Japanese Economy Contracts Bigger than Expected 7.1% in 2nd Quarter; Really Bad Theories

IMG Auteur
Published : September 08th, 2014
333 words - Reading time : 0 - 1 minutes
( 0 vote, 0/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
Category : Opinions and Analysis

By now it should be pretty clear that Abenomics is a complete failure. Abenomics did not spur lending, investment, hiring, or wage growth.

It's one touted "success" is that prices have gone up. And for cash-strapped consumers facing higher taxes, that alleged "success" is actually a disaster.

Japanese Economy Contracts Bigger Than Expected 7.1% in Second Quarter

Please consider Japan says economy contracted 7.1 percent in April-June on bigger drop in business investment.

Japan's economy contracted at a larger than earlier estimated annual rate of 7.1 percent in April-June, as companies and households slashed spending following a tax hike.

The revised data released Monday show business investment fell more than twice as much as estimated before, or 5.1 percent, while private residential spending sank 10.4 percent, in annual terms. The earlier estimate showed the economy contracting 6.8 percent.

The recovery of the world's third-largest economy has slowed following the increase in the sales tax to 8 percent from 5 percent on April 1.
Really Bad Theories

Here's a statement from the article regarding theories that caught my eye:

"Theoretically, there should be no impact from the consumption tax increase on corporate spending or long-term corporate planning, but a large number of Japanese corporations seemed to see a large impact from the hike on final demand," said Junko Nishioka, an economist at RBS Japan Securities in Tokyo.

Goof grief. Nishioka, has theories, but they are as sound as a home foundation in a swamp. Here's an easy to understand explanation.

Eight Point Explanation

  1. Japan's sales tax increased from 5% to 8%.
  2. Wages did not go up.
  3. Consumers have 3% less money to spend.
  4. Consumers with less money, spend less.
  5. Businesses faced with a slowdown in consumer spending reduce future plans.
  6. Abe plans to hike the sales tax again and businesses know that as well.
  7. Business sentiment sours.
  8. Japanese demographics are such that businesses already have substantial worries.

What is it about those eight points that economist Nishioka fails to understand?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Data and Statistics for these countries : Japan | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : Japan | All
<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :0 (0 vote)
>> Next article
IMG Auteur
Mish 13 abonnés
Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. He writes a global economics blog which has commentary 5-7 times a week. He also writes for the Daily Reckoning, Whiskey & Gunpowder, and has over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com
WebsiteSubscribe to his services
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS
Take advantage of rising gold stocks
  • Subscribe to our weekly mining market briefing.
  • Receive our research reports on junior mining companies
    with the strongest potential
  • Free service, your email is safe
  • Limited offer, register now !
Go to website.