Inflation-Adjusted Silver Price Charts

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Published : May 18th, 2008
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Category : History of Gold





As you may know, I'm not big on charts.  I don't like charts, since most charts don't tell the full story of how much money they have printed up, and will continue to print up in the future.  But inflation-adjusted charts can give a more accurate picture than nominal dollar charts.  Furthermore, since inflation is escalating rapidly, any charts made end up having to be re-adjusted as inflation continues.  However, a very brilliant programmer, named Shelby Moore, who programmed www.miningpedia.com to surpass my specifications, has figured out a way to use google's api to create continuously adjusted inflation adjusted charts (these are not those, not yet).

A nominal chart is just the numbers, and shows that silver hit a high of $50/oz. in 1980.  But that's not really accurate, since the dollar is not an accurate measure.  Since 1980, when M3 was $1.8 trillion, there has been a lot of inflation, and there's two ways to adjust for that inflation.

The first way to adjust for inflation is through the government's CPI index, or "Consumer Price Index" which is the "official" inflation rate, but this excludes things like housing, food, and energy, which "nobody needs", and it used hedonic adjustments, and other sorts of lies, and thus severely undercounts inflation.  That's the first chart that shows silver peaked at $128/oz. in 1980 as measured in 2008 CPI adjusted dollars.

Another way to adjust is by looking at M3, which shows a measure of money creation inflation, which the government stopped reporting in the spring of 2006 when M3 was $10.3 trillion.  A private company continues to keep track, and now says that M3 is at $14 trillion, and increasing by about 20% per year now.  That's the second, SGS chart that shows that silve peaked at $365/oz. in 1980, as measured in 2008 SGS adjusted dollars.
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The other important adjustment that charts need is that they need to be log adjusted, rather than linear.  This way, they show similar rates of change in the slope of the rises, so that you can compare growth rates. 

These are good charts, but I believe we can expect Shelby to make even better ones soon.

These charts show a better picture than I've seen elsewhere.  Silver is cheap, and has hardly moved up yet at all!  Don't even think about taking profits yet.

If you can't see the charts for some reason, visit
http://www.silverstockreport.com/2008/charts.html





Jason Hommel

Silver Stock Report


I have 2 major resources on mining stocks to offer to you.

First, look at www.miningpedia.com  It is a FREE comprehensive database of mining stocks.  Anyone can update or enter data, it's like wikipedia.com.  Miningpedia has replaced the "silver stock report" in that it is doing the legwork on individual stock analysis that I used to do manually.  This frees me up to do what I like best, which is to write commentary.  My commentary retains the name, "Silver Stock Report", but for individual stocks, please see miningpedia.com.

Second, I offer a "look at my portfolio" for $50/month; where I share a peek at which stocks I own, once a month.  You can log in at any time, repeatedly, and also see all my prior months


Please visit Silver Stock Report for specific stock picks.




 







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Jason Hommel of silverstockreport.com has written over 100 articles on why people should buy gold, and especially silver bullion and silver stocks. His free silver stock report covers more companies than any other. Jason received a B.A. in Psychology from the University of Colorado at Boulder. An adept biblical scholar, he has also written 100's of articles on theology. Aged 34, he lives in Penn Valley, CA. In response to requests for stock tips, Jason, while not giving out investment advice, offers a "look at his portfolio", which shows his top investments by rank, updated monthly.
WebsiteSubscribe to his services
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