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USAGOLD/Peter Grant/07-26-17
Gold continues to consolidate as markets await the FOMC’s latest decision on monetary policy. The policy statement comes out at 2:00ET.
It is widely expected that the Fed will hold steady on policy and provide no additional clues about the timing of balance sheet normalization. Prospects for a September rate hike remains a long-shot.
Economic data will be light today with just EIA crude stocks for last week and June new home sales. A rise to a 615k annual pace is anticipated for new home sales.
The dollar’s decline has taken a pause, but the trend remains unquestionably bearish. Should that downtrend resume, it will provide an ongoing tailwind for gold.
Peter Spina of GoldSeek told MarketWatch yesterday that “the dollar has crumbled while the price of gold has begun inching higher toward a price takeoff trigger that should shoot it higher by $200-$300 an ounce over the coming rest of the year.” While Spina doesn’t specify where that trigger is, I think it lies at 1296.06/1300.00.
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