The world finds itself immersed in the depths of an economic crisis.
This crisis however, is unlike any other experienced in recent history.
What is at stake is the very foundation of our monetary system,
the currency.
Today's unbacked fiat
currency experiment is at the very root of an emerging global monetary
problem. While the talk of "recovery" in recent months now
populates headlines, the desperate actions of politicians and central bankers
show the contrary.
More than ever, this saying applies: "Do not believe
what they say, rather observe the actions of those who say it".
Since the onset of the "Great Recession", we have witnessed a
spectacular 'dead cat
bounce' in everything from stocks to real estate markets. This is
undoubtedly attributable to the unprecedented currency debasement (currency
expansion) launched by central banks, in addition to an explosion in
government spending aimed at counter-acting the inevitable.
Since 2008, the Federal Reserve has more than tripled its balance
sheet, while the US
national debt has just about doubled in the same time frame.
As central banks attempt to provide life support to an ailing system,
the eventual outcome is evident. A system based on the unsustainable
cannot be spared, as the problem itself lies in the medium of exchange which
facilitates all economic activity: the unbacked fiat currency.
Recently, surfacing evidence of decelerating growth in the United States,
the permanent tensions in the Eurozone, and Japan's deteriorating economic
environment are but a few examples of the events that have triggered
governments to move beyond their traditional spheres of influence and into
the business of monetary policy. A flashing indicator that the so
called 'recovery' is all but real.
Central banks across the globe have come under the influence of their
respective governments like never before.
To be clear, these institutions are under siege in a battle that, by
definition, they tend to lose : the battle of politicization.
Under a political methodology, a policy conflicting with government
interests must be quickly altered. In today's environment, central bank
mandates are falling under question by political forces who pose a
short-minded resolution through limitless credit expansion (currency
debasement), without thought to long-term consequences (rapid price
inflation).
The latest victim of this reckless mindset was the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Just weeks ago, the newly elected Japanese prime minister (Shinzo
Abe) threatened the Bank of Japan's autonomy unless they alter their
mandate by doubling their inflation target and committing to unlimited
printing.
Consequently the BoJ recently announced a more aggressive stance focusing
on open-ended asset purchases without a specified limit, a close reflection
of the Federal
Reserve's QE4 program launched in December 2012. Japan took this
even further, and unlike the Fed, did not set specific parameters as to when
to stop easing. Thus, it seems that Shinzo
Abe's intent of limitless currency creation was accomplished without much
struggle.
The Bank of Japan however, is not alone.
Jens Weidmann, President of Germany's central bank (The
Bundesbank), has recently warned of the dangers of central bank
politicization, claiming that this will eventually trigger a currency war (Race
to Debase). Under such a scenario, every nation (claiming price
'competitiveness' as a justification) prints as fast as possible, increasing
demand for its exports, while crushing the purchasing power of fiat currency
savers and citizens at home.
This is nothing new to the global economy, but the tendency will
accelerate with governments putting more pressure on central banks.
As history proves, short-term minded politicians typically wreck an
economy's long term prospects, as their visibility rarely goes beyond their
election cycle.
Weidmann's statements note that among the reasons for Germany recently
repatriating their gold from Paris and New York, the Bundesbank has
considered the costs and implications of a currency war. It is all too
clear to the German central bank that whether they like it or not, currency
debasement quickly becomes a game of forced participation. One by one,
they will fall like a domino effect.
This will be a significant price and demand catalyst for gold and silver.
Just
like Germany did, it is just a matter of time before more and more
countries demand the return of their gold bullion. No one wants
to be left behind in the Race
to Debase, much less in another very important race: the rush for
monetary assets (gold &
silver). Central banks know this very well.
A physical supply shock will eventually cause gold and silver prices to
sky rocket as physical shortages are exposed and chains of re-hypothecated
gold and silver collapse (via ETFs,
pools,
certificates,
and paper
gold / paper silver accounts).
Take note, today central banks face a series of lost battles ahead.
The politicization of currency and gold will offset an increasing set of
consequences for paper fiat currencies. The consequences of this will
be substantial, transferring wealth away from those who have not yet protected
themselves with physical gold and
silver bullion.