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Oakland
California has serious budget troubles. In a closed door city council
session, Oakland Mulls Bankruptcy.
"We
have asked the (bankruptcy) question because we wanted to know the
impact," said District 5 council member Ignacio De La Fuente. "In
closed session, the question has been asked, and an answer was given."
He would not elaborate. "It's a possibility," he acknowledged.
"Things are that bad."
Council President Jane Brunner was equally aloof. She ably acknowledged the
city's dire financial problem while managing to avoid the b-word altogether.
"We're going to try to avoid it, but am I going to say it would never
happen? I can't say that," Brunner said.
Consider the city's cash position: Out of next year's general fund of
approximately $415 million, police costs are estimated at $212 million, fire
protection service $103 million and $41 million in debt service payments.
That leaves about $60 million to pay for everything else, from library
services to recreation centers to public works.
And that calculation doesn't include $50 million more in deferred debt
service in a budget proposal presented to the council last month by Mayor Ron
Dellums.
Alameda County Assessor Ron Thomsen said tax assessments fell $13.6 billion
in the fiscal year that will end June 30. "Our assessment roll will go
down 2 percent, and we've never had a year-to-year drop ever in stats going
back to 1958," he said.
[The city council] is faced with three choices: drastic pay reductions across
the board, including police and fire services; massive layoffs; or
bankruptcy.
It has been a great run for municipal employees in Oakland and across the
state, who have been the beneficiaries of one of the most generous civil
service systems in the nation.
Since the late 1940s, California municipal
governments traditionally have employed fewer employees, who have been paid
substantially more than other civil servants, Ellwood said.
Indeed
it has been a "great run for municipal employees" who worked less
for more pay and received more benefits than anywhere else in the nation.
Oakland should do itself a favor and beat the rush by declaring bankruptcy
now unless the unions come forth and voluntarily agree to lower benefits and
stop all defined benefit plans going forward.
The structural damage caused by ridiculous pension plans is staggering. A
point of no return has been reached. Cities can no longer put off the problem
and the public is not willing to put up with higher taxes. So what's it going
to be? The article mentioned three choices. I have it at four.
Union Choices
·
Huge
pay cuts
·
Huge
benefit cuts
·
Massive
layoffs
·
Bankruptcy
By the way, huge benefit cuts seem more like a requirement rather than an
option if bankruptcy is to be avoided. In Boston, Brain Dead Disorder Hit Union Leadership.
Are the Oakland unions any smarter than the unions in Boston or Vallejo?
Before you vote please ponder this: Judge Rules Vallejo Can Void Union Contracts.
Expect to see a surge of cities considering bankruptcy. In addition expect to
see municipalities in Florida and Alabama to do the same. The interesting
thing to watch will be how far and how fast this spreads.
Mish
GlobalEconomicAnalysis.blogspot.com
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