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"A billion dollars isn't what it used to
be." --Bunker Hunt on the Sunday after Black Thursday when
confronted with a significant payment demand from Engelhard.
If you want to
know what happens when multiple long positions demand physical delivery
of a commodity all at once, you need look no further than the Hunt brothers
silver saga of 1979-1980. They did nothing illegal, the Chicago Board of
Trade (CBOT) and COMEX changed the rules in the middle of the game, the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) implemented new regulations, and
the Hunts were bankrupted, unjustly. All they really did was simply request
the delivery of the physical metal for which they held valid, legal
contracts. The shorts were unable to meet the delivery at any price because
enough deliverable silver did not exist - a classic short squeeze and
the panic was on.
This is their
story. In conjunction with wealthy investment partners from Saudi Arabia, the
Hunt brothers, Bunker and Herbert initially, amassed a legendary silver hoard
that had supported itself with ever-increasing prices propelled along the way
by their continued margin buying on the exchanges.
Beginning in 1973 and continuing into 1974, they slowly began purchasing
silver futures contracts totaling 55 million oz and then took physical
delivery of all the contracts. Since Bunker was concerned with impending
inflation and the potential confiscation of precious metals following Nixon's
closing of the gold window, he arranged for transfer of the bullion to Switzerland.
Larry LaBorde summed it up best:
"Meanwhile,
back at the ranch, (the Circle K Ranch in Texas) brother in law Randy
Kreiling and his brother Tilmon held a shooting contest amongst the cowboys
to find the best marksmen. The dozen best marksmen were hired for a special
assignment to ride shotgun on one of the largest private silver transfers in
history. The Circle K cowboys flew on 3 specially chartered 707 jets to
Chicago and New York where they were met by a convoy of armored trucks during
the middle of the night. Forty million oz of silver was loaded onto the
planes and they immediately flew to Zurich where they were met by another
convoy of armored trucks. The cowboys loaded the trucks and silver was
dispersed to six different storage locations in Switzerland. The transfer
cost Bunker and Herbert $200,000. The storage costs for the 40 million oz in
Switzerland and the 15 million oz still in the US amounted to $3
million/year." (from "H.L. Hunt's Boys and the Circle K
Cowboys", January 26, 2004)
By the spring of
1974, the markets started to get worried about the amount of silver out in
private hands, because annual demand was 450 million oz but annual production
was just 245 million oz. Of the estimated 700 million oz. above ground, only
200 million of that was deliverable against futures contracts. Silver had
risen to above $6 per oz during this time and then settled back to the $3 to
$4 range for several years.
The Arabian Connection
Then, in 1978, a significant development occurred. John Connally, former
governor of Texas, introduced Bunker to a Saudi sheik at the Mayflower hotel
in Washington. Sheik Khalid bin Mahfouz was staying at the same hotel as
Bunker and John Connally, and they met in bin Mahfouz's suite, which
consisted of the entire hotel floor, complete with 30 or 40 security guards.
The goal was to get the Hunts in the front door with these very wealthy Arab
sheikhs, and the Hunts would sell the Saudis on the value of silver over the
worthless U.S. dollar with the hope of enlisting them for coordinated joint
purchases.
Khalid bin Mahfouz became intrigued, but since he had close ties to the Saudi
royal family, Crown Prince Fahd and Prince Abdullah, and since the plan
involved the potential elevation of silver to reserve asset status within the
Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, bin Mahfouz wished to be discreet. The
operation was to be organized so that his name would not appear in public.
Then on July 15, 1979, the company was formally established in Bermuda and
registered under the name International Metals Investment Company, or IMIC
for short. The stated object was dealing in precious metals and its shares
were divided equally between Nelson Bunker Hunt, W. Herbert Hunt, and the two
designated Saudi Arabian money men, Ali bin Mussalem and Mohammed Aboud
al-Amoudi. The primary silver accumulation would now occur through the IMIC
vehicle and two other well-connected middlemen, the Lebanese Naji Nahas and
the Palestinian Mahmoud Fustok.
The Accumulation Phase
On August 1, 1979, a new name showed up on the CFTC's daily reports of silver
purchasers. The buyer was International Metals Investment Company through an
account at Merrill Lynch's Dallas office opened by Herbert Hunt just seven
days earlier. Other buying syndicates, including Naji Nahas and the Banque
Populaire Suisse, with big money behind them entered the silver market in the
first week of August without being noticed.
In all during that period, over 43 million oz of silver contracts were
purchased through the Comex and the CBOT with delivery to be taken that fall.
In the fall of 1979 the silver price doubled from $8 to $16/oz in only two
months and the COMEX and the CBOT started to panic. The warehouses of the two
exchanges only held 120 million oz of silver and that amount was traded in
October alone. Many buyers, including the Hunts through their International
Metal Investment Company were taking delivery on all their contracts. As
disorienting as the price escalation was, even more of a concern was the
exact identity of IMIC since the CFTC only had a post-office box number
located in Hamilton, Bermuda.
The Hunts continued to accumulate silver throughout 1979. Again from Larry
LaBorde:
"Late
in 1979 the CBOT changed the rules and stated that no investor could hold
over 3 million oz of silver contracts and the margin requirement were raised.
All contracts over 3 million oz per trader must be liquidated by February of
1980. Bunker accused the COMEX and CBOT board members of having a financial
interest in the silver market themselves. Investigations later found that
many had substantial silver short positions. Bunker knew that a shortage now
existed or they would not be screaming so loudly. He bought even more. The
price on the last day of 1979 was $34.45/oz. At this point Bunker and Herbert
held 40 million oz in Switzerland and 90 million oz of bullion they jointly
owned through International Metals Investment Company. In addition to all
that, IMIC had contracts on another 90 million oz due for delivery that March
from the Comex, bringing the grand total to 235 million oz. The younger
brother, Lamar, had even entered the arena and had taken a $300 million
dollar, 10 million oz, silver position by the end of 1979."
Changing
the Rules
In
early January, it became evident that COMEX intended to change the rules of
the game. And then finally on January 7th of 1980, the COMEX changed their
rules to only allow 10 million/oz of contracts per trader and that all
contracts over that amount must be liquidated before February 18th. Of
course, the CFTC promptly backed up the ruling. The escape hatch for the
Hunts and some of the other large longs was simply to convert their futures
contracts into physicals, lease the physicals abroad at interest rates, which
were tax deductions, and shift their future forward buying to the London
Metal Exchange. On January 17th silver hit $50/oz, Bunker had continued to
buy. At that point in time the Hunt's silver position was worth $4.5 billion
dollars bringing their profits in silver to $3.5 billion dollars. The chart
below illustrates the great Silver Spike of early 1980.
The "Silver
Spike"
On
January 21st, the COMEX announced that it was suspending trading in silver
and that they would only accept liquidation orders. Predictably with trading
suspended and only liquidation orders going through, the price of silver
dropped $10/oz and stayed around $39/oz until the end of January. Long lines
formed outside of metal dealer shops and scrap silver, old silver coin
collections, and family silverware came into the market - about 22 million oz
in all. In early February the Hunt group took delivery of another 26 million
oz from Chicago. The Hunt's North Sea oil through Placid Oil was coming on
line and generating $200 million /year from that venture alone. There was
talk of a takeover of Texaco Oil. Bunker was also talking to other Middle
Eastern rulers about putting together another silver buying group.
Forever
the optimist, Bunker faithfully believed that he could maintain the silver
spike if only he had cooperative fresh buying. From Larry LaBorde:
"By
March 14th silver was down to $21/oz, Paul Volcker had raised interest rates,
and the dollar had firmed up. International Metals still held 60 million oz
of futures contracts. Their margin calls on those contracts amounted to $10
million dollars a day! Bunker still believed the price would go back up if
only he could promote more buying. He scrambled around Europe looking for a
buying partner but the more the price dropped the harder it was to borrow
more money against his silver holdings to buy even more silver to hold up the
price."
The
Hunt's brokerage connection in New York and London, Bache Halsey Stuart
Shields, sent the Hunts a margin call for $100 million on March 26th of 1980.
Since the Hunts had also purchased vast quantities of Bache stock (more than
5% of issued and outstanding shares), they were technically
"insiders" required to adhere to the rules of only fractional stock
selling permitted on a monthly basis. With their Bache stock illiquid and
silver in free fall, the Hunt brothers had run out of cash. Bunker was in
Paris that day so he called Herbert and simply said, "Shut it
down". Herbert promptly told his broker the following morning that they
could not meet their total $135 million dollar margin call.
The
Hunt's brokers immediately sold $100 million dollars worth of silver on that
day. Their account only had $90 million dollars worth of equity and they were
expected to lose all that the next day. The CFTC chairman, the Chairman of
the Federal Reserve, and the US Treasury Secretary began an around the clock
silver monitoring session. Whoever could have foreseen the day when a change
in the price of silver would cause tremors through the entire stock market
and adversely affect the reputations of leading brokerage and commodity
firms. Wall Street was on edge.
Silver
Thursday
On
March 27th (Silver
Thursday), silver opened at $15.80 and closed at
$10.80. The stock market crashed on rumors of Hunt Brother liquidations of
stocks in order to cover his silver losses, but the market then rallied to
close roughly at the same level. The Hunt's bullion purchases were all
averaged around $10/oz, but their futures contracts were purchased at or
about $35/oz. When it was all over the Hunts owed approximately $1.5 billion
dollars.
Fearing
a financial disaster, Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volker gave approval for
an emergency bailout plan for the brothers and a group of banks agreed to
loan the brothers $1.1 billion with the family posting $8 billion in
collateral. With this final act the brother's older sister, Margaret, finally
put her foot down and demanded to know just what Bunker had intended to
accomplish in the silver market? Bunker sheepishly replied, "I was just
trying to make some money" (see Larry LaBorde).
Nelson
Bunker Hunt filed for personal bankruptcy in September of 1988. Within one
year he exited bankruptcy with a net worth of $5 to 10 million dollars and a
debt to the IRS of $90 million dollars which had to be repaid in 15 years. In
a 1989 settlement with the United States Commodity Futures Trading
Commission, Nelson Bunker Hunt was also fined US$10 million and banned from
trading in the commodity markets as a result of charges of conspiring to
manipulate the silver market stemming from his attempt to corner the market
in silver. Bunker's trusts, set up by his father H.L. Hunt, were valued at
approximately $200 million dollars. The payments to the IRS finally stopped
in 2003.
Jon Matonis
The Monetary Future
Jon Matonis is an Austrian School
economist focused on expanding the circulation of nonpolitical digital
currencies. He argues that what is about to happen in the world of
money is nothing less than the birth of a new Knowledge Age industry: the
development, issuance, and management of private currencies.
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