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"May you
live in interesting times" is reputed to be an ancient Chinese curse.
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Rumors seem to be flying around on a number of different topics, and it would
seem to be an insurmountable task to make sense out of all of them. But once
again I fall back on the Economic Confidence Model of Martin Armstrong and
his theory of waves of energy that pass through the people and converge in
amplified peaks at very specific times.
According to Armstrong, it is actually the time of his prediction that is
most accurate and not necessarily the content of the predictions. At very
specific times, and in very specific intervals, things simply happen. At some
intervals, with enough convergence, his model is expected to be exact TO THE
DAY. At other times, it is expected to be correct within a couple weeks. The
name of his 77 page tome, "It's Just Time" is a great description
of this principle. He got the name from something Margaret Thatcher said to
him personally in the 80's. That the conservatives were going to lose the
election in England not because of anything specific they had done, but
because "it's just time".
Here is one paragraph from "It's Just Time":
The 37.33 month cycle
is equal to 3.11 years. This also is very close to Pi being 3.141. To show
the hidden order, I will for the first time publicly or even privately
illustrate a point. Take the high of the previous wave 1998.554298. Add Pi in
terms of years and months 3.141. This produces the date 2001.695. Take 365
days and multiply .695 yields 253.675 days into the year 2001. That amounts
to September 11th, 2001. So much for the CFTC claiming that my forecasts
manipulate the world economy because nobady can predict a specific day years
in advance. For as much as things may appear to be random, it is more like
Neo in the Matrix. Suddenly he can see not the walls, but the code.
I am sure that most people will dismiss this for any number of reasons. But I
suggest that you read the entirety of "It's Just Time" before you make up your
mind. There are many including Jim Sinclair who hold Marty Armstrong in very
high regard.
The Economic Confidence Model turning point we are approaching right now is
April 19, 2009. It is one that is expected to be correct within a couple
weeks. The next point that is expected to be correct TO THE DAY, is June 13,
2011.
The rumors that interest me the most relate to gold, a change in the monetary
system, and supply line failures, or shortages in the necessities of life. I
read one thing in the last 24 hours that makes me speculate that our
government has planned a practice exercise for some sort of emergency. And
this exercise is scheduled for... early April.
As I have speculated on this blog, shortages combined with monetary stimulus
can lead to rapid hyperinflation which can lead to a change in the monetary
system which can lead to FreeGold. So that is the basic structure I am
building around the evidence I am seeing. Perhaps, and this is only
speculation, we could see shortages this spring and the monetary change
during the "hot" days between Independence Day and Labor Day. This
timing reconciles with multiple sources I follow.
There was an interesting note I came across out of the UK that makes me think
the contango trade we saw recently with oil tankers being used to store oil
while anchored at sea has spread into grains. I'm not sure what this means,
but I also anticipate gas shortages at some point this year. So it seems to
fit.
This has all reminded me of a fictional
story I read back in October, when things were looking pretty bad. This short
essay was written by John Galt and posted on his blog on October 26th, 2008:
Mary Jo
Schlumpunfunk (with all kudos to Glenn Beck) was driving home from work in
the suddenly cold November air of her home town of Jeffersonville, Indiana.
Mary Jo was sick and tired of listening to the depressing news about all the
problems all those rich bankers and Wall Street types were having so instead
of listening to the news station, she switched over to her favorite pop music
station tuning out reality and enjoying the drive back to her humble
apartment on the outskirts of town. Her neighbors greeted her with a friendly
‘hello’ as she walked up the steps and they asked her if her
company was going to shut down or not next week for the holiday. Mary Jo
paused with a puzzled look and said “We are open, even for Thanksgiving
Day as far as I know.” They nodded and looked at her like she was crazy
and then went inside out of the cold air of the night. Mary Jo’s
position as the Assistant Manager at the local Kroger’s gave her the
confidence that her job was secure because after all, people had to eat.
As the alarm went off at 3 a.m. Mary Jo did not even think about what was
being broadcast and just hit the off switch on her clock so she could start
getting ready for work. She turned her computer on as she passed by it on her
way to the bathroom so she could get ready to relieve the night manager at
five. Mary Jo returned to her computer after getting ready to log in and
check her email only to receive a message on her browser that there was a
connectivity issue. With that frustrating bit of news, she looked at the
cable router and sure as heck, it was down again. The regular routine of
having to dig an old cable bill out to call the idiots at Time Warner has
long been replaced by having the tech support number on speed dial on her
telephone and cell phone. When she picked her telephone up, it was dead with
no dial tone or service of any kind. Then she grabbed her cell phone and
called finally getting through only to get the message “We are aware of
the current outage in all of our services and we are working diligently to
restore service to all of our customers as soon as possible. At this time,
all internet access is restricted to certain business accounts only and will
be restored to residential customers as soon as we can.” With that
cheery bit of good news, she grabbed her coffee and hopped into her car to go
to the local combination gas station to grab some breakfast and gas on her
way to work.
With a little bit of stunned disbelief she pulled into the pumps at the local
Gas-N-Go where literally every pump but hers had a car sitting there and the
inside of the store was packed with people. She dutifully popped the gas cap
off and slid her debit card into the slot as her breath steamed up the
morning air. The card reader displayed “INVALID CARD, PLEASE SEE CASHIER”
in the tiny LCD display. With that she grabbed her keys and purse and huffed
inside to the station now leaving her only forty minutes to get to work. The
line at the poor cashier was murder with people yelling and screaming at the
young lady demanding that she fix the problem immediately but she kept saying
she couldn’t and was on the verge of tears. Mary Jo grabbed a bagel and
a bag of chips the hopped into the line from hell. When it was her turn at
the front she started to say “My card…” and was cut off by
the young lady who blurted out “I know, I know, it does not work. It
doesn’t matter what card, what bank, whatever but none of them are
working and I don’t know why. I can only take cash now. Would you still
like to buy gas at Pump 4 or not?” Mary Jo said “Sure give me $20
worth plus this stuff”, knowing full well that would leave her less
than twenty bucks in her wallet after buying all the groceries and gas but
she could get more food at work because after all, she worked in a grocery
store.
After that encounter she turned the radio off in her car and headed off to
work, listening to her favorite Johnny Cash CD. “The heck with all this
idiocy” she thought to herself. Maybe work will be peaceful and we can
get the Christmas food display moved to the front of the store to boost the
sales. Mary Jo pulled into the parking lot expecting to see only the usual
five or six cars that were normally there. Instead of a usual day, she would
see what happens when the world is turned on its side, as the lot was full
and there was a line of people standing in front of the ATM machine outside
which had to be forty plus people deep. On a day like today, Mary Jo knew she
would have to park in the back and sneak in through the receiving door just
like it was the peak shopping season. After parking the car, she wolfed the
bagel down while walking inside while trying to slurp down her coffee. Oh the
shock she would see.
The night manager was sitting in the receiving area with his head in his
hands sobbing like a baby. Mary Jo would not think this was unusual except he
was a fifty-three year old man, and as an ex-Marine his will usually was
emotionless, all business, and stalwart. “Mike, what is the matter, are
you okay?” Mary Jo tried to ask as she approached him in an effort to
comfort him. Mike replied “You should never have come here Mary, this
is a disaster. Do you know how many times we have had to call Law Enforcement
out here to restore order? Don’t you listen to the news or anything?
This is a nightmare, an utter, disastrous nightmare.” Mary Jo noticed a
half empty bottle of bourbon at his feet and that enraged her immediately.
She snapped back “Get your self together mister. There is nothing that
severe that justifies drinking on the job. You have a job to do and you need
to get your damned butt on that floor out there right now!”
“Mary Jo,” Mike said in a soft spoken and measured manner,
“you do not have a job. I do not have a job. Kroger’s does not
have a job for us any longer. You need to go report to the new resource
manager who is running the show here. We are just clerks in their eyes and
you had best get used to it. The State of Indiana Resource Manager showed up
at one o’clock in the morning. His name is Tom O’Donnell and
he’ll remind you of his power every hour, on the hour. Our store has
never been the same since.”
“Mike, you’re drunk. You need to get home and sober up.
I’ll go meet Mr. O’Donnell and straighten this out now!”
Mary Jo confidently stated as she slammed the doors of the docks open and
walked out on to the floor. As she looked at the shoppers in the meat and
deli section, her only reaction was to drop her full cup of coffee on the
floor, creating a huge puddle of hot steaming java on the floor. She stomped
up to the manager’s office in the front of the store only to be greeted
by a deputy in the doorway who told her “Ma’am, only authorized
personnel are allowed in that office.” She snapped her name badge off
her bloused and put it in the deputy’s face and in an angry tone told
him “I’ve been in this office longer than you’ve had your
job son. Now let me into my office to meet with Mr. O’Donnell and find
out what is going on in my damn store.”
As she walked into the office she closed the door and saw another deputy,
this one armed with a shotgun, the resource manager and the store manager,
Bill. Mary Jo looked at him sternly and spouted out “Why are there two
men armed with assault rifles in my deli department?” Bill, looking
tired, disturbed and frustrated already said “Mary Jo, please sit down.
We have a lot to cover. Let me introduce you to our new boss, Tom
O’Donnell from the State of Indiana Department of Resource
Allocation.” Stunned and now silent, she fell back into a chair in the
office as Mr. O’Donnell arose to shake her hand and said “Hello
Mary Jo, I know this is going to be difficult, but I think we can all work
well together. I assume you have not heard any news since you woke up early
this morning?” Mary Jo in a soft voice said “No, I was listening
to a music CD in my car. I noticed my debit card did not work and that is
about the only thing that was unusual other than my internet being down, but
that’s a regular problem now.”
When she was finished, the news was dropped on her. Mr. O’Donnell
explained to her that 11:30 p.m. last night President Bush declared a banking
holiday and shut down all civilian internet access and non-emergency
telephone communications to insure a smooth transition while the cash
rationing and bank consolidation programs were implemented nationwide. Mary
Jo stuttered “why the internet, if you do not mind my asking?” He
explained to her that it was to prevent an external internet based attack on
the financial system and that the U.S. stock and bond markets would now be
closed for thirty days until the new banking system could be implemented. Mr.
O’Donnell then went into a detailed explanation that ATM machines would
be reactivated at 6 a.m. sharp and that each individual will be limited to
$50 per week, regardless of the number of bank accounts in their name. He
went on further to highlight that all credit cards will be suspended for the
same time period as the stock market to enable the banks to evaluate who
would be allowed to own or utilize the cards in the future.
After that bit of shocking news causing tears to well up in her eyes, Mary Jo
then asked the obvious question, “So what is your position in all
this?” O’Donnell knew this was coming and replied
“Emergency food, gas and energy rationing has been declared nationwide.
Every state officer or manager with a certain clearance level received
training from FEMA and the Department of Treasury as to this possibility this
past summer. Every American has to be guaranteed access to food and energy
and those gas stations that do not have a military or state police unit there
by now, will have one by 7 a.m. We have to insure safety and stability to
prevent people from over-reacting as the Bush administration transitions over
to the Obama administration in the next sixty days. I will be helping you
with re-organizing your store into a more efficient model to deal with the
foodstuff and merchandise purchase restrictions so the civilians will not
freak out. Only forty customers will be allowed into the store at any given
time and each customer will be handed a shopping list that they can abide by
until the rationing program moves into full swing. Price controls are in full
effect and we are in the process of working with your main offices to
reprogram all computers to these limitations. We can accept cash today and
hopefully the debit card system returns to normal in the next two hours.
Sadly, we are rationing everything this cold winter, including electricity
and most importantly, money.”
Mary Jo was speechless. She looked at her store manager and wanted to cry but
couldn’t. “What do you need me to do?” was all she could
say. Mr. O’Donnell explained that the entire Christmas display had to
come down as well as any non-essential goods removed from the shelves. He
handed her a file and said “At all times you will have an armed escort
for your protection. I know these are your neighbors and regular customers
but you never know when someone will go Waco on you.” As she opened the
file, she realized the gravity of the situation. She had to remove the entire
electronics and gift section. Christmas decorations and greeting cards had to
be removed; alcohol shipped on a company truck to the new “State of
Indiana Resource Distribution Center”; all drugs including
over-the-counter moved into the pharmacy. It was a stunning bit of news. And
she realized with the dread of the moment that this had been planned for
months, perhaps years.
Mary Jo now realized why the headline on the Louisville newspaper said
“Closed for
Business” and announced the government program on the
front page as well as a brief story about the midnight bankruptcy filing for
the paper. She thought to herself “I guess America is now closed for
business also” as she sauntered over towards the cashiers to comfort
them and begin the process of re-organizing the store to the new Federal and
state mandated standards.
John Galt also posted some commentary after this story and you can read the
rest of his post here.
Sincerely,
FOFOA
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