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On the Horizon: The Day Ahead: September 30, 2008

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Merk Fund
Published : September 29th, 2008
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Category : Editorials

 

 

 

 

 

Market Movers:

 

• The failure of the TARP on the floor of the House of Representatives has moved action towards overnight trading in Asia and early morning action in Europe. With the credit markets currently jammed up, volatility should be expected to shape the overnight action and the direction of US markets in early morning trading Tuesday.

 

• News flow will provide direction for the markets as Congress dithers over what action to take to stem the tide of the growing crisis. It does appear that the plan in its current form, or in another, will not be resubmitted to House until Thursday at the earliest.

 

• Look for possible Treasury or Fed announcements during the pre-market hours. Traders have priced in a full fifty basis point cut in the federal funds rate. While we do not think it a likely event, overt concerns in the market regarding the fragility of the financial system and the economic fallout of the credit panic, it cannot be completely discounted.

 

• Lingering concern over the condition of the US banking system and growing concern of the status of the financial sector in Europe should be the major economic factors that drive pricing action during the day.

 

• Macro data will see the July Case Schiller estimate of price action in the housing sector and the September Chicago PMI and Consumer Confidence reports. ISCS same store sales estimate and the Redbook survey will provide information on the condition of the retail sector and the appetite for retail goods among the public. These data will be second order questions during the upcoming trading day. • The US Treasury will conduct a four-week bill auction at 1:00 PM and settle a two year and five year note.

 

Joseph Brusuelas

Chief Economist
VP Global Strategy
Merk Investments LLC

 

Merk Investments LLC is the manager of Merk Mutual Funds, including the Merk Asian Currency Fund and the Merk Hard Currency Fund. The Merk Asian Currency Fund invests in a basket of Asian currencies. Asian currencies the Fund may invest in include, but are not limited to, the currencies of China, Hong Kong, Japan, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand.

The Merk Hard Currency Fund invests in a basket of hard currencies. Hard currencies are currencies backed by sound monetary policy; sound monetary policy focuses on price stability.

The Funds may be appropriate for you if you are pursuing a long-term goal with a hard or Asian currency component to your portfolio; are willing to tolerate the risks associated with investments in foreign currencies; or are looking for a way to potentially mitigate downside risk in or profit from a secular bear market. For more information on the Funds and to download a prospectus, please visit www.merkfund.com.

Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks and charges and expenses of the Merk Funds carefully before investing. This and other information is in the prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by visiting the Funds' website at www.merkfund.com or calling 866-MERK FUND. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.

The Funds primarily invest in foreign currencies and as such, changes in currency exchange rates will affect the value of what the Funds own and the price of the Funds' shares. Investing in foreign instruments bears a greater risk than investing in domestic instruments for reasons such as volatility of currency exchange rates and, in some cases, limited geographic focus, political and economic instability, and relatively illiquid markets. The Funds are subject to interest rate risk which is the risk that debt securities in the Funds' portfolio will decline in value because of increases in market interest rates. The Funds may also invest in derivative securities which can be volatile and involve various types and degrees of risk. As a non-diversified fund, the Merk Hard Currency Fund will be subject to more investment risk and potential for volatility than a diversified fund because its portfolio may, at times, focus on a limited number of issuers. For a more complete discussion of these and other Fund risks please refer to the Funds' prospectuses.

This report was prepared by Merk Investments LLC, and reflects the current opinion of the authors. It is based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward-looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute investment advise nor a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any products or services. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, distributor.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Data and Statistics for these countries : China | Hong Kong | India | Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | Philippines | Singapore | South Korea | Taiwan | Thailand | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : China | Hong Kong | India | Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | Philippines | Singapore | South Korea | Taiwan | Thailand | All
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Bridging academic rigor and communications, Joe Brusuelas provides the Merk team with significant experience in advanced research and analysis of macro-economic factors, as well as in identifying how economic trends impact investors. As Chief Economist and Global Strategist, he is responsible for heading Merk research and analysis and communicating the Merk Perspective to the markets. Mr. Brusuelas holds an M.A and a B.A. in Political Science from San Diego State and is a PhD candidate at the University of Southern California, Los Angeles. Before joining Merk, Mr. Brusuelas was the chief US Economist at IDEAglobal in New York. Before that he spent 8 years in academia as a researcher and lecturer covering themes spanning macro- and microeconomics, money, banking and financial markets. In addition, he has worked at Citibank/Salomon Smith Barney, First Fidelity Bank and Great Western Investment Management. Mr. Brusuelas lives in Connecticut with his wife and St. Bernard.
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