For some strange reason, David Ricardo, the
great early-19th century British economist, is remembered primarily
for his arguments about free trade. Weird. Because Ricardo's writings are
primarily about money. Why? Britain
had left the gold standard in 1797 as a result of a financial crisis related
to the Napoleonic Wars. (There was a rumor that
French soldiers had landed on the shore
of Britain, which was
true. The small landing party promptly surrendered to a distant group of
women tending cows, which they mistook for British soldiers.) In 1809, the
pound had been a floating currency (mostly sinking) for over a decade.
Ricardo began writing letters to the Morning Chronicle, which turned
into the essay we are reading today. Ricardo had made his fortune as a
speculator, and in his middle years, devoted himself to putting Britain back
on a gold standard. (You can think of him as an early George Soros type.) In
1817 he published a much more detailed work of economic theory, the Principles
of Political Economy and Taxation, which remains, in my opinion, one of
the most insightful works on the basics of monetary theory ever written. (He
makes a few good points about trade as well.) He became a Minister of
Parliament in 1819, and led the political process of reestablishing
the gold standard in Britain,
which was accomplished in 1821. He died in 1823. Mission accomplished!
This essay is very long, but we will reproduce
all of it here, since there is plenty more to talk about in coming weeks.
The High Price of
Bullion
by David Ricardo
1810
The High Price of Bullion, a Proof of the
Depreciation of Bank
Notes.
by David Ricardo
London: Printed for John Murray,
32, Fleet-Street; And Sold by
Every Other Bookseller in Town and Country
1810
Introduction
The writer of the following
pages has already submitted some
reflections to the attention of the public, on
the subject of
paper-currency, through the medium of the
Morning Chronicle. He
has thought proper to republish his sentiments
on this question
in a form more calculated to bring it to fair
discussion; and his
reasons for so doing, are, that he has seen,
with the greatest
alarm, the progressive depreciation of the
paper-currency. His
fears have been augmented by observing, that
by a great part of
the public this depreciation is altogether
denied, and that by
others, who admit the fact, it is imputed to
any cause but that
which to him appears the real one. Before any
remedy can be
successfully applied to an evil of such
magnitude, it is
essential that there should be no doubt as to
its cause. The
writer proposes, from the admitted principles
of political
economy, to advance reasons, which, in his
opinion, prove, that
the paper-currency of this county has long
been, and now is, at a
considerable discount, proceeding from a
superabundance in its
quantity, and not from any want of confidence
in the Bank of
England, or from any doubts of their ability
to fulfil their
engagements. He does this without reluctance,
being fully
persuaded that the country is yet in
possession of the means of
restoring the paper-currency to its professed
value, viz. the
value of the coins, for the payment of which
it purports to be a
pledge.
He is aware that he can add
but little to the arguments which
have been so ably urged by Lord King, and
which ought long before
this to have carried conviction to every mind;
but he trusts,
that as the evil has become more glaring, the
public wil1 not
continue to view, without interest, a subject
which yields to no
other in importance, and in which the general
welfare is so
materially concerned.
Dec. 1, 1809.
High Price of Bullion, a Proof of
the Depreciation of Bank Notes
The precious metals
employed for circulating the commodities
of the world, previously to the establishment
of banks, have been
supposed by the most approved writers on
political economy to
have been divided into certain proportions among
the different
civilized nations of the earth, according to
the state of their
commerce and wealth, and therefore according
to the number and
frequency of the payments which they had to
perform. While so
divided they preserved every
where the same value, and as each
country had an equal necessity for the
quantity actually in use,
there could be no temptation offered to either
for their
importation or exportation.
Gold and silver, like other
commodities, have an intrinsic
value, which is not arbitrary, but is
dependent on their
scarcity, the quantity of labour bestowed in
procuring them, and
the value of the capital employed in the mines
which produce
them.
"The quality of
utility, beauty, and scarcity," says Dr
Smith, "are the original foundation of
the high price of those
metals, or of the great quantity of other
goods for which they
can every where be
exchanged. This value was antecedent to, and
independent of their being employed as coin,
and was the quality
which fitted them for that employment."
If the quantity of gold and
silver in the world employed as
money were exceedingly small, or abundantly
great, it would not
in the least affect the proportions in which
they would be
divided among the different nations - the
variation in their
quantity would have produced no other effect
than to make the
commodities for which they were exchanged
comparatively dear or
cheap. The smaller quantity of money would
perform the functions
of a circulating medium, as well as the
larger. Ten millions
would be as effectual for that purpose as one
hundred millions.
Dr Smith observes, "that the most
abundant mines of the precious
metals would add little to the wealth of the
world. A produce of
which the value is principally derived from
its scarcity is
necessarily degraded by its abundance."
If in the progress towards
wealth, one nation advanced more
rapidly than the others, that nation would
require and obtain a
greater proportion of the money of the world.
Its commerce, its
commodities, and its payments, would increase,
and the general
currency of the world would be divided
according to the new
proportions. All countries therefore would
contribute their share
to this effectual demand.
In the same manner if any
nation wasted part of its wealth,
or lost part of its trade, it could not retain
the same quantity
of circulating medium which it before
possessed. A part would be
exported, and divided among the other nations
till the usual
proportions were re-established.
While the relative
situation of counties continued unaltered,
they might have abundant commerce with each
other, but their
exports and imports would on the whole be
equal. England might
possibly import more goods from, than she
would export to,
France, but she would in consequence export
more to some other
country, and France would import more from
that country; so that
the exports and imports of all countries would
balance each
other; bills of exchange would make the
necessary payments, but
no money would pass, because it would have the
same value in all
countries.
If a mine of gold were
discovered in either of these
countries, the currency of that country would
be lowered in value
in consequence of the increased quantity of
the precious metals
brought into circulation, and would therefore
no longer be of the
same value as that of other countries. Gold
and silver, whether
in coin or in bullion, obeying the law which
regulates all other
commodities, would immediately become articles
of exportation;
they would leave the county where they were
cheap, for those
countries where they were dear, and would
continue to do so, as
long as the mine should prove productive, and
till the proportion
existing between capital and money in each
country before the
discovery of the mine, were again established,
and gold and
silver restored every where
to one value. In return for the gold
exported, commodities would be imported; and
though what is
usually termed the balance of trade would be
against the country
exporting money or bullion, it would be
evident that she was
carrying on a most advantageous trade,
exporting that which was
no way useful to her, for commodities which
might be employed in
the extension of her manufactures, and the
increase of her
wealth.
If instead of a mine being
discovered in any country, a bank
were established, such as the Bank of England,
with the power of
issuing its notes for a circulating medium;
after a large amount
had been issued either by way of loan to
merchants, or by
advances to government, thereby adding
considerably to the sum of
the currency, the same effect would follow as
in the case of the
mine. The circulating medium would be lowered
in value, and goods
would experience a proportionate rise. The
equilibrium between
that and other nations would only be restored
by the exportation
of part of the coin.
The establishment of the
bank and the consequent issue of its
notes therefore, as well as the discovery of
the mine, operate as
an inducement to the exportation either of
bullion or of coin,
and are beneficial only in as far as that
object may be
accomplished. The bank substitutes a currency
of no value for one
most costly, and enables us to turn the
precious metals (which,
though a very necessary part of our capital, yield
no revenue,)
into a capital which will yield one. Dr A.
Smith compares the
advantages attending the establishment of a
bank to those which
would be obtained by converting our highways
into pastures and
corn-fields, and procuring a road through the
air. The highways,
like the coin, are highly useful, but neither
yield any revenue.
Some people might be alarmed at the specie
leaving the country,
and might consider that as a disadvantageous
trade which required
us to part with it; indeed the law so considers
it by its
enactments against the exportation of specie;
but a very little
reflection will convince us that it is our
choice, and not our
necessity, that sends it abroad; and that it
is highly beneficial
to us to exchange that commodity which is
superfluous, for others
which may be made productive.
The exportation of the specie may at all times be safely left
to the discretion of individuals; it will not
be exported more
than any other commodity, unless its
exportation should be
advantageous to the county. If it be
advantageous to export it,
no laws can effectually prevent its
exportation. Happily in this
case, as well as in most others in commerce
where there is free
competition, the interests of the individual
and that of the
community are never at variance.
Were it possible to carry
the law against melting or
exporting of coin into strict execution, at
the same time that
the exportation of gold bullion was freely
allowed, no advantage
could accrue from it, but great injury must
arise to those who
might have to pay, possibly, two ounces or
more of coined gold
for one of uncoined
gold. This would be a real depreciation of
our currency, raising the prices of all other
commodities in the
same proportion as it increased that of gold
bullion. The owner
of money would in this case suffer an injury
equal to what a
proprietor of corn would suffer, were a law to
be passed
prohibiting him from selling his corn for more
than half its
market value. The law against the exportation
of the coin has
this tendency, but is so easily evaded, that
gold in bullion has
always been nearly of the same value as gold
in coin.
Thus then it appears that
the currency of one country can
never for any length of time be much more
valuable, as far as
equal quantities of the precious metals are
concerned, than that
of another; that excess of currency is but a
relative term; that
if the circulation of England were ten
millions, that of France
five millions, that of Holland four millions,
etc. etc. whilst
they kept their proportions, though the
currency of each country
were doubled or trebled, neither country would
be conscious of an
excess of currency. The prices of commodities
would every where
rise, on account of the increase of currency,
but there would be
no exportation of money from either. But if
these proportions be
destroyed by England alone doubling her
currency, while that of
France, Holland, etc. etc. continued as
before, we should then be
conscious of an excess in our currency, and for
the same reason
the other countries would feel a deficiency in
theirs, and part
of our excess would be exported till the
proportions of ten,
five, four, etc. were again established.
If in France an ounce of
gold were more valuable than in
England, and would therefore in France
purchase more of any
commodity common to both countries, gold would
immediately quit
England for such purpose, and we should send
gold in preference
to any thing else,
because it would be the cheapest exchangeable
commodity in the English market; for if gold
be dearer in France
than in England, goods must be cheaper; we
should not therefore
send them from the dear to the cheap market,
but, on the
contrary, they would come from the cheap to
the dear market, and
would be exchanged for our gold.
The Bank might continue to
issue their notes, and the specie
be exported with advantage to the country,
while their notes were
payable in specie on demand, because they
could never issue more
notes than the value of the coin which would
have circulated had
there been no bank.(1*)
If they attempted to exceed
this amount, the excess would be
immediately returned to them for specie;
because our currency,
being thereby diminished in value, could be
advantageously
exported, and could not be retained in our
circulation. These are
the means, as I have already explained, by
which our currency
endeavours to equalize itself with the
currencies of other
counties. As soon as this equality was
attained, all advantage
arising from exportation would cease; but if
the Bank assuming,
that because a given quantity of circulating
medium had been
necessary last year, therefore the same
quantity must be
necessary this, or for any other reason,
continued to re-issue
the returned notes, the stimulus which a redundant
currency first
gave to the exportation of the coin would be
again renewed with
similar effects; gold would be again demanded,
the exchange would
become unfavourable, and gold bullion would
rise, in a small
degree, above its mint price, because it is
legal to export
bullion, but illegal to export the coin, and
the difference would
be about equal to the fair compensation for
the risk.
In this manner if the Bank
persisted in returning their notes
into circulation, every guinea might be drawn
out of their
coffers.
If to supply the deficiency
of their stock of gold they were
to purchase gold bullion at the advanced
price, and have it
coined into guineas, this would not remedy the
evil, guineas
would be still demanded, but instead of being
exported would be
melted and sold to the Bank as bullion at the
advanced price.
"The operations of the Bank,"
observed Dr Smith, alluding to an
analogous case, "were upon this account
somewhat like the web of
Penelope, the work that was done in the day
was undone in the
night." The same sentiment is expressed
by Mr Thornton: -
"Finding the guineas in their coffers to
lessen every day, they
must naturally be supposed to be desirous of
replacing them by
all effectual and not extravagantly expensive
means. They will be
disposed, to a certain degree, to buy gold,
though at a losing
price, and to coin it into new guineas; but
they will have to do
this at the very moment when many are
privately melting what is
coined. The one party will be melting and selling
while the other
is buying and coining. And each of these two
contending
businesses will now be carried on, not on
account of an actual
exportation of each melted guinea to Hamburgh, but the operation
or at least a great part of it will be
confined to London; the
coiners and the melters
living on the same spot, and giving
constant employment to each other.
"The Bank,"
continues Mr Thornton, "if we suppose it, as we
now do, to carry on this sort of contest with
the melters, is
obviously waging a very unequal war; and even
though it should
not be tired early, it will be likely to be
tired sooner than its
adversaries."
The Bank would be obliged
therefore ultimately to adopt the
only remedy in their power to put a stop to
the demand for
guineas. They would withdraw part of their
notes from
circulation, till they should have increased
the value of the
remainder to that of gold bullion, and
consequently to the value
of the currencies of other countries. All
advantage from the
exportation of gold bullion would then cease,
and there would be
no temptation to exchange bank-notes for
guineas.
In this view of the
subject, then, it appears, that the
temptation to export money in exchange for
goods, or what is
termed an unfavourable balance of trade, never
arises but from a
redundant currency. But Mr Thornton, who has
considered this
subject very much at large, supposes that a
very unfavourable
balance of trade may be occasioned to this
country by a bad
harvest, and the consequent importation of
corn; and that there
may be at the same time an unwillingness in
the country, to which
we are indebted, to receive our goods in
payment; the balance due
to the foreign country must therefore be paid
out of that part of
our currency, consisting of coin, and that hence
arises the
demand for gold bullion and its increased
price. He considers the
Bank as affording considerable accommodation
to the merchants, by
supplying with their notes the void occasioned
by the exportation
of the specie.
As it is acknowledged by Mr
Thornton, in many parts of his
work, that the price of gold bullion is rated
in gold coin; and
as it is also acknowledged by him, that the
law against melting
gold coin into bullion and exporting it is
easily evaded, it
follows, that no demand for gold bullion,
arising from this or
any other cause, can raise the money price of
that commodity. The
error of this reasoning proceeds from not
distinguishing between
an increase in the value of gold, and an
increase in its money
price.
If there were a great
demand for corn its money price would
advance; because, in comparing corn with
money, we in fact
compare it with another commodity; and for the
same reason, when
there is a great demand for gold its corn
price will increase;
but in neither case will a bushel of corn be
worth more than a
bushel of corn, or an ounce of gold more than
an ounce of gold.
An ounce of gold bullion could not, whatever
the demand might be,
whilst its price was rated in gold coin, be of
more value than an
ounce of coined gold, or 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d.
If this argument should not
be considered as conclusive, I
should urge, that a void in the currency, as
here supposed, can
only be occasioned by the annihilation or
limitation of paper
currency, and then it would speedily be filled
by importations of
bullion, which its increased value, in
consequence of the
diminution of circulating medium, would
infallibly attract to the
advantageous market. However great the
scarcity of corn might be,
the exportation of money would be limited by
its increasing
scarcity. Money is in such general demand, and
in the present
state of civilization is so essential to
commercial transactions,
that it can never be exported to excess; even
in a war such as
the present, when our enemy endeavours to
interdict all commerce
with us, the value which the currency would
bear, from its
increasing scarcity, would prevent the
exportation of it from
being carried so far as to occasion a void in
the circulation.
Mr Thornton has not
explained to us, why any unwillingness
should exist in the foreign country to receive
our goods in
exchange for their corn; and it would be
necessary for him to
show, that if such an unwillingness were to
exist, we should
agree to indulge it so far as to consent to
part with our coin.
If we consent to give coin
in exchange for goods, it must be
from choice, not necessity. We should not
import more goods than
we export, unless we had a redundancy of
currency, which it
therefore suits us to make a part of our
exports. The exportation
of the coin is caused by its cheapness, and is
not the effect,
but the cause of an unfavourable balance; we
should not export
it, if we did not send it to a better market,
or if we had any
commodity which we could export more
profitably. It is a salutary
remedy for a redundant currency; and as I have
already
endeavoured to prove, that redundancy or
excess is only a
relative term, it follows, that the demand for
it abroad arises
only from the comparative deficiency of the
currency of the
importing country, which there
causes its superior value.
It resolves itself entirely
into a question of interest. If
the sellers of the corn to England, to the
amount I will suppose
of a million, could import goods which cost a
million in England,
but would produce, when sold abroad, more than
if the million had
been sent in money, goods would be preferred;
if otherwise, money
would be demanded.
It is only after a
comparison of the value in their markets
and in our own, of gold and other commodities,
and because gold
is cheaper in the London market than in
theirs, that foreigners
prefer gold in exchange for their corn. If we
diminish the
quantity of currency, we give an additional
value to it: this
will induce them to alter their election, and
prefer the
commodities. If I owed a debt in Hamburgh of 100
l. I should
endeavour to find out the cheapest mode of
paying it. If I send
money, the expence
attending its transportation being I will
suppose 5 l. to discharge my debt will cost me 105 l. If I
purchase cloth here, which, with the expences attending its
exportation, will cost me 106 l. and which will, in Hamburgh,
sell for 100 l. it is evidently more to my advantage
to send the
money. If the purchase and expences
of sending hardware to pay my
debt, will take 107 l. I should prefer
sending cloth to hardware,
but I would send neither in preference to
money, because money
would be the cheapest exportable commodity in
the London market.
The same reasons would operate with the
exporter of the corn, if
the transaction were on his own account. But
if the Bank,
"fearful for the safety of their
establishment," and knowing that
the requisite number of guineas would be
withdrawn from their
coffers at the mint price, should think it
necessary to diminish
the amount of their notes in circulation, the
proportion between
the value of the money, of the cloth, and of
the hardware, would
no longer be as 105, 106, and 107; but the
money would become the
most valuable of the three, and therefore
would be less
advantageously employed in discharging the
foreign debts.
If, which is a much
stronger case, we agreed to pay a subsidy
to a foreign power, money would not be
exported whilst there were
any goods which could more cheaply discharge
the payment. The
interest of individuals would render the
exportation of the money
unnecessary.(2*)
Thus then specie will be
sent abroad to discharge a debt only
when it is superabundant; only when it is the
cheapest exportable
commodity. If the Bank were at such a time
paying their notes in
specie, gold would be demanded for that
purpose. It would be
obtained there at its mint price, whereas its
price as bullion
would be something above its value as coin,
because bullion
could, and coin could not, be legally
exported.
It is evident, then, that a
depreciation of the circulating
medium is the necessary consequence of its redundance; and that
in the common state of the national currency
this depreciation is
counteracted by the exportation of the
precious metals. (3*)
Such, then, appear to me to
be the laws that regulate the
distribution of the precious metals throughout
the world, and
which cause and limit their circulation from
one county to
another, by regulating their value in each.
But before I proceed
to examine on these principles the main object
of my enquiry, it
is necessary that I should shew
what is the standard measure of
value in this country, and of which,
therefore, our paper
currency ought to be the representative,
because it can only be
by a comparison to this standard that its
regularity, or its
depreciation, may be estimated.
No permanent (4*) measure
of value can be said to exist in
any nation while the circulating medium
consists of two metals,
because they are constantly subject to vary in
value with respect
to each other. However exact the conductors of
the mint may be,
in proportioning the relative value of gold to
silver in the
coins, at the time when they fix the ratio,
they cannot prevent
one of these metals from rising, while the
other remains
stationary, or falls in value. Whenever this
happens, one of the
coins will be melted to be sold for the other.
Mr Locke, Lord
Liverpool, and many other writers, have ably
considered this
subject, and have all agreed, that the only
remedy for the evils
in the currency proceeding from this source,
is the making one of
the metals only the standard measure of value.
Mr Locke
considered silver as the most proper metal for
this purpose, and
proposed that gold coins should be left to
find their own value,
and pass for a greater or lesser number of
shillings, as the
market price of gold might vary with respect
to silver.
Lord Liverpool, on the
contrary, maintained that gold was not
only the most proper metal for a general
measure of value in this
country, but that, by the common consent of
the people, it had
become so, was so considered by foreigners,
and that it was best
suited to the increased commerce and wealth of
England.
He, therefore, proposed,
that gold coin only should be a
legal tender for sums exceeding one guinea,
and silver coins for
sums not exceeding that amount. As the law now
stands, gold coin
is a legal tender for all sums; but it was
enacted in the year
1774, "That no tender in payment of money
made in the silver coin
of this realm, of any sum exceeding the sum of
twenty-five pounds
at any one time, shall be reputed in law, or
allowed to be legal
tender within Great-Britain or Ireland, for
more than according
to its value by weight, after the rate of 5s.
2d. for each ounce
of silver." The same regulation was
revived in 1798, and is now
in force.
For many reasons given by
Lord Liverpool, it appears proved
beyond dispute, that gold coin has been for
near a century the
principal measure of value, but this is, I
think, to be
attributed to the inaccurate determination of
the mint
proportions. Gold has been valued too high; no
silver, therefore,
can remain in circulation which is of its
standard weight.
If a new regulation were to
take place, and silver to be
valued too high, or (which is the same thing)
if the market
proportions between the prices of gold and
silver were to become
greater than those of the mint, gold would
then disappear, and
silver become the standard currency.
This may require further
explanation. The relative value of
gold and silver in the coins is as 15 9/124 to
1. An ounce of
gold which is coined into 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. of gold
coin, is
worth, according to the mint regulation, 15
9/124 ounces of
silver,because that weight of silver is
also coined into 3 l.
17s. 10 1/2d. of silver coin. Whilst the
relative value of gold
to silver is in the market under 15 to 1,
which it has been for a
great number of years till lately, gold coin
would necessarily be
the standard measure of value, because neither
the Bank, nor 3
any individual, would send 15 9/124 ozs. of silver to the mint to
be coined into 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. when they
could sell that
quantity o£ silver in the market for
more than 3 l.
17s. 10 1/2d.
in gold coin, and this they could do by the
supposition, that
less than 15 ounces of silver
would purchase an ounce of gold.
But if the relative value
of gold to silver be more than the
mint proportion of 15 9/124 to 1, no gold
would then be sent to
the mint to be coined, because as either of
the metals are a
legal tender to any amount, the possessor of
an ounce of gold
would not send it to the mint to be coined
into 3 l.
17s. 10
1/2d. of gold coin, whilst he could sell it,
which he could do in
such case, for more than 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. of silver
coin. Not
only would not gold be carried to the mint to
be coined, but the
illicit trader would melt the gold coin, and
sell it as bullion
for more than its nominal value in the silver
coin. Thus then
gold would disappear from circulation, and
silver coin become the
standard measure of value. As gold has lately
experienced a
considerable rise compared with silver, (an
ounce of standard
gold, which, on an average of many years, was
of equal value to
14 3/4 ozs. of
standard silver, being now in the market of the
same value as 15 1/2 oz.) this would be the
case now were the
Bank Restriction-bill repealed, and the
coinage of silver freely
allowed at the mint, in the same manner as
that of gold; but in
an act of parliament of 39 Geo. III is the
following clause: --
"Whereas inconvenience may arise from any
coinage of silver until
such regulations may be formed as shall appear
necessary; and
whereas from the present low price of silver
bullion, owing to
temporary circumstances, a small quantity of
silver bullion has
been brought to the mint to be coined, and
there is reason to
suppose that a still further quantity may be
brought; and it is
therefore necessary to suspend the coining of
silver for the
present; be it therefore enacted, That from
and after the passing
of this act, no silver bullion shall be coined
at the mint, nor
shall any silver coin that may have been
coined there be
delivered, any law to the contrary
notwithstanding."
This law is now in force.
It would appear, therefore, to have
been the intention of the legislature to
establish gold as the
standard of currency in this country. Whilst
this law is in
force, silver coin must be confined to small
payments only, the
quantity in circulation being barely
sufficient for that purpose.
It might be for the interest of a debtor to
pay his large debts
in silver coin if he could get silver bullion
coined into money;
but being prevented by the above law from
doing so, he is
necessarily obliged to discharge his debt with
gold coin, which
he could obtain at the mint with gold bullion
to any amount.
Whilst this law is in force, gold must always
continue to be the
standard of currency.
Were the market value of an
ounce of gold to become equal to
thirty ounces of silver, gold would
nevertheless be the measure
of value, whilst this prohibition continued in
force. It would be
of no avail, that the possessor of 30 ounces of silver
should
know that he once could have discharged a debt
of 3 l.
17s. 10
1/2d. by procuring 15 9/124 ounces of silver
to be coined at the
mint, as he would in this case have no other
means of discharging
his debt but by selling his 30 oz. of silver at the
market value,
that is to say, for one ounce of gold, or 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. of
gold coin.
The public has sustained,
at different times, very serious
loss from the depreciation of the circulating
medium, arising
from the unlawful practice of clipping the
coins.
In proportion as they
become debased, so the prices of every
commodity for which they are exchangeable rise
in nominal value,
not excepting gold and silver bullion:
accordingly we find, that
before the re-coinage in the reign of King
William the Third, the
silver currency had become so degraded, that
an ounce of silver,
which ought to be contained in sixty-two
pence, sold for
seventy-seven pence; and a guinea, which was
valued at the mint
at twenty shillings, passed in all contracts
for thirty
shillings. This evil was then remedied by the recoinage. Similar
effects followed from the debasement of the
gold currency, which
were again corrected in 1774 by the same
means.
Our gold coins have, since
1774, continued nearly at their
standard purity; but our silver currency has
again become
debased. By an assay at the mint in 1798, it
appears that our
shillings were found to be twenty-four per
cent, and our
sixpences thirty-eight per cent. under their
mint value; and I am
informed, that by a late experiment they were
found considerably
more deficient. They do not, therefore, contain
as much pure
silver as they did in the reign of King
William. This debasement,
however, did not operate previously to 1798,
as on the former
occasion. At that time both gold and silver
bullion rose in
proportion to the debasement of the silver
coin. All foreign
exchanges were against us full twenty per
cent., and many of them
still more. But although the debasement of the
silver coin had
continued for many years, it had neither,
previously to 1798,
raised the price of gold nor silver, nor had it
produced any
effect on the exchanges. This is a convincing
proof, that gold
coin was, during that period, considered as
the standard measure
of value. Any debasement of the gold coin
would then have
produced the same effects on the prices of
gold and silver
bullion, and on the foreign exchanges, which
were formerly caused
by the debasement of the silver coins (5*).
While the currency of
different countries consists of the
precious metals, or of a paper money which is
at all times
exchangeable for them; and while the metallic
currency is not
debased by wearing, or clipping, a comparison
of the weight, and
degree of fineness of their coins, will enable
us to ascertain
their pit of exchange. Thus the par of
exchange between Holland
and England is stated to be about eleven
florins, because the
pure silver contained in eleven florins is
equal to the pure
silver contained in twenty standard shillings.
This par is not, nor can it
be, absolutely fixed; because,
gold coin being the standard of commerce in England,
and silver
coin in Holland, a pound sterling, or 20/21 of
a guinea, may at
different times be more or less valuable than
twenty standard
shillings, and therefore more or less valuable
than its
equivalent of eleven florins. Estimating the
par either by silver
or by gold will be sufficiently exact for our
purpose.
If I owe a debt in Holland;
by knowing the par of exchange, I
also know the quantity of our money which will
be necessity to
discharge it.
If my debt amount to 1100 florins,
and gold have not varied
in value, 100 l. in our pure gold
coin will purchase as much
Dutch currency as is necessary to pay my debt.
By exporting the
100 l. therefore in coin, or (which is the same thing)
paying a
bullion merchant the 100 l. in coin, and
allowing him the
expences attending its
transportation, such as freight,
insurance, and his profit, he will sell me a
bill which will
discharge my debt; at the same time he will
export the bullion,
to enable his correspondent to pay the bill
when it shall become
due.
These expences
then are the utmost limits of an unfavourable
exchange. However great my debt may be, though
it equalled the
largest subsidy ever given by this county to
an ally; while I
could pay the bullion-merchant in coin of standard
value, he
would be glad to export it, and to sell me
bills. But if I pay
him for his bill in a debased coin, or in a
depreciated paper
money, he will not be willing to sell me his
bill at this rate;
because if the coin be debased, it does not
contain the quantity
of pure gold or silver which ought to be
contained in 100 l.,
and
he must therefore export an additional number
of such debased
pieces of money, to enable him to pay my debt
of 100 l.,
or its
equivalent, 1100 florins. If I pay him in
paper money; as he
cannot send it abroad, he will consider
whether it will purchase
as much gold or silver bullion as is contained
in the coin for
which it is a substitute; if it will do this,
paper will be as
acceptable to him as coin; but if it will not,
he will expect a
further premium for his bill, equal to the
depreciation of the
paper.
While the circulating
medium consists, therefore, of coin
undebased, or of paper-money
immediately exchangeable for
undebased coin, the exchange can
never be more above, or more
below, par, than the expences
attending the transportation of the
precious metals. But when it consists of a
depreciated
paper-money, it necessarily will fall
according to the degree of
the depreciation.
The exchange will,
therefore, be a tolerably accurate
criterion by which we may judge of the
debasement of the
currency, proceeding either from a clipped
coinage, or a
depreciated paper-money.
It is observed by Sir James
Stuart, "That if the foot measure
was altered at once over all England, by
adding to it, or taking
from it, any proportional part of its standard
length, the
alteration would be best discovered, by
comparing the new foot
with that of Paris, or of any other country,
which had suffered
no alteration.
"Just so, if the pound
sterling, which is the English unit,
shall be found any how changed; and if the
variation it has met
with be difficult to ascertain, because of a
complication of
circumstances; the best way to discover it
will be to compare the
former and the present value of it, with the
money of other
nations which has suffered no variation. This
the exchange will
perform with the greatest exactness." The
Edinburgh reviewers, in
speaking of Lord King's pamphlet, observe,
that "it does not
follow because our imports always consist
partly of bullion, that
the balance of trade is therefore permanently
in our favour.
Bullion," they say, "is a commodity,
for which, as for every
other, there is a varying demand; and which,
exactly like any
other, may enter the catalogue either of
imports or exports; and
this exportation or importation of bullion
will not affect the
course of exchange in a different way from the
exportation or
importation of any other commodities."
No person ever exports or
imports bullion without first
considering the rate of exchange. It is by the
rate of exchange
that he discovers the relative value of
bullion in the two
countries between which it is estimated. It is
therefore
consulted by the bullion-merchant in the same
manner as the
price-current is by other merchants, before
they determine on the
exportation or importation of other
commodities. If eleven
florins in Holland contain an equal quantity
of pure silver as
twenty standard shillings, silver bullion,
equal in weight to
twenty standard shillings, can never be
exported from London to
Amsterdam whilst the exchange is at par, or
unfavourable to
Holland. Some expence
and risk must attend its exportation, and
the very term par expresses that a quantity of
silver bullion,
equal to that weight and purity, is to be
obtained in Holland by
the purchase of a bill of exchange, free of
all expence. Who
would send bullion to Holland at an expence of three or four per
cent. when, by the purchase of a bill at par,
he in fact obtains
an order for the delivery to his correspondent
in Holland of the
same weight of bullion which he was about to
export?
It would be as reasonable
to contend, that when the price of
corn is higher in England than on the
Continent, corn would be
sent, notwithstanding all the charges on its
exportation, to be
sold in the cheaper market.
Having already noticed the
disorders to which a metallic
currency is exposed, I will proceed to
consider those which,
though not caused by the debased state of either
the gold or
silver coins, are nevertheless more serious in
their ultimate
consequences.
Our circulating medium is
almost wholly composed of paper,
and it behoves us to guard against the
depreciation of the paper
currency with at least as much vigilance as
against that of the
coins.
This we have neglected to
do.
Parliament, by restricting
the Bank from paying in specie,
have enabled the conductors of that concern to
increase or
decrease at pleasure the quantity and amount
of their notes; and
the previously existing checks against an
over-issue having been
thereby removed, those conductors have
acquired the power of
increasing or decreasing the value of the
paper currency.
In tracing the present
evils to their source, and proving
their existence by an appeal to the two
unerring tests I have
before mentioned, namely, the rate of exchange
and the price of
bullion, I shall avail myself of the account
given by Mr Thornton
of the conduct of the Bank before the
restriction, to shew how
clearly they acted on the principle which he
has expressly
acknowledged, viz. that the value of their
notes is dependent on
their amount, and that they ascertained the
variation in their
value by the tests I have just referred to.
Mr Thornton tells us,
"That if at any time the exchanges of
the country became so unfavourable as to
produce a material
excess of the market above the mint price of
gold, the directors
of the Bank, as appears by the evidence of
some of their body,
given to parliament, were disposed to resort
to a reduction of
their paper, as a means of diminishing or
removing the excess,
and of thus providing for the security of
their establishment.
They moreover have at all times," he
says, "been accustomed to
observe some limit as to the quantity of their
notes for the same
prudential reasons. " And in another
place: " When the price
which our coin will fetch in foreign countries
is such as to
tempt it out of the kingdom, the directors of
the Bank naturally
diminish, in some degree, the quantity of
their paper through an
anxiety for the safety of their establishment.
By diminishing
their paper, they raise its value; and in
rising its value, they
raise also the value in England of the current
coin which is
exchanged for it. Thus the value of our gold
coin conforms itself
to the value of the current paper, and the
current paper is
rendered by the Bank-directors, of that value
which it is
necessary that it should bear in order to
prevent large
exportations;-a value sometimes rising a
little above, and
sometimes falling a little below, the price
which our coin bears
abroad."
The necessity which the
Bank felt itself under to guard the
safety of its establishment, therefore, always
prevented, before
the restriction from paying in specie, a too
lavish issue of
paper money.
Thus we find that, for a
period of twenty-three years
previously to the suspension of cash payments
in 1797, the
average price of gold bullion was 3 l. 17s. 7 3/4d. per oz.
about
2 3/4d. under the mint price; and for sixteen
years previously to
1774, it never was much above 4 l. per oz. It should be
remembered that during these sixteen years our
gold coin was
debased by wearing, and it is therefore
probable that 4 l.
of
such debased money did not weigh as much as
the ounce of gold for
which it was exchanged.
Dr A. Smith considers every
permanent excess of the market
above the mint price of gold, as referrible to the state of the
coins. While the coin was of its standard
weight and purity, the
market price of gold bullion, he thought,
could not greatly
exceed the mint price.
Mr Thornton contends that
this cannot be the only cause. "We
have," he says, "lately experienced
fluctuations in our
exchanges, and correspondent variations in the
market, compared
with the mint price of gold, amounting to no
less than eight or
ten per cent; the state of our coinage
continuing in all respects
the same." Mr Thornton should have
reflected that at the time he
wrote, specie could not be demanded at the
Bank in exchange for
notes; that this was a cause for the
depreciation of the currency
which Dr Smith could never have anticipated.
If Mr Thornton had
proved that there had been a fluctuation of
ten per cent. in the
price of gold, while the Bank paid their notes
in specie, and the
coin was undebased,
he would then have convicted Dr Smith of "
having treated this important subject in a
defective and
unsatisfactory manner." (6*)
But as all checks against
the over-issues of the Bank are now
removed by the act of parliament, which
restricts them from
paying their notes in specie, they are no
longer bound by "fears
for the safety of their establishment,"
to limit the quantity of
their notes to that sum which shall keep them
of the same value
as the coin which they represent. Accordingly
we find that gold
bullion has risen from 3 l. 17s. 7 3/4d. the average
price
previously 1 to 1797, to 4 l. 10s. and has been lately
as high as
4 l. 13s. per oz.
We may therefore fairly
conclude that this difference in the
relative value, or, in other words, that this
depreciation in the
actual value of bank-notes has been caused by
the too abundant
quantity which the Bank has sent into
circulation. The same cause
which has produced a difference of from fifteen
to twenty per
cent. in bank-notes when compared with gold
bullion, may increase
it to fifty per cent. There can be no limit to
the depreciation
which may arise from a constantly increasing
quantity of paper.
The stimulus which a redundant currency gives
to the exportation
of the coin has acquired new force, but
cannot, as formerly,
relieve itself. We have paper money only in
circulation, which is
necessarily confined to ourselves. Every
increase in its quantity
degrades it below the value of gold and silver
bullion, below the
value of the currencies of other counties.
The effect is the same as
that which would have been produced
from clipping our coins.
If one-fifth were taken off
from every guinea, the market
price of gold bullion would rise one-fifth
above the mint price.
Forty-four guineas and a half (the number of
guineas weighing a
pound, and therefore called the mint price),
would no longer
weigh a pound, therefore a fifth more than
that quantity, or
about 56 l. would be the price of a pound of gold,
and the
difference between the market and the mint
price, between 56 l.
and 46 l. 14s. 6d. would measure the
depreciation.
If such debased coin were
to continue to be called by the
name of guineas, and if the value of gold bullion
and all other
commodities were rated in the debased coin, a
guinea fresh from
the mint would be said to be worth 1 l. 5s. and that sum would
be
given for it by the illicit trader; but it
would not be the value
of the new guinea which had increased, but
that of the debased
guineas which had fallen. This would
immediately be evident, if a
proclamation were issued, prohibiting the
debased guineas from
being current but by weight at the mint price
of 3 l.
17s. 10
1/2d.; this would be constituting the new and
heavy guineas, the
standard measure of value, in lieu of the
clipped and debased
guineas. The latter would then pass at their
true value, and be
called 17 or 18 shilling-pieces. So if a
proclamation to the same
effect were now enforced, banknotes would not
be less current,
but would pass only for the value of the gold
bullion which they
would purchase. A guinea would then no longer
be said to be worth
1 l. 4s. but a pound note would be current only for 16
or 17
shillings. At present gold coin is only a
commodity, and
bank-notes are the standard measure of value,
but in that case
gold coin would be that measure, and
bank-notes would be the
marketable commodity.
" It is," says Mr
Thornton, " the maintenance of our general
exchanges, or, in other words, it is the
agreement of the mint
price with the bullion price of gold, which
seems to be the true
proof that the circulating paper is not
depreciated." When the
motive for exporting gold occurs, while the
Bank do not pay in
specie, and gold cannot therefore be obtained
at its mint price,
the small quantity that can be procured will
be collected for
exportation, and bank-notes will be sold at a
discount for gold
in proportion to their excess. In saying
however that gold is at
a high price, we are mistaken; it is not gold,
it is paper which
has changed its value. Compare an ounce of
gold, or 3 l.
17s. 10
1/2d. to commodities, it bears the same
proportion to them which
it has before done; and if it do not, it is referrible to
increased taxation, or to some of those causes
which are so
constantly operating on its value. But if we
compare the
substitute of an ounce of gold, 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. in
banknotes,
with commodities, we shall then discover the
depreciation of the
bank-notes. In every market of the world I am
obliged to part
with 4 l. 10s. in bank-notes to purchase the same
quantity of
commodities which I can obtain for the gold
that is in 3 l.
17s.
10 1/2d. of coin.
It is often asserted, that
a guinea is worth at Hamburgh 26
or 28 shillings; but we should be very much
deceived if we should
therefore conclude that a guinea could be sold
at Hamburgh for as
much silver as is contained in 26 or 28
shillings. Before the
alteration in the relative value of gold and
silver, a guinea
would not sell at Hamburgh
for as much silver coin as is
contained in 21 standard shillings; it will at
the present market
price sell for a sum of silver currency,
which, if imported and
carried to our mint to be coined, will produce
in our standard
silver coin 21s. 5d. (7*)
It is nevertheless true,
that the same quantity of silver
will, at Hamburgh,
purchase a bill payable in London, in
banknotes, for 26 or 28 shillings. Can there
be a more
satisfactory proof of the depreciation of our
circulating medium?
It is said, that, if the
Restriction-bill were not in force,
every guinea would leave the country.(8*)
This is, no doubt, true;
but if the Bank were to diminish the
quantity of their notes until they had
increased their value
fifteen per cent., the restriction might be
safely removed, as
there would then be no temptation to export
specie. However long
it may be deferred, however great may be the
discount on their
notes, the Bank can never resume their
payments in specie, until
they first reduce the amount of their notes in
circulation to
these limits.
The law is allowed by all
writers on political economy to be
a useless barrier against the exportation of
guineas: it is so
easily evaded, that it is doubted whether it
has had the effect
of keeping a single guinea more in England
than there would have
been without such law. Mr
Locke, Sir J. Stuart, Dr A. Smith, Lord
Liverpool, and Mr
Thornton, all agree on this subject. The latter
gentleman observes, "That the state of
the British law
unquestionably serves to discourage and limit,
though not
effectually to hinder, that exportation of
guineas which is
encouraged by an unfavourable
balance of trade, and perhaps
scarcely lessens it when the profit on exportation
becomes very
great." Yet after every guinea that can
in the present state of
things be procured by the illicit trader has
been melted and
exported, he will hesitate before he openly
buys guineas with
bank-notes at a premium, because, though considerable
profit may
attend such speculation, he will thereby
render himself an object
of suspicion. He may be watched, and prevented
from effecting his
object. As the penalties of the law are
severe, and the
temptation to informers great, secrecy is
essential to his
operations. When guineas can be procured by
merely sending a
bank-note for them to the Bank, the law will
be easily evaded;
but when it is necessary to collect them
openly and from a widely
diffused circulation, consisting almost wholly
of paper, the
advantage attending it must be very
considerable before any one
will encounter the risk of being detected.
When we reflect that above
sixty millions sterling have been
coined into guineas during his present Majesty's
reign, we may
form some idea of the extent to which the
exportation of gold
must have been carried. - But repeal the law
against the
exportation of guineas, permit them to be
openly sent out of the
county, and what can prevent an ounce of
standard gold in guineas
from selling at as good a price for
bank-notes, as an ounce of
Portugueze gold coin, or standard
gold in bars, when it is known
to be equal to them in fineness? And if an
ounce of standard gold
in guineas would sell in the market, as
standard bars do now, at
4 l. 10s. per oz., or as they have lately done at 4l.
13s. per
oz., what shopkeeper would sell his goods at
the same price
either for gold or bank-notes indifferently?
If the price of a
coat were 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. or an ounce of gold, and if
at the
same time an ounce of gold would sell for 4 l. 13s., is it
conceivable that it would be a matter of
indifference to the
tailor whether he were paid in gold or in
bank-notes?
It is only because a guinea
will not purchase more than a
pound-note and a shilling, that many hesitate
to allow that
bank-notes are at a discount. The Edinburgh
Review supports the
same opinion; but if my reasoning be correct,
I have shewn such
objections to be groundless.
Mr
Thornton has told us that an unfavourable trade
will
account for an unfavourable
exchange; but we have already seen
that an unfavourable
trade, if such be an accurate term, is
limited in its effects on the exchange. That
limit is probably
four or five per cent. This will not account
for a depreciation
of fifteen or twenty per cent. Moreover Mr Thornton has told us,
and I entirely agree with him, "That it
may be laid down as a
general truth, that the commercial exports and
imports of a state
naturally proportion themselves in some degree
to each other, and
that the balance of trade therefore cannot
continue for a very
long time to be either highly favourable or highly unfavourable
to a county." Now the low exchange, so
far from being temporary,
existed before Mr
Thornton wrote in 1802, and has since been
progressively increasing, and is now from
fifteen to twenty per
cent. against us. Mr
Thornton must therefore, according to his
own principles, attribute it to some more
permanent cause than an
unfavourable balance of trade, and
will, I doubt not, whatever
his opinion may formerly have been, now agree
that it is to be
accounted for only by the depreciation of the
circulating medium.
It can, I think, no longer
be disputed that bank-notes are at
a discount. While the price of gold bullion is
4 l.
10s. per oz.,
or in other words, while any man will consent
to give that which
professes to be an obligation to pay nearly an
ounce, and a sixth
of an ounce of gold, for an ounce, it cannot
be contended that 4
l. 10s. in notes and 4 l. 10s. in gold coin are of
the same
value.
An ounce of gold is coined
into 3 l.
17s. 10 1/2d.; by
possessing that sum therefore I have an ounce
of gold, and would
not give 4 l. 10s. in gold coin, or notes which I
could
immediately exchange for 4 l. 10s., for an ounce of
gold.
It is contrary to common
sense to suppose that such could be
the market value, unless the price were
estimated in a
depreciated medium.
If the price of gold were
estimated in silver indeed, the
price might rise to 4 l., 5 l., or 10 l. an ounce, and it
would,
of itself, be no proof of the depreciation of
paper currency, but
of an alteration in the relative value of gold
and silver. I
have, however, I think proved, that silver is
not the standard
measure of value, and therefore not the medium
in which the value
of gold is estimated. But if it were; as an
ounce of gold is only
worth in the market 15 1/2 oz. of silver, and
as 15 1/2 ounces of
silver is precisely equal in weight, and is
therefore coined into
80 shillings, an ounce of gold ought not to
sell for more than 4
l.
Those then who maintain
that silver is the measure of value
cannot prove that any demand for gold which
may have taken place,
from whatever cause it may have proceeded, can
have raised its
price above 4l. per oz. All above that price
must, on their own
principles, be called a depreciation in the
value of bank-notes.
It therefore follows, that if bank-notes be
the representative of
silver coin, then an ounce of gold, selling as
it now does for 4
l. 10s. sells for an amount of notes which
represent 17 1/2
ounces of silver, whereas in the bullion
market it can only be
exchanged for 15 1/2 ounces. Fifteen ounces
and a half of silver
bullion are therefore of equal value with an
engagement of the
Bank to pay to bearer seventeen ounces and a
half.
The market price of silver
is at the present time 5s. 9 1/2d.
per oz. estimated in bank-notes, the mint
price being only 5s.
2d., consequently the standard silver in 100 l. is worth more
than 112 l. in bank-notes.
But bank-notes, it may be
said, are the representatives of
our debased silver coin, and not of our
standard silver. This is
not true, because the law which I have already
quoted declares
silver to be a legal tender for sums only not
exceeding 25 l.
except by weight. If the Bank insisted on
paying the holder of a
bank-note of 1000 l. in silver coin,
they would be bound either
to give him standard silver of full weight, or
debased silver of
an equal value, with the exception of 25 l. which they might pay
him in debased coin. But the 1000 l. so
consisting of 975 l. pure
money, and 25 l. debased, is worth more than
1112 l. at the
present market value of silver bullion.
It is said that the amount
of bank-notes has not increased in
a greater proportion than the augmentation of
our trade required,
and therefore cannot be excessive. This
assertion would be
difficult to prove, and if true, no argument
but what is delusive
could be founded on it. In the first place,
the daily
improvements which we are making in the art of
economizing the
use of circulating medium, by improved methods
of banking, would
render the same amount of notes excessive now,
which were
necessary for the same state of commerce at a
former period.
Secondly, there is a constant competition
between the Bank of
England and the country-banks to establish
their notes, to the
exclusion of those of their rivals, in every
district where the
country banks are established.
As the latter have more
than doubled in number within very
few years, is it not probable that their
activity may have been
crowned with success, in displacing with their
own notes many of
those of the Bank of England?
If this have happened, the
same amount of Bank of England
notes would now be excessive; which, with a
less extended
commerce, was before barely sufficient to keep
our currency on a
level with that of other counties. No just
conclusion can
therefore be drawn from the actual amount of
bank-notes in
circulation, though the fact, if examined,
would, I have no
doubt, be found to be, that the increase in
the amount of
banknotes, and the high price of gold, have
usually accompanied
each other.
It is doubted, whether two
or three millions of Bank-notes
(the sum which the Bank is supposed to have
added to the
circulation, over and above the amount which
it will easily
bear,) could have had such effects as are
ascribed to them; but
it should be recollected, that the Bank
regulate the amount of
the circulation of all the country banks, and
it is probable,
that if the Bank increase their issues three
millions, they
enable the country banks to add more than
three millions to the
general circulation of England.
The money of a particular
county is divided amongst its
different provinces by the same rules as the
money of the world
is divided amongst the different nations of
which it is composed.
Each district will retain in its circulation
such a proportionate
share of the currency of the country, as its
trade, and
consequently its payments, may require,
compared to the trade of
the whole; and no increase can take place in
the circulating
medium of one district, without being
generally diffused, or
calling forth a proportionable
quantity in every other district.
It is this which keeps a country bank note
always of the same
value as a Bank of England note. If in London,
where Bank of
England notes only are current, one million be
added to the
amount in circulation, the currency will
become cheaper there
than elsewhere, or goods will become dearer.
Goods will,
therefore, be sent from the country to the
London market, to be
sold at the high prices, or which is much more
probable, the
country banks will take advantage of the relative
deficiency in
the country currency, and increase the amount
of their notes in
the same proportion as the Bank of England had
done; prices would
then be generally, and not partially affected.
In the same manner, if Bank
of England notes be diminished
one million, the comparative value of the
currency of London will
be increased, and the prices of goods
diminished. A Bank of
England note will then be more valuable than a
country bank note,
because it will be wanted to purchase goods in
the cheap market;
and as the country banks are obliged to give
Bank of England
notes for their own when demanded, they would
be called upon for
them till the quantity of country paper should
be reduced to the
same proportion which it before bore to the
London paper,
producing a corresponding fall in the prices
of all goods for
which it was exchangeable.
The country banks could
never increase the amount of their
notes, unless to fill up a relative deficiency
in the country
currency, caused by the increased issues of
the Bank of
England.(9*) If they attempted it, the same
check which compelled
the Bank of England to withdraw part of their
notes from
circulation when they used to pay them on
demand in specie, would
oblige the country banks to adopt the same
course. Their notes
would, on account of the increased quantity,
be rendered of less
value than the Bank of England notes, in the
same manner as Bank
of England notes were rendered of less value
than the guineas
which they represented. They would therefore
be exchanged for
Bank of England notes until they were of the
same value.
The Bank of England is the
great regulator of the country
paper. When they increase or decrease the
amount of their notes,
the country banks do the same; and in no case
can country banks
add to the general circulation, unless the
Bank of England shall
have previously increased the amount of their
notes.
It is contended, that the
rate of interest, and not the price
of gold or silver bullion, is the criterion by
which we may, that
if it were always judge of the abundance of
paper-money too
abundant, interest would fall, and if not
sufficiently so,
interest would rise. It can, I think, be made
manifest, that the
rate of interest is not regulated by the
abundance or scarcity of
money, but by the abundance or scarcity of
that part of capital,
not consisting of money.
"Money," observes
Dr A. Smith, "the great wheel of
circulation, the great instrument of commerce,
like all other
instruments of trade, though it makes a part,
and a very valuable
part of the capital, makes no part of the
revenue of the society
to which it belongs; and though the metal
pieces of which it is
composed, in the course of their annual
circulation, distribute
to every man the revenue which properly
belongs to him, they make
themselves no part of that revenue.
"When we compute the
quantity of industry which the
circulating capital of any society can employ,
we must always
have regard to those parts of it only which
consist in
provisions, materials, and finished work: the
other, which
consists in money, and which serves only to
circulate those
three, must always be deducted. In order to
put industry into
motion, three things are requisite: -
materials to work upon,
tools to work with, and the wages or
recompense for the sake of
which the work is done. Money is neither a
material to work upon,
nor a tool to work with; and though the wages
of the workman are
commonly paid to him in money, his real
revenue, like that of all
other men, consists not in money, but in
money's worth; not in
the metal pieces, but what can be got for
them."
And in other parts of his
work, it is maintained, that the
discovery of the mines in America, which so
greatly increased the
quantity of money, did not lessen the interest
for the use of it:
the rate of interest being regulated by the
profits on the
employment of capital, and not by the number
or quality of the
pieces of metal, which are used to circulate
its produce.
Mr
Hume has supported the same opinion. The value of the
circulating medium of every country bears some
proportion to the
value of the commodities which it circulates.
In some countries
this proportion is much greater than in
others, and varies, on
some occasions, in the same country. It
depends upon the rapidity
of circulation, upon the degree of confidence
and credit existing
between traders, and above all, on the
judicious operations of
banking. In England so many means of
economizing the use of
circulating medium have been adopted, that its
value, compared
with the value of the commodities which it
circulates, is
probably (during a period of confidence (10*))
reduced to as
small a proportion as is practicable.
What that proportion may be
has been variously estimated. No
increase or decrease of its quantity, whether
consisting of gold,
silver, or paper-money, can increase or
decrease its value above
or below this proportion. If the mines cease
to supply the annual
consumption of the precious metals, money will
become more
valuable, and a smaller quantity will be
employed as a
circulating medium. The diminution in the
quantity will be
proportioned to the increase of its value. In
like manner, if new
mines be discovered, the value of the precious
metals will be
reduced, and an increased quantity used in the
circulation; so
that in either case the relative value of
money, to the
commodities which it circulates, will continue
as before.
If, whilst the Bank paid
their notes on demand in specie,
they were to increase their quantity, they
would produce little
permanent effect on the value of the currency,
because nearly an
equal quantity of the coin would be withdrawn
from circulation
and exported.
If the Bank were restricted
from paying their notes in
specie, and all the coin had been exported,
any excess of their
notes would depreciate the value of the
circulating medium in
proportion to the excess. If twenty millions
had been the
circulation of England before the restriction,
and four millions
were added to it, the twenty-four millions
would be of no more
value than the twenty were before, provided
commodities had
remained the same, and there had been no
corresponding
exportation of coins; and if the Bank were
successively to
increase it to fifty, or a hundred millions,
the increased
quantity would be all absorbed in the
circulation of England, but
would be, in all cases, depreciated to the
value of the twenty
millions.
I do not dispute, that if
the Bank were to bring a large
additional sum of notes into the market, and
offer them on loan,
but that they would for a time affect the rate
of interest. The
same effects would follow from the discovery
of a hidden treasure
of gold or silver coin. If the amount were
large, the Bank, or
the owner of the treasure, might not be able
to lend the notes or
the money at four, nor perhaps, above three
per cent.; but having
done so, neither the notes, nor the money,
would be retained
unemployed by the borrowers; they would be
sent into every
market, and would every
where raise the prices of commodities,
till they were absorbed in the general
circulation. It is only
during the interval of the issues of the Bank,
and their effect
on prices, that we should be sensible of an
abundance of money,
interest would, during that interval, be under
its natural level;
but as soon as the additional sum of notes or
of money became
absorbed in the general circulation, the rate
of interest would
be as high, and new loans would be demanded
with as much
eagerness as before the additional issues.
The circulation can never
be over-full. If it be one of gold
and silver, any increase in its quantity will
be spread over the
world. If it be one of paper, it will diffuse
itself only in the
country where it is issued. Its effects on
prices will then be
only local and nominal, as a compensation by
means of the
exchange will be made to foreign purchasers.
To suppose that any
increased issues of the Bank can have the
effect of permanently lowering the rate of
interest, and
satisfying the demands of all borrowers, so
that there will be
none to apply for new loans, or that a
productive gold or silver
mine can have such an effect, is to attribute
a power to the
circulating medium which it can never possess.
Banks would, if
this were possible, become powerful engines
indeed. By creating
paper money, and lending it at three or two
per cent. under the
present market rate of interest, the Bank
would reduce the
profits on trade in the same proportion; and
if they were
sufficiently patriotic to lend their notes at
an interest no
higher than necessary to pay the expences of their establishment,
profits would be still further reduced; no
nation, but by similar
means, could enter into competition with us,
we should engross
the trade of the world. To what absurdities
would not such a
theory lead us! Profits can only be lowered by
a competition of
capitals not consisting of circulating medium.
As the increase of
Bank-notes does not add to this species of
capital, as it neither
increases our exportable commodities, our
machinery, or our raw
materials, it cannot add to our profits nor
lower interest. (11*)
When any one borrows money
for the purpose of entering into
trade, he borrows it as a medium by which he
can possess himself
of " materials, provisions, etc." to
carry on that trade; and it
can be of little consequence to him, provided
he obtain the
quantity of materials, etc. necessary, whether
he be obliged to
borrow a thousand, or ten thousand pieces of
money. If he borrow
ten thousand, the produce
of his manufacture will be ten times
the nominal value of what it would have been,
had one thousand
been sufficient for the same purpose. The
capital actually
employed in the county is necessarily limited
to the amount of
the "materials, provisions, etc."
and might be made equally
productive, though not with equal facility, if
trade were carried
on wholly by barter. The successive possessors
of the circulating
medium have the command over this capital: but
however abundant
may be the quantity of money or of bank-notes;
though it may
increase the nominal prices of commodities;
though it may
distribute the productive capital in different
proportions;
though the Bank, by increasing the quantity of
their notes, may
enable A to carry on part of the business
formerly engrossed by B
and C, nothing will be added to the real
revenue and wealth of
the country. B and C may be injured, and A and
the Bank may be
gainers, but they will gain exactly what B and
C lose. There will
be a violent and an unjust transfer of
property, but no benefit
whatever will be gained by the community.
For these reasons I am of
opinion that the funds are not
indebted for their high price to the
depreciation of our
currency. Their price must be regulated by the
general rate of
interest given for money. If before the
depreciation I gave
thirty years' purchase for land, and
twenty-five for an annuity
in the stocks, I can after the depreciation
give a larger sum for
the purchase of land, without giving more
years' purchase,
because the produce of the land will sell for
a greater nominal
value in consequence of the depreciation; but
as the annuity in
the funds is paid in the depreciated medium,
there can be no
reason why I should give a greater nominal
value for it after
than before the depreciation.
If guineas were degraded by
clipping to half their present
value, every commodity as well as land would
rise to double its
present nominal value; but as the interest of
the stocks would be
paid in the degraded guineas, they would, on
that account,
experience no rise.
The remedy which I propose
for all the evils in our currency,
is that the Bank should gradually decrease the
amount of their
notes in circulation until they shall have
rendered the reminder
of equal value with the coins which they
represent, or, in other
words, till the prices of gold and silver
bullion shall be
brought down to their mint price. I am well
aware that the total
failure of paper credit would be attended with
the most
disastrous consequences to the trade and
commerce of the county,
and even its sudden limitation would occasion
so much ruin and
distress, that it would be highly inexpedient
to have recourse to
it as the means of
restoring our currency to its just and
equitable value.
If the Bank were possessed
of more guineas than they had
notes in circulation, they could not, without
great injury to the
country, pay their notes in specie, while the
price of gold
bullion continued greatly above the mint
price, and the foreign
exchanges unfavourable
to us. The excess of our currency would be
exchanged for guineas at the Bank and
exported, and would be
suddenly withdrawn from circulation. Before
therefore they can
safely pay in specie, the excess of notes must
be gradually
withdrawn from circulation. If gradually done,
little
inconvenience would be felt; so that the
principle were fairly
admitted, it would be for future consideration
whether the object
should be accomplished in one year or in five.
I am fully
persuaded that we shall never restore our
currency to its
equitable state, but by this preliminary step,
or by the total
overthrow of our paper credit.
If the Bank directors had
kept the amount of their notes
within reasonable bounds; if they had acted up
to the principle
which they have avowed to have been that which
regulated their
issues when they were obliged to pay their
notes in specie,
namely, to limit their notes to that amount
which should prevent
the excess of the market above the mint price
of gold, we should
not have been now exposed to all the evils of
a depreciated, and
perpetually varying currency.
Though the Bank derive
considerable advantage from the
present system, though the price of their
capital stock has
nearly doubled since 1797, and their dividends
have
proportionally increased, I am ready to admit
with Mr Thornton,
that the directors, as monied
men, sustain losses in common with
others by a depreciation of the currency, much
more serious to
them than any advantages which they may reap
from it as
proprietors of Bank stock. I do therefore
acquit them of being
influenced by interested motives, but their
mistakes, if they are
such, are in their effects quite as pernicious
to the community.
The extraordinary powers
with which they are entrusted enable
them to regulate at their pleasure the price
at which those who
are possessed of a particular kind of
property, called money,
shall dispose of it. The Bank directors have
imposed upon these
holders of money all the evils of a maximum.
To-day it is their
pleasure that 4 l. 10s. shall pass for 3 l.
17s. 10 1/2d.,
to-morrow they may degrade 4 l. 15s. to the
same value, and in
another year 10 l. may not be worth more. By
what an insecure
tenure is property consisting of money or
annuities paid in money
held! What security has the public creditor
that the interest on
the public debt, which is now paid in a medium
depreciated
fifteen per cent, may not hereafter be paid in
one degraded fifty
per cent? The injury to private creditors is
not less serious. A
debt contracted in 1797 may now be paid with
eighty-five per
cent. of its amount, and who shall say that
the depreciation will
go no further?
The following observations
of Dr Smith on this subject are so
important, that I cannot but recommend them to
the serious
attention of all thinking men.
"The raising the
denomination of the coin has been the most
usual expedient by which a real public
bankruptcy has been
disguised under the appearance of a pretended
payment. If a
sixpence, for example, should either by act of
parliament or
royal proclamation be raised to the
denomination of a shilling,
and twenty sixpences to that of a pound
sterling, the person who
under the old denomination had borrowed twenty
shillings, or near
four ounces of silver, would, under the new,
pay with twenty
sixpences, or with something less than two
ounces. A national
debt of about a hundred and twenty millions,
nearly the capital
of the funded debt of Great Britain, might in
this manner be paid
with about sixty-four millions of our present
money. It would
indeed be a pretended payment only, and the
creditors of the
public would be defrauded of ten shillings in
the pound of what
was due to them. The calamity too would extend
much further than
to the creditors of the public, and those of
every private person
would suffer a proportionable
loss; and this without any
advantage, but in most cases with a great
additional loss, to the
creditors of the public. If the creditors of
the public indeed
were generally much in debt to other people,
they might in some
measure compensate their loss by paying their
creditors in the
same coin in which the public had paid them.
But in most
countries the creditors of the public are the
greater part of
them wealthy people, who
stand more in the relation of creditors
than in that of debtors towards the rest of
their
fellow-citizens. A pretended payment of this
kind, therefore,
instead of alleviating, aggravates in most cases
the loss of the
creditors of the public; and without any
advantage to the public,
extends the calamity to a great number of
other innocent people.
It occasions a general and most pernicious
subversion of the
fortunes of private people; enriching in most
cases the idle and
profuse debtor at the expence
of the industrious and frugal
creditor, and transporting a great part of the
national capital
from the hands which are likely to increase
and improve it, to
those which are likely to dissipate and
destroy it. When it
becomes necessary for a state to declare
itself bankrupt, in the
same manner as when it becomes necessary for
an individual to do
so, a fair, open, and avowed bankruptcy is
always the measure
which is both least dishonourable
to the debtor, and least
hurtful to the creditor. The honour of a state is surely very
poorly provided for, when in order to cover
the disgrace of a
real bankruptcy, it has recourse to a juggling
trick of this
kind, so easily seen through, and at the same
time so extremely
pernicious."
These observations of Dr
Smith on a debased money are equally
applicable to a depreciated paper currency. He
has enumerated but
a few of the disastrous consequences which
attend the debasement
of the circulating medium, but he has
sufficiently warned us
against trying such dangerous experiments. It
will be a
circumstance ever to be lamented, if this
great country, having
before its eyes the consequences of a forced
paper circulation in
America and France, should persevere in a
system pregnant with so
much disaster. Let us hope that she will be
more wise. It is said
indeed that the cases are dissimilar: that the
Bank of England is
independent of government. If this were true,
the evils of a
superabundant circulation would not be less
felt; but it may be
questioned whether a Bank lending many
millions more to
government than its capital and savings can be
called independent
of that government.
When the order of council
for suspending the cash payments
became necessary in 1797, the run upon the
Bank was, in my
opinion, caused by political alarm alone, and
not by a
superabundant, or a deficient quantity (as
some have supposed) of
their notes in circulation.(12*)
This is a danger to which
the Bank, from the nature of its
institution, is at all times liable. No
prudence on the part of
the directors could perhaps have averted it:
but if their loans
to government had been more limited; if the
same amount of notes
had been issued to the public through the
medium of discounts;
they would have been able, in all probability,
to have continued
their payments till the alarm had subsided. At
any rate, as the
debtors to the Bank would have been obliged to
discharge their
debts in the space of sixty days, that being
the longest period
for which any bill discounted by the Bank has
to run, the
directors would in that time, if necessary,
have been enabled to
redeem every note in circulation. It was then
owing to the too
intimate connection between the Bank and
government that the
restriction became necessary; it is to that
cause too that we owe
its continuance.
To prevent the evil
consequences which may attend the
perseverance in this system, we must keep our
eyes steadily fixed
on the repeal of the Restriction-bill.
The only legitimate
security which the public can possess
against the indiscretion of the Bank is to
oblige them to pay
their notes on demand in specie; and this can
only be effected by
diminishing the amount of bank-notes in
circulation till the
nominal price of gold be lowered to the mint
price.
Here I will conclude; happy
if my feeble efforts should
awaken the public attention to a due
consideration of the state
of our circulating medium. I am well aware
that I have not added
to the stock of information with which the
public has been
enlightened by many able writers on the same
important subject. I
have had no such ambition. My aim has been to
introduce a calm
and dispassionate enquiry into a question of
great importance to
the state, and the neglect of which may be
attended with
consequences which every friend of his country
would deplore.
NOTES:
1. They might, strictly speaking, rather
exceed that quantity,
because as the Bank would add to the currency
of the world,
England would retain its share of the
increase.
2. This is strongly corroborated, by the
statement of Mr Rose, in
the House of Commons, that our exports
exceeded our imports by (I
believe) sixteen millions. In return for those
exports no bullion
could have been imported, because it is well
known, that the
price of bullion having been during the whole
year higher abroad
than in this country, a large quantity of our
gold coin has been
exported. To the value of the balance of
exports, therefore, must
be added the value of the bullion exported. A
part of the amount
may be due to us from foreign nations, but the
reminder must be
precisely equal to our foreign expenditure,
consisting of
subsidies to our allies, and the maintenance
of our fleets and
armies on foreign stations.
3. It has been observed, in a work of great
and deserved repute,
the Edinburgh Review, that an increase in the
paper currency will
only occasion a rise in the paper or currency
price of
commodities, but will not cause an increase in
their bullion
price.
This would be true at a
time when the currency consisted
wholly of paper not convertible into specie,
but not while specie
formed any part of the circulation. In the
latter case the effect
of an increased issue of paper would be to
throw out of
circulation an equal amount of specie; but
this could not be done
without adding to the quantity of bullion in
the market, and
thereby lowering its value, or in other words,
increasing the
bullion price of commodities. It is only in
consequence of this
fall in the value of the metallic currency,
and of bullion, that
the temptation to export them arises; and the
penalties on
melting the coin is the sole cause of a small
difference between
the value of the coin and of bullion, or a
small excess of the
market above the mint price. But exporting of
bullion is
synonymous with an unfavourable
balance of trade. From whatever
cause an exportation of bullion, in exchange
for commodities, may
proceed, it is called (I think very
incorrectly) an unfavourable
balance of trade.
When the circulation
consists wholly of paper, any increase
in its quantity will raise the money price of
bullion without
lowering its value, in the same manner, and in
the same
proportion, as it will raise the prices of
other commodities, and
for the same reason will lower the foreign
exchanges; but this
will only be a nominal, not a real fall, and
will not occasion
the exportation of bullion, because the real
value of bullion
will not be diminished, as there will be no
increase to the
quantity in the market.
4. Strictly speaking, there can be no
permanent measure of value.
A measure of value should itself be
invariable; but this is not
the case with either gold or silver, they
being subject to
fluctuations as well as other commodities.
Experience has indeed
taught us, that though the variations in the
value of gold or
silver may be considerable, on a comparison of
distant periods,
yet for short spaces of time their value is
tolerably fixed. It
is this property, among their other
excellencies, which fits them
better than any other commodity for the uses
of money. Either
gold or silver may therefore, in the point of
view in which we
are considering them, be called a measure of
value.
5. When the gold coin was debased, previously
to the re-coinage
in 1774, gold and silver bullion rose above
their mint prices,
and fell immediately on the gold coin
attaining its present
perfection. The exchanges were, owing to the
same causes, from
being unfavourable rendered
favourable.
6. An excess in the market above the mint
price of gold or silver
bullion, may, whilst the coins of both metals
are legal tender,
and there is no prohibition against the
coinage of either metal,
be caused by a variation in the relative value
of those metals;
but an excess of the market above the mint
price prodding from
this cause will be at once perceived by its
affecting only the
price of one of the metals. Thus gold would be
at or below, while
silver was above, its mint price, or silver at
or below its mint
price, whilst gold was above.
In the latter end of 1795,
when the Bank had considerably
more notes in circulation than either the
preceding or the
subsequent year, when their embarrassments had
already commenced,
when they appear to have resigned all prudence
in the management
of their concerns, and to have constituted Mr Pitt sole director,
the price of gold bullion did for a short time
rise to 4 l. 3s.
or 4 l. 4s. per oz.; but the directors were
not without their
fears for the consequences. In a remonstrance
sent by them to Mr
Pitt, dated October 1795, after stating,
"that the demand for
gold not appearing likely soon to cease,"
and "that it had
excited great apprehension in the court of
directors," they
observe, "The present price of gold being
4 l. 3s. to 4 l. 4s.
[It is difficult to determine on what
authority the directors
made this assertion, as by a return lately
made to parliament it
appears that during the year 1795 they did not
purchase gold
bullion at a price higher than 3 l. 17s. 6d.]
per ounce, and our
guineas being to be purchased at 3 l. 17s. 10
1/2d., clearly
demonstrates the grounds of our fears; it
being only necessary to
state those facts to the Chancellor of the
Exchequer " It is
remarkable that no price of gold above the
mint price is quoted
during the whole year in Wetenhall's
list. In December it is
there marked 3 l. 17s. 6d.
7. The relative value of gold and silver is on
the Continent
nearly the same as in London.
8. It must be meant that every guinea in the
Bank would leave the
country, the temptation of fifteen per cent is
amply sufficient
to send those out which can be collected from
the circulation.
9. They might, on some occasion, displace Bank
of England notes,
but that consideration does not affect the
question which we are
not discussing.
10. In the following observations, I wish it
to be understood, as
supposing always the same degree of confidence
and credit to
exist.
11. I have already allowed that the Bank, as
far as they enable
us to turn our coin into "materials,
provisions, etc." have
produced a national benefit, as they have
thereby increased the
quantity of productive capital; but I am here
speaking of an
excess of their notes, of that quantity which
adds to our
circulation without effecting any
corresponding exportation of
coin, and which, therefore, degrades the notes
below the value of
the bullion contained in the coin which they
represent.
12. At that period the price of gold kept
steadily under its mint
price.
APPENDIX
The public having called
for a new edition of this pamphlet,
I avail myself of the occasion to consider the
observations which
the Edinburgh Reviewers, in the last number of
their publication,
have done me the honour
to make on some of the passages contained
in it. I am induced to do this from the
conviction that
discussion on every point connected with this
important subject
will hasten the remedy against the existing
abuse, and will tend
to secure us against the risk of its
recurrence in future.
In the article on the
depreciation of money, the Reviewers
observe, "The great fault of Mr Ricardo's performance is the
partial view which he takes of the causes
which operate upon the
course of exchange. He attibutes,"
they say, "a favourable or an
unfavourable exchange exclusively to
a redundant or deficient
currency, and overlooks the varying desires
and wants of
different societies, as an original cause of a
temporary excess
of imports above exports, or exports above
imports." They then
comment on the passage in which I have
maintained, that a bad
harvest will not occasion the export of money
, unless money is
relatively cheap in the exporting country, and
conclude their
observations by giving it as their decided
opinion, that the
exportation of money in the supposed case of a
bad harvest, "is
not occasioned by its cheapness. It is not, as
Mr. Ricardo
endeavours to persuade us, the
cause of the unfavourable balance,
instead of the effect. It is not merely a
salutary remedy for a
redundant currency: but it is owing precisely
to the cause
mentioned by Mr
Thornton - the unwillingness of the creditor
nation to receive a great additional quantity
of goods not wanted
for immediate consumption, without being
bribed to it by
excessive cheapness; and its willingness to
receive bullion - the
currency of the commercial world - without any
such bribe. It is
unquestionably true, as stated by Mr Ricardo, that no nation will
pay a debt in the precious metals, if it can
do it cheaper by
commodities; but the prices of commodities are
liable to great
depressions from a glut in the market; whereas
the precious
metals, on account of their having been
constituted by the
universal consent of society, the general
medium of exchange, and
instument of commerce, will pay a
debt of the largest amount at
its nominal estimation, according to the
quantity of bullion
contained in the respective currencies of the
counties in
question, and, whatever variations between the
quantity of
currency and commodities may be stated to take
place subsequent
to the commencement of these transactions, it
cannot be for a
moment doubted that the cause of them is to be
found in the wants
and desires of one of the two nations, and not
in any original
redundancy or deficiency of currency in either
of them."
They agree with me,"
that no nation will pay a debt in the
precious metals, if it can do it cheaper by
commodities, but the
prices of commodities," they say,
"are liable to great
depressions from a glut in the market.'"
of course they must mean
in the foreign market, and then the words
express the opinion
which they are endeavouring
to controvert, viz. that when goods
cannot be sent out so advantageously as money,
money will be
exported, - which is another way of saying
that money will never
be exported, unless it is relatively redundant
with commodities,
as compared with other counties. Yet
immediately after they
contend, that the exportation of the
"precious metals is the
effect of a balance of trade, originating in
causes which may
exist without any relation whatever to
redundancy or deficiency
of currency." These opinions appear to me
directly contradictory.
If however the precious metals can be exported
from a country in
exchange for commodities, although they should
be as dear in the
exporting as in the importing country, what
are the effects which
will follow from such improvident exportation?
"A comparative
deficiency in one country, and redundancy in
the other," say the Reviewers, p. 343.
"and this state of things
could not fail to have a speedy effect in
changing the direction
of the balance of payments, and in restoring
that equilibrium of
the precious metals, which had been for a time
disturbed by the
naturally unequal wants and necessities of the
counties which
tade with each other."
Now it would have been well if the
Reviewers had told us at what point this
re-action would
commence, - as at the first view it appears
that the same law
which will permit money to be exported from a
country, when it is
no cheaper than in the importing country, may
also allow it to be
exported when it is actually dearer. It is
self-interest which
regulates all the speculations of trade, and
where that can be
clearly and satisfactorily ascertined,
we should not know where
to stop if we admitted any other rule of
action. They should have
explained to us therefore, why, if the demand
for the commodity
imported should continue, the country
importing might not be
entirely exhausted of its coin and bullion.
What is under such
circumstances to check the exportation of the
currency? The
Reviewers say, because "a country with a
diminished quantity of
bullion would evidently soon be limited in its
powers of paying
with the precious metals." Why soon? Is
it not admitted "that
excess and deficiency of currency are only
relative terms; that
the circulation of a county can never be
superabundant," (and
therefore can never be deficient,)
"except in relation to other
countries." Does it not follow from these
admissions, that if the
balance of trade may become unfavourable to a country, though its
currency be not relatively superabundant, that
there is no check
against the exportation of its coin, whilst
any amount of money
remains in circulation; as the diminished sum,
(by acquiring a
new value,) will as readily and as effectually
make the required
payments as the larger sum did before? A
succession of bad
harvests might, on this principle, drin a country of its money,
whatever might be its amount, although it
consisted exclusively
of the precious metals. The observation that
its diminished value
in the importing county, and its increasing
value in the
exporting country, would make it revert again
to the old channel,
does not answer the objection. When will this
happen? and in
exchange for what will it be returned? The
answer is obvious -
for commodities. The ultimate result then of
all this exportation
and importation of money, is that one county
will have imported
one commodity in exchange for another, and the
coin and bullion
will in both countries have regined their natural level. Is it to
be contended that these results would not be
foreseen, and the
expence and trouble attending
these needless operations
effectually prevented, in a country where
capital is abundant,
where every possible economy in tade is practised, and where
competition is pushed to its utmost limits? Is
it conceivable
that money should be sent abroad for the
purpose merely of
rendering it dear in this country and cheap in
another, and by
such means to ensure its return to us?
It is particularly worthy
of observation that so deep-rooted
is the prejudice which considers coin and
bullion as things
essentially differing in all their operations
from other
commodities, that writers greatly enlightened
upon the general
truth of political economy seldom fail, after
having requested
their readers to consider money and bullion
merely as commodities
subject to "the same general principle of
supply and demand which
are unquestionably the foundation on which the
whole
superstucture of political economy is
built;" to forget this
recommendation themselves, and to argue upon
the subject of
money, and the laws which regulate its export
and import, as
quite distinct and different from those which
regulate the export
and import of other commodities. Thus the
Reviewers, if they had
been speaking of coffee or of sugar, would
have denied the
possibility of those articles being exported
from England to the
continent, unless they were dearer there than
here. It would have
been in vain to have urged to them, that our
harvest had been
bad, and that we were in want of corn; they
would confidently and
undeniably have proved that to whatever degree
the scarcity of
corn might have existed, it would not have
been possible for
England to send, or for France (for example)
to be willing to
receive, coffee or sugar in return for corn,
whilst coffee or
sugar cost more money in England than in
France. What! they would
have said, do you believe it possible for us
to send a parcel of
coffee to France to sell there for 100 l. when
that coffee cost
here 105 l. - when by sending 100 l. of the
105 l. we should
equally discharge the debt contracted for the
imported corn? And,
I say, do you believe it possible that we
shall agree to send, or
France agree to receive (if the transaction is
on her account)
100 l. in money, when 95 l. invested in coffee
and exported will
be equally valuable as the 100 l. when it
arrives in France? But
coffee is not wanted in France, there is a
glut of it; - allowed,
but money is wanted still less, and the proof
is, that a hundred
pounds worth of coffee will sell for more than
a hundred pounds
worth of money. The only proof which we can
possess of the
relative cheapness of money in two places, is
by comparing it
with commodities. Commodities measure the
value of money in the
same manner as money measures the value of
commodities. If then
commodities will purchase more money in
England than in France,
we may justly say that money is cheaper in
England, and that it
is exported to find its level, not to destroy
it. After comparing
the relative value of coffee, sugar, ivory,
indigo, and all other
exportable commodities in the two markets, if
I persist in
sending money, what further proof can be
required of money being
actually the cheapest of all these commodities
in the English
market, in relation to the foreign markets,
and therefore the
most profitable to be exported? What further
evidence is
necessary of the relative redundance
and cheapness of money
between France and England, than that in
France it will purchase
more corn, more indigo, more coffee, more
sugar, more of every
exportable commodity than in England?
I may, indeed, be told that
the Reviewer's supposition is not
that coffee, sugar, indigo, ivory, etc. etc.
are cheaper than
money, but that these commodities and money
are equally cheap in
both countries, that is to say, that one
hundred pounds sent in
money, or invested in coffee, sugar, indigo,
ivory, etc. etc.
will be of equal value in France. If the value
of all these
commodities were so nicely poised, what would
determine an
exporter to send the one in preference to the
other, in exchange
for corn; in relation to which they are all
cheaper in England?
If he sends money, and thereby destroys the
natural level, we are
told by the Reviewers that money would on
account of its
increasing quantity in France, and its
decreasing quantity in
England, become cheaper in France than in
England, and would be
re-imported in exchange for goods till the
level were restored.
But would not the same effects take place if
coffee or any of the
other commodities were exported, whilst they
were equally
valuable in relation to money in both
countries? Would not the
equilibrium between supply and demand be
destroyed, and would not
the diminished value of coffee, etc. in
consequence of their
increased quantity in France, and their
increased value in
England, from their diminished quantity,
produce their
re-importation into England? Any of these
commodities might be
exported without producing much inconvenience
from their enhanced
price; whereas money, which circulates all
other commodities, and
the increase or diminution of which, even in a
moderate
proportion, raises
or falls prices in an extravagant degree,
could not be exported without the most serious
consequences. Here
then we see the defective principle of the
Reviewers. On my
system, however, there would be no difficulty
in determining the
mode in which, in a case so extremely
improbable, as that of an
equal value in both countries, for all
commodities, money
included, and corn alone excepted, the returns
would be made so
as to preserve the relative amount and the
relative value of
their respective currencies.
If the circulating medium
of England consisted wholly of the
precious metals, and were a fiftieth part of
the value of the
commodities which it circulated, the whole
amount of money which
would under the circumstances supposed be
exported in exchange
for corn, would be a fiftieth part of the
value of such corn: for
the rest we should export commodities, and
thus would the
proportion between money and commodities be
equally preserved in
both countries. England, in consequence of a
bad harvest, would
come under the case mentioned at page [53] of
this work, of a
country having been deprived of a part of its
commodities, and
therefore requiring a diminished amount of
circulating medium.
The currency which was before equal to her
payments would now
become superabundant and relatively cheap, in
the proportion of
one fiftieth part of her diminished
production; the exportation
of this sum, therefore, would restore the
value of her currency
to the value of the currencies of other
countries. Thus it
appears to be satisfactorily proved that a bad
harvest operates
on the exchange in no other way than by
causing the currency
which was before at its just level to become
redundant, and thus
is the principle that an unfavourable
exchange may always be
traced to a relatively redundant currency most
fully exemplified.
If we can suppose that
after an unfavourable harvest, when
England has occasion for an unusual
importation of corn, another
nation is possessed of a superabundance of
that article, "but has
no wants for any commodity whatever," it
would unquestionably
follow that such nation would not export its
corn in exchange for
commodities: but neither would it export corn
for money, as that
is a commodity which no nation ever wants
absolutely, but
relatively, as is expressly admitted by the
Reviewers. The case
is, however, impossible, because a nation
possessed of every
commodity necessary for the consumption and
enjoyment of all its
inhabitants who have wherewithal to purchase
them, will not let
the corn which it has over and above what it
can consume rot in
its granaries. Whilst the desire of
accumulation is not
extinguished in the breast of man, he will be
desirous to realise
the excess of his productions, above his own
consumption, into
the form of capital. This he can only do by
employing, himself,
or by loans to others, enabling them to
employ, an additional
number of labourers,
as it is by labour only that revenue is
realized into capital. If his revenue be corn,
he will be
disposed to exchange it for fuel, meat,
butter, cheese, and other
commodities in which the wages of labour are usually expended,
or, which is the same thing, he will sell his
corn for money, pay
the wages of his labourers
in money, and thereby create a demand
for those commodities which may be obtained
from other countries
in exchange for the superfluous corn. Thus
will be reproduced to
him articles more valuable, which he may again
employ in the same
manner, adding to his own riches, and
augmenting the wealth and
resources of his country.
No mistake can be greater
than to suppose that a nation can
ever be without wants for commodities of some
sort. It may
possess too much of one or more commodities
for which it may not
find a market at home. It may have more sugar,
coffee, tallow,
than it can either consume or dispose of, but
no county ever
possessed a general glut of all commodities.
It is evidently
impossible. If a county possesses every thing necessary for the
maintenance and comfort of man, and these
articles be divided in
the proportions in which they are usually
consumed, they are
sure, however abundant, to find a market to
take them off. It
follows therefore, that whilst a county is in
possession of a
commodity for which there is no demand at
home, it will be
desirous of exchanging it for other
commodities in the proportion
in which they are consumed.
No nation grows corn, or
any other commodity, with a view to
realise its value in money, (the
case supposed, or involved in
the case supposed, by the Reviewers), as this
would be the most
unprofitable object to which the labour of man could be devoted.
Money is precisely that article which till it
is re-exchanged
never adds to the wealth of a county:
accordingly we find, that
to increase its amount is never the voluntary
act of any county
any more than it is that of any individual.
Money is forced upon
them only in consequence of the relatively
less value which it
possesses in those counties with which they
have intercourse.
Whilst a country employs
the precious metals for money, and
has no mines of its own, it is a conceivable
case that it may
greatly augment the amount of the productions
of its land and
labour without adding to its
wealth, because at the same time
those counties which are in possessIon of the mines may possibly
have obtained so enormous a supply of the
precious metals as to
have forced an increase of currency on the industious county,
equal in value to the whole of its increased
productions. But by
so doing the augmented currency, added to that
which was before
employed, will be of no more real value than
the original amount
of currency. Thus then will this industrious
nation become
tributary to those nations which are in
possession of the mines,
and will carry on a trade in which it gains
nothing and loses
every thing.
That the exchange is in a
constant state of fluctuation with
all counties I am not disposed to deny, but it
does not generally
vary to those limits at which remittances can
be more
advantageously made by means of bullion than
by the purchase of
bills. Whilst this is the case, it cannot be
disputed that
imports are balanced by exports. The varying
demands of all
countries may be supplied, and the exchanges
of all deviate in
some degree from par, if the currency of any
one of them is
either redundant or deficient, as compared
with the rest. Suppose
England to send goods to Holland, and not to
find there any
commodities which suit the English market; or,
which is the same
thing, suppose that we can purchase those
commodities cheaper in
France. In this case we confine our operation
to the sale of
goods in Holland, and the purchase of other
goods in France. The
currency of England is not disturbed by either
transaction, as we
shall pay France by a bill on Holland, and
there will neither be
an excess of imports nor of exports. The
exchange may, however,
be favourable to us
with Holland, and unfavourable with France;
and will be so, if the account be not balanced
by the importation
into France of goods from Holland, or from
some country indebted
to Holland. If there be no such importation,
it can arise only
from a relative redundancy of the circulation
of Holland, as
compared with that of France, and in payment
of the bill it will
suit both those counties that bullion should
be transmitted. If
the balance be settled by the transmission of
goods, the exchange
between all the three countries will be at
par. If by bullion,
the exchange between Holland and England will
be as much above
par, as that between France and England will
be below the par,
and the difference will be equal to the
expenses attending the
passage of bullion from Holland to France. It
will make no
difference in the result, if every nation of
the world were
concerned in the transaction. England having
bought goods from
France and sold goods to Holland, France might
have purchased to
the same amount from Italy; Italy may have
done the same from
Russia, Russia from Germany, and Germany
within 100,000 l. of the
same amount from Holland; Germany might
require this amount of
bullion either to supply a deficient currency,
or for the
fabrication of plate. All these various tansactions would be
settled by bills of exchange, with the
exception of the 100,000
l. which would be either transmitted from an
existing redundancy
of coin or bullion in Holland, or it would be
collected by
Holland from the different currencies of
Europe. It is not
contended, as the Reviewers infer, "that
a bad harvest, or the
necessity of paying a subsidy in one county,
should be
immediately and invariably accompanied by an
unusual demand for
muslins, hardware, and colonial produce,"
as the same effects
would be produced if the country paying the
subsidy, or suffering
from a bad harvest, were to import less of
other commodities than
it had before been accustomed to do.
The Reviewers observe, page
345, "The same kind of error
which we have here noticed pervades other
parts of Mr Ricardo's
pamphlet, particularly the opening of his
subject. He seems to
think that when once the precious metals have
been divided among
the different countries of the earth,
according to their relative
wealth and commerce, that each having an equal
necessity for the
quantity actually in use, no temptation would
be offered for
their importation or exportation, till either
a new mine or a new
bank was opened; or till some marked change
had taken place in
their relative prosperity." And
afterwards at page 361, "We have
already adverted to the error (confined,
however, principally to
Mr Ricardo, and from which
the Report is entirely free) of
denying the existence of a balance of trade or
of payments not
connected with some original redundancy or
deficiency of
currency." "But there is another
point in which almost all the
writers on this side of the question concur,
where,
notwithstanding, we cannot agree with them,
and feel more
inclined to the mercantile view of the
subject. Though they
acknowledge that bullion occasionally passes
from one county to
another from causes connected with the
exchange, yet they
represent these transactions as quite
inconsiderable in degree.
Mr Huskisson
observes 'that the operations in the trade of
bullion originate almost entirely in the fresh
supplies which are
yearly poured in from the mines of the New
World, and are chiefly
confined to the distribution of those supplies
through the
different parts of Europe. If this supply were
to cease
altogether, the dealings in gold and silver,
as objects of
foreign trade, would be very few, and those of
short duration.'"
"Mr
Ricardo, in his reply to Mr Bosanquet,
refers to this
passage with particular approbation." Now
I am at a loss to
discover in what this opinion of Mr Huskisson differs from that
which I had before given, and on which the
Reviewers had been
commenting.
The passages are in substance
precisely the same, and must
stand or fall together. If "we
acknowledge that bullion
occasionally passes from one county to
another, from causes
connected with the exchange," we do not
acknowledge that it would
so pass till the exchange had fallen to such
limits as would make
the exportation of bullion profitable, and I
am of opinion that
if it should so fall, it is in consequence of
the cheapness and
redundance of currency, which
"would originate almost entirely in
the fresh supplies which are yearly poured in
from the mines of
the New World." This, then, is not
another point in which the
Reviewers differ with me, but the same.
If "it is well known
that most states, in their usual
relations of commercial intercourse, have an
almost constantly
favourable exchange with some
countries, and an almost constantly
unfavourable one with the
others," to what cause can it be
ascribed but to that mentioned by Mr Huskisson? "The fresh
supplies of bullion which are yewly poured in, (and in newly the
same direction) from the mines of the New
World." Dr A. Smith
does not seem to have been sufficiently aware
of the powerful and
uniform effects which this stream of bullion
had on the foreign
exchanges, and he was inclined much to
overrate the uses of
bullion in carrying on the various roundabout
foreign tades which
a county finds it necessary to engage in. In
the ewly and rude
transactions of commerce between nations, as
in the early and
rude transactions between individuals, there
is little economy in
the use of money and bullion; it is only in
consequence of
civilization and refinement that paper is made
to perform the
same office between the commonwealth of
nations, as it so
advantageously performs between individuals of
the same country.
The Reviewers do not appear to me to be
sufficiently aware of the
extent to which the principle of economy in
the use of the
precious metals is extended between nations,
indeed they do not
seem to acknowledge its force even when
confined to a single
nation, as from a passage in page 346, their
readers would be
induced to suppose their opinion to be, that
there are frequent
transfers of currency between the distant
provinces of the same
country, for they tell us that "there
have been and ever will be
a quantity of the precious metals in use
destined to perform the
same part with regard to the different nations
connected with
each other by commerce, which the currency of
a particular
country performs with regard to its distant
provinces." Now what
part does the currency of a country perform
with regard to the
distant provinces?
I am well persuaded that in
all the multiplicity of
commercial transactions which take place
between the distant
provinces of this kingdom, the currency
performs a very inferior
part, imports being almost always balanced by
exports*, and the
proof is, that the local currency of the
provinces (and they have
no other) is seldom circulated at any
considerable distance from
the place where it is issued.
It appears to me that the
Reviewers were induced to admit the
erroneous doctrine of the merchants, that
money might be exported
in exchange for commodities, although money
were no cheaper in
the exporting country, because they could in
no other way account
for the rise of the exchange having, on some
occasions,
accompanied the increased amount of Bank
notes, as stated by Mr
Pearse, the late
deputy-governor and now governor of the Bank, in
a paper delivered by him to the Bullion
Committee. They say,
"according to this view of the subject,
it certainly is not easy
to explain an improving exchange under an
obviously increasing
issue of notes: an event that not unfrequently happens, and was
much insisted upon by the deputy-governor of
the Bank, as a proof
that our foreign exchanges had no connexion with the state of our
currency."
These are circumstances,
however, which are not absolutely
irreconcileable. Mr
Pearse, as well as the Edinburgh Reviewer,
appears to have wholly mistaken the principle
advanced by those
who are desirous of the repeal of the
restriction bill. They do
not contend, as they are understood to do,
that the increase of
bank notes will permanently lower the
exchange, but that such an
effect will proceed from a redundant currency.
It remains,
therefore, to be considered whether an increase
of bank notes is
necessarily, at all times, accompanied with a
permanently
increased currency, as if I can make it appear
that it is not,
there will be no difficulty in accounting for
a rise in the
exchange, with an increased amount of
bank-notes.
It will be readily
admitted, that whilst there is any great
portion of coin in circulation, every increase
of bank-notes,
though it will for a short time lower the
value of the whole
currency, paper as well as gold, yet that such
depression will
not be permanent, because the redundant and
cheap currency will
lower the exchange and will occasion the
exportation of a portion
of the coin, which will cease as soon as the
remainder of the
currency shall have regained its value, and
restored the exchange
to par. The increase of small notes, then,
will ultimately be a
substitution of one currency for another, of a
paper for a
metallic currency, and will not operate in the
same way as an
actual and permanent increase of circulation*.
We are not,
however, without a criterion by which we may
determine the
relative amount of currency at different
periods, as
distinguished from bank-notes, on which though
we cannot
infallibly rely, it will probably be a
sufficiently accurate test
to determine the question which we are now
discussing. This
criterion is the amount of notes of 5l. and
upwards in
circulation, which we may reasonably calculate
always bear some
tolerably regular proportion to the whole
circulation. Thus, if
since 1797 the bank-notes of this description
have increased from
twelve to sixteen millions, we may infer that
the whole
circulation has increased one-third, if the
districts in which
bank-notes circulate have neither been
enlarged nor contracted.
The notes under 5l. will be issued in
proportion as the metallic
currency is withdrawn from circulation, and
will be further
augmented, if there be also an augmentation of
notes of a higher
denomination.
If I am correct in this
view of the subject, that the
increase in the amount of our currency is to
be inferred from the
increased amount of bank-notes of 5 l. and
upwards, and can by no
means be proved by an increase of 1 l. and 2
l. notes which have
been substituted in the place of the exported
or hoarded guineas,
I must wholly reject the calculations of Mr Pearse, because they
are made on the supposition that every
increase of this
description of notes is an increase of
currency to that amount.
When it is considered that in 1797 there were
no notes of 1 l.
and 2 l. in circulation, but that their place
was wholly filled
with guineas; and that since that period there
have been no less
than seven millions issued, partly to supply
the place of our
exported and hoarded guineas, and partly to
keep up the
proportion between the circulation for the
larger and for the
smaller payments, we shall observe to what
errors such reasoning
may lead. I can consider the paper in question
of no authority
whatever as opposed to the opinion which I
have ventured to give,
namely, that an unfavourable
balance of trade, and a consequently
low exchange, may in all cases be traced to a
relatively
redundant and cheap currency. * But if the
reasoning of Mr Pearse
were not incorrect as his facts are, he is no
way warranted in
the conclusions which he has drawn from them.
Mr
Pearse states the increase of bank-notes from
January,
1808, to Christmas, 1809, to have been from 17
1/2 to 18
millions, or 500,000 l., the exchange with Hamburgh during the
same period having fallen from 34s. 9g. to
28s. 6g. an increase
in the amount of notes of less than three per
cent, and a fall in
the exchange of more than eighteen per cent.
But from whence did
Mr Pearse
obtain this information, of 18 millions of bank-notes
only being in circulation at Christmas in
1809? After looking at
every return, with which I have been able to
meet, of the amount
of bank-notes in circulation at the end of
1809, I cannot but
conclude that Mr Pearse's statement is incorrect. Mr
Mushet in
his tables gives four returns of bank-notes in
the year. In the
last, for the year 1809, he has stated the
amount of bank-notes
in circulation
at
19,742,998
In the Appendix to the Bullion Report,
and in returns lately
made to the House of Commons, the amount of
bank-notes in
circulation appears to have been on December
12, 1809
19,727,520
On the 1st January,
1810 2,669,320
On the 7th January,
1810 19,528,030
For many
months previously to December it was not lower. When
I first discovered this inaccuracy I thought Mr Pearse might have
omitted the bank post bills in both estimates,
although they did
not in December, 1809, exceed 880,880 l.; but
on looking at the
return of bank-notes in circulation, including
bank post bills,
in January, 1808, I find Mr
Pearse has stated it larger than I
can any where find it: indeed his estimate
exceeds the return
made by the Bank for the 1st of January, 1808,
by nearly 900,000
l., so that from the 1st of January, 1808, to
the 12th of
December, 1809, the increase was from
16,619,240 to 19,727,520, a
difference of more than three millions,
instead of 500,000, as
stated by Mr Pearse, and of two millions if Mr
Pearse's statement
for any time in January, 1808, be correct.
Mr
Pearse's statement too, that from January 1803, to
the end
of 1807, the amount of bank-notes had
increased from 16 and a
half to eighteen millions, an increase of a
million and a half
appears to me to exceed the fact by half a
million. The increase
of notes of 5 l. and upwards, including bank
post bills, did not,
during that period, exceed 150,000 l. It is
material that these
errors should be pointed out, that those who
may, in spite of
what I have urged, agree in principle with Mr Pearse, may see
that the facts of the case do not warrant the
conclusions which
that gentleman has drawn from them, and,
indeed, that all
calculations founded on the particular amount
of banknotes for a
day, or for a week, when the general average
has been for some
time before, or some time
after, greater or less, will be of
little avail in overturning a theory which has
every other proof
of its tuth. Such I
consider the theory which asserts that the
unlimited multiplication of a currency which
is referrible to no
fixed standard may and must produce a
permanent depression of the
exchange, estimated with a country whose
currency is founded on
such standard.
Having considered the
weight which ought to be attached to Mr
Pearse's paper, I beg the
reader's attention to the table which I
have drawn out from the statements in tbe Bullion Report, and
from the papers which have since been
presented to the House of
Commons. I request him to compare the amount
of the circulation
of the larger notes with the variations in the
exchange, and I
trust he will find no difficulty in
reconciling the principle
maintained by me with the actual facts of the
case, particularly
if he considers that the operations of an
increased currency are
not instantaneous, but require some interval
of time to produce
their full effect, - that a rise or fal1 in
the price of silver,
as compared with gold, alters the relative
value of the
currencies of England and Hamburgh,
and therefore makes the
currency of one or other relatively redundant
and cheap;-that the
same effect is produced, as I have already
stated, by an abundant
or deficient harvest, either in this country
or in those
countries with which we trade, or by any other
addition or
diminution to their real wealth, which by
altering the relative
proportion between commodities and money
alters the value of the
circulating medium. With these corrections, I
have no fear but
that it will be found that Mr
Pearse's objections may be refuted
without having recourse to the abandonment of
a principle, which,
if yielded, will establish the mercantile
theory of exchange, and
may be made to account for a drain of
circulating medium, so
great, that it can only be counteracted by
locking up our money
in the bank, and absolving the directors from
the obligation of
paying their notes in specie.
Mr Pearse's
statement, as presented to the Bullion Committee:
Total of Bank Notes, Millions; Rate of Hambro'
Exchange
17th February, 1797; 8 1/2; 35s 6g
Rose Gradually in 1797 and 1798 to; 13; 38s 0g
March 1799; 13 1/2; 37s 7g
After this period, great commercial distress,
large importation
of corn, heavy subsidies, and the Hambro' Exchange continued
falling, and on the 2d January, 1801 wasas low as; -- ; 29s 8g
Between the end of the year 1799 to the end of
1802, an increased
quantity of 1 l. and 2 l. notes were issued,
swelling the sum
total to all notes to; 13 1/2 to 16 1/2;
Fluctuation from 33s 3g
to 29s 8g
From January, 1803, to the end of 1807; 16 1/2
to 18; Fluctuation
from 32s 10g to 35s 10g
From January, 1808, to Christmas 1809; 17 1/2
to 18; Fall from
34s 9g to 28s 6g
The rate of the Hambro'
Exchange is taken from Lloyd's list.
I have omitted as much of Mr
Pearse's paper as regarded the
amount of bank notes in circulation before the
restriction on
bank payments, because whilst the public
possessed the power of
obtaining specie for their notes, the exchange
could not put be
momentarily lowered by the amount of the bank
issues.
The average
amount of bank notes from the year 1797 to 1809
inclusive, in the following table, is copied
from the Report of
the Bullion Committee. The rates of exchange
are extracted from a
list presented by the mint to parliament.
There have been three
returns made to parliament by the Bank, of the
amount of their
notes in circulation in the year 1810; the
first for the 7th and
12th of each month; the second a weekly return
from the 19th
January, 1810, to 28th December; and the third
also a weekly
account from the 3d March to 29th December, 1810.
The average
amount of notes above 5 l. including bank post
bills, according
to the first account is
£15,706,226 of notes under 5 l. £6,560,674
Second...
16,192,110
6,758,895
Third...
16,358,230
6,614,721
3)
48,256,566
19,934,290
General average
16,085,522
6,644,763
In the years marked thus *
the value of silver as compared
with gold exceeded the mint valuation,-this was
the case
particularly in the year 1801, when less than
14 oz. of silver
could purchase an ounce of gold, - the mint
valuation is as 1 to
15.07; the present market value is as 1 to 16
nearly.
Average amount of Bank of England Notes in
circulation in each of
the following years:
Notes of 5 l. and upwards, including Bank Post
Bills; Notes under
5 l.; Total; Highest rate of Exchange with Hamburgh; Lowest rate
of Exchange with Hamburgh
1798; £11,527,250; £1,807,502;
£13,334,752; 38.2 Jan.; 37.4 Dec.
1799; 12,408,522; 1,653,805;
14,062,327; 37.7 Jan.; 31.6 Oct.
1800; 13,598,666; 2,243,266;
15,841,932; 32.5 May; 31.0 Feb.
1801; 13,454,367; 2,715,182;
16,169,594; 31.8 Oct.; 29.8 Jan.
1802; 13,917,977; 3,136,477;
17,054,454; 34.0 Dec.; 32.0 Feb.
1803; 12,983,477; 3,864,045;
16,847,511; 35.0 Dec.; 34.0 Jan.
1804; 12,621,348; 4,723,672;
17,345,020; 36.0 Dec.; 34.8 Feb.
1805; 12,697,352; 4,544,580;
17,241,932; 35.8 March; 32.8 Feb.
1806; 12,844,170; 4,291,230;
17,135,400; 34.8 Dec.; 33.3 Jan.
1807; 13,221,988; 4,183,013;
17,405,001; 34.1 March; 34.2
Sept.
1808; 13,402,160; 4,132,420;
17,534,580; 35.3 July; 32.4 Dec.
1809; 14,133,615; 4,868,275;
19,001,890; 31.3 Jan.; 28.6 Nov.
1810; 16,085,522; 6,644,763;
22,730,285; 31.2 June; 28.6 Dec.
1811;
; 26.6 Jan.; 24.0 March
The Bank have made a return of the amount of
their notes for
eighteen days in this present year 1811. The
average amount of
notes of 5 l. and upwards in circulation for
those eighteen days,
including bank post bills, is
£16,286,950
And of those under 5 l. £7,260,575
Total £23,547,525
"If," say the Reviewers, "considerable portions of the
currency were taken from the idle, and those
who live upon fixed
incomes, and transferred to farmers,
manufacturers, and
merchants, - the proportion between capital
and revenue would be
greatly altered to the advantage of capital;
and in a short time
the produce of the country would be greatly
augmented." It is no
doubt true " that it is not the
quantity" of circulating medium
which adds to the national wealth, "but
the different
distribution of it." If, therefore, we
could be fully assured
that the effects of the abundance, and the
consequent
depreciation of the currency, would diminish
the powers of
consumption in the idle and unproductive
class, whilst it
increased the number of the industrious and
productive class, the
effect would undoubtedly be to augment the
national wealth, as it
would realize into capital that which was
before expended as
revenue. But the question is, will it so
operate? Will not a
thousand pounds saved by the stockholder from
his income and lent
to the farmer, be equally productive as if it
had been saved by
the farmer himself? The Reviewers observe,
"On every fresh issue
of notes, not only is the quantity of the
circulating medium
increased, but the distribution of the whole
mass is altered. A
large proportion falls into the hands of those
who consume and
produce, and a smaller proportion into the
hands of those who
only consume." But is this necessarily
so? They appear to take it
for granted, that those who live on fixed
incomes must consume
the whole of their income, and that no part of
it can be saved
and annually added to capital. But this is
very far from being
the true state of the case, and I would ask,
Do not the
stockholders give as great a stimulus to the
growth of the
national wealth by saving half their incomes
and investing it in
the stocks, thereby liberating a capital which
will ultimately be
employed by those who consume and produce, as
would be done if
their incomes were depreciated 50 per cent by
the issues of
bank-notes, and the power of saving were in
consequence entirely
taken from them, although the Bank should lend
to an industrious
man an amount of notes equal in value to the
diminished income of
the stockholder? The difference, and the only
difference appears
to me to be this, that in the one case the
interest on the money
lent would be paid to the real owner of the
property, in the
other it would ultimately be paid in the shape
ofincreased
dividends or bonuses to the bank proprietors,
who had been
enabled unjustly to possess themselves of it.
If the creditor of
the Bank employed his loan in less profitable
speculations than
the employer of the savings of the
stockholders would have done,
there would result a real loss to the country;
so that a
depreciation of currency may, as far as it is
considered as a
stimulus to production, be beneficial or
otherwise.
I see no reason why it
should diminish the idle, and add to
the productive class of society. At any rate
the evil is certain.
It must be accompanied with a degree of
injustice to individuals
which requires only to be understood to excite
the censure and
indignation of all those who are not wholly
insensible to every
honourable feeling.
With the sentiments of the
remainder of the article I most
cordially agree, and trust the efforts of the
Reviewers will
powerfully contribute to overturn the mass of
error and prejudice
which pervades the public mind on this most
important subject.
It is often objected to the
recommendation of the Bullion
Committee, namely that the Bank should be
required to pay their
notes in specie in twO
years, that, if adopted, the Bank would be
exposed to considerable difficulty in
providing themselves with
the requisite amount of bullion for such
purpose; and it cannot
be denied, that before the Restriction Bill
can be repealed, the
Bank would be in prudence bound to make ample
provision for every
demand which might by possibility be made on
them. It is observed
by the Bullion Committee, that the average
amount of Bank notes
in circulation, including Bank Post Bills, in
the year 1809, was
19 millions. During the same period the
average price of gold was
4 l. 10s. exceeding its mint price by nearly
17 per cent, and
proving a depreciation of the currency of
nearly 15 per cent. A
diminution therefore of 15 per cent in the
amount of the Bank
circulation in 1809, should, on the principles
of the Committee,
raise it to par, and reduce the market price
of gold to 3 l. 17s.
10 1/2d.; and till such reduction take place,
there would be
imminent danger to the Bank as well as to the
public, that the
Restriction Bill should cease to operate. Now,
admitting (which
we are far from doing) the truth of your
principles, say the
advocates for the Bank, admitting that after
such a reduction in
the amount of Bank notes, the value of the
reminder would be so
rised, that it would not be
the interest of any person to demand
specie at the Bank in exchange for notes,
because no profit could
be made by the exportation of bullion; what
security would the
Bank have that caprice or ill-will might not
render the practice
general of discontinuing the use of small
notes altogether, and
demanding guineas of the Bank in lieu of them?
Not only then must
the Bank reduce their circulation 15 per cent.
on their issues of
19 millions, - not only must they provide
bullion for 4 millions
of 1 l. and 2 l. notes which would remain in
circulation, but
they must also furnish themselves with the
means of meeting the
demands which may be made on them to pay the
small notes of all
the country banks in the kingdom, - and all
this within the short
period of two years. It must be confessed,
that whether these
apprehensions are likely or not likely to be
realized, the Bank
could not but make some provision for the
worst that might
happen; and though it is a situation in which
their own
indiscretion has involved them, it would be
desirable, if
possible, to protect them against the
consequences of it.
If the same benefits to the
public,-the same security against
the depreciation of the currency, can be
obtained by more gentle
means, it is to be hoped that all parties, who
agree in
principle, will concur in the expediency of
adopting them. Let
the Bank of England be required by Parliament
to pay (if
demanded) all notes above 2ol.-and no other, at
their option,
either in specie, in gold standard bars, or in
foreign coin
(allowance being made for the difference in
its purity) at the
English mint value of gold bullion, viz. 3 l.
17s. 10 1/2d. per
oz., such payments to commence at the period
recommended by the
Committee.
This privilege of paying
their notes as above described might
be extended to the Bank for three or four
years after such
payments commenced, and if found advantageous,
might be continued
as a permanent measure. Under such a system
the currency could
never be depreciated below its standard price,
as an ounce of
gold and 3 l. 17s. 10 1/2d. would be uniformly
of the same value.
By such regulations we should effectually
prevent the amount of
small notes necessary for the smaller payments
from being
withdrawn from circulation, as no one who did
not possess to the
amount of 20 l. at least of such small notes
could exchange them
at the Bank, and even then bullion, and not
specie, could be
obtained for them. Guineas might indeed be
procured at the Mint
for such bullion, but not till after the delay
of some weeks or
months, the loss of interest for which time
would be considered
as an actual expence;
an expence which no one would incur, whilst
the small notes could purchase as much of
every commodity as the
guineas which they represented. Another
advantage attending the
establishment of this plan would be to prevent
the useless
labour, which, under our system
previously to 1797, was so
unprofitably expended on the coinage of
guineas, which on every
occasion of an unfavourable
exchange (we will not enquire by what
caused) were consigned to the melting pot, and
in spite of all
prohibitions exported as bullion. It is agreed
by all parties
that such prohibitions were ineffectual, and
that whatever
obstacles were opposed to the exportation of
the coin they were
with facility evaded.
An unfavourable
exchange can ultimately be corrected only by
an exportation of goods, - by the transmission
of bullion,or by a
reduction in the amount of the paper circulaiion. The facility
therefore with which bullion would be obtined at the Bank cannot
be urged as an objection to this plan, because
an equal degree of
facility actually existed before 1797, and
must exist under any
system of Bank payments. Neither ought it to
be urged, because it
is now no longer questioned by all those who
have given the
subject of currency much of their
consideration, that not only is
the law against the exportation of bullion,
whether in coin or in
any other form, ineffectual, but that it is
also impolitic and
unjust; injurious to ourselves only, and
advantageous to the rest
of the world.
The plan here proposed
appears to me to unite all the
advantages of every system of banking which
has been hitherto
adopted in Europe. It is in some of its
features similar to the
banks of deposit of Amsterdam and Hamburgh. In those
establishments bullion is always to be
purchased from the Bank at
a fixed invariable price. The same thing is
proposed for the Bank
of England; but in the foreign banks of
deposit, they have
actually in their coffers, as much bullion, as
there are credits
for bank money in their books; accordingly
there is an inactive
capital as great as the whole amount of the
commercial
circulation. In our Bank, however, there would
be an amount of
bank money, under the name of bank-notes, as
great as the demands
of commerce could require, at the same time
there would not be
more inactive capital in the bank coffers than
that fund which
the Bank should think it necessary to keep in
bullion, to answer
those demands which might occasionally be made
on them. It should
always be remembered too, that the Bank would
be enabled by
contracting their issues of paper to diminish
such demands at
pleasure. In imitation of the Bank of Hamburgh, who purchase
silver at a fixed price, it would be necessary
for the Bank to
fix a price very little below the mint price,
at which they would
at all times purchase, with their notes, such
gold bullion as
might be offered to them.
The perfection of banking
is to enable a country by means of
a paper currency (always retaining its
standard value) to carry
on its circulation with the least possible
quantity of coin or
bullion. This is what this plan would effect.
And with a silver
coinage, on just principles, we should possess
the most
economical and the most invariable currency in
the world. The
variations in the price of bullion, whatever
demand there might
be for it on the continent, or whatever supply
might be poured in
from the mines in America, would be confined
within the prices at
which the Bank bought bullion, and the mint
price at which they
sold it. The amount of the circulation would
be adjusted to the
wants of commerce with the greatest precision;
and if the Bank
were for a moment so indiscreet as to
overcharge the circulation,
the check which the public would possess would
speedily admonish
them of their error. As for the country Banks,
they must, as now,
pay their notes when demanded in Bank of
England notes. This
would be a sufficient security against the
possibility of their
being able too much to augment the paper
circulation. There would
be no temptation to melt the coin, and
consequently the labour
which has been so uselessly bestowed by one
party in recoining
what another party found it their interest to
melt into bullion,
would be effectually saved. The currency could
neither be clipped
nor deteriorated, and would possess a value as
invariable as gold
itself, the great object which the Dutch had
in view, and which
they most successfully accomplished by a
system very like that
which is here recommended.
Nathan
Lewis
Nathan Lewis was formerly the chief international
economist of a leading economic forecasting firm. He now works in asset
management. Lewis has written for the Financial Times, the Wall Street
Journal Asia, the Japan Times, Pravda, and other publications. He has
appeared on financial television in the United
States, Japan,
and the Middle East. About the Book: Gold:
The Once and Future Money (Wiley, 2007, ISBN: 978-0-470-04766-8, $27.95) is
available at bookstores nationwide, from all major online booksellers, and
direct from the publisher at www.wileyfinance.com or 800-225-5945. In Canada,
call 800-567-4797.
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