clive Maund is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund's opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.
