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"Governments love [the war on cash]. Then they can control
you...we are not going to have as many freedoms as we have now ...get
prepared because we're going to have the worst economic problems we've had in
your lifetime or my lifetime and when that happens a lot of people are going
to disappear.
“…the next time around it’s going to be worse than anything
we’ve seen and a lot of institutions, people, companies, even countries are
going to disappear, certainly governments and maybe even countries are going
to disappear. "
Billionaire Investor Jim Rogers: "We're About To Have The
Worst Economic Problems Of A Lifetime, A Lot Of People Will Disappear",
ZeroHedge.com, 02/11/2017
PART
I
Yes,
indeed, as Deepcaster has been forecasting for several months now, Key
Sectors of the Markets will likely Crash in the Next Few Months and that
Crash will likely be worse than 2008.
But
to understand how the Economy and Markets got to this dangerous pass, and how
to Profit and Protect, we must first understand The Cartel and their
multi-year history of Market Intervention [*See Cartel Note 1]. [Facilitated
by his focus on the Interventionals, before the last crash in 2008,
Deepcaster had his subscribers in five leveraged short funds all of which
were liquidated profitably.]
For
example, the leading Central Banks of The Cartel have injected some
$20Trillion into the Markets in
just the last three years via OE/Money Printing etc. (Fox
Business, 10/26/2017)
Indeed,
consider the following quote from a reputable Investment Firm Phoenix Capital
Research.
“The
Central Banks are getting Desperate. The interventions are so obvious now
you’d have to be on drugs not to notice them.
“On
Monday afternoon, at 3PM ‘someone’ stepped in to prop up stocks. They did it
again yesterday at 10AM. There were obvious interventions.
“How
do we know this was intervention and not real buying?
“Because
no real buyer guns the markets 20+ points higher in a matter of minutes.
“Real
investors carefully try to buy stock without gunning the market higher. If
the market explodes higher, you get a worse entry point.
“Why
are Central Banks desperately trying to ‘save’ stocks?
“Because
the markets have lost faith in their abilities.”
“‘Someone’
Desperately Intervened to Save Stocks Yesterday,”
Phoenix
Capital Research, 02/10/2016
“Central
banks have bought about 12 trillion of assets since 2008.”
Business
Insider
Indeed,
the Central Bankers and Establishment Spin that the Economy is recovering is
simply not true.
Consider
a Reliable source of Real Numbers — Shadowstats.com — headlines from a recent
report.
“Already
Weakened versus Nonsense, Headline Second-Quarter Strength, Relative
Third-Quarter GDP Growth Likely Was Softened Further by Disaster Damages,
with Less-Than-Offsetting Gains from Early-Recovery Activity
“Natural-Disaster
Effects Hit Third-Quarter Production, Boosted Orders and Softened Housing
Starts with Mixed Impact on Home Sales
“Pre-Hurricane
Headline Production Data Weakened Meaningfully in Revisions; Pre-Existing,
Broadly-Negative, Underlying Economic Trends Have Not Changed; General Outlook
Remains One of Non-Recovered Business Activity in Renewed Downturn
“In
the Dominant but Still-Faltering Manufacturing Sector of Production: A Record
117 Months of Continued Non-Expansion, with No End in Sight September
Industrial Production and Manufacturing, Respectively, Were Down by 0.7%
(-0.7%) and by 6.3%(-6.3%) from Their Pre-Recession Peaks
“Real
Durable Goods Orders Still Down 10.3% (-10.3%) from Recovering Pre-Recession
Peak
“September
Housing Starts Took a Small Hit from the Tempests, But No More than Seen
Within in Regular Monthly Volatility for the Series
“Increasingly-Negative
Trends in Smoothed Home Sales and Construction Activity Show Low-Level,
Non-Recovered, Faltering Stagnation
“Still
Shy of Recovering Their Pre-Recession Peaks: Housing Starts Down by 50.4%
(-50.4%), Building Permits Down by 46.3% (-46.3%), New Home Sales Down by
52.0% (-52.0%), Existing-Home Sales Down by 25.9% (-25.9%)”
"No.
917: September 2017 Production, Durable Goods Orders, New Construction and
Home Sales," Shadowstats.com 10/26/2017
And
consider the Real Numbers in the following Shadowstats Chart
Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real
Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)
Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported October
13, 2017
2.23% / 9.98%
U.S. Unemployment reported October
6, 2017
4.22% / 21.9%
U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported
September 28, 2017
2.21% / -1.82%
U.S. M3 reported October 5, 2017 (Month
of September, Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report / 4.30%(e) (i.e., total M3 Now at $18.321 Trillion!)
The
Economy is not recovering.
Just as
many official Statistics are Not Accurate (see Note 1), Inaccurate often also
are Mainstream Media (MSM) Reporting of Major Financial and Economic Events.
For
example, as former OMB Director David Stockman points out, The Fed’s 2008
Bailout Actions via TARP et al were basically a multi-hundred Billion Wealth
Transfer from Savers and Taxpayers to the Mega Banks and other Financial
Institutions. But the Mainstream Media certainly did not present it that way.
Instead, they propagated the fiction that the Bailouts were necessary to
“save the Financial System.”
“Then,
when the Fed’s fire hoses started spraying an elephant soup of liquidity
injections in every direction and its balance sheet grew by $1.3 trillion in just thirteen weeks compared to
$850 billion during its first ninety-four years, I became convinced that the
Fed was flying by the seat of its pants, making it up as it went along. It
was evident that its aim was to stop the hissy fit on Wall Street and that
the threat of a Great Depression 2.0 was just a cover story for a panicked
spree of money printing that exceeded any other episode in recorded human
history….
“Because
they stopped it in its tracks after the AIG bailout and then all the alphabet
soup of different lines that the Fed threw out, and then the enactment of
TARP, the last two investment banks standing were rescued, Goldman and Morgan
[Stanley], and they should not have been. As a result of being rescued
and having the cleansing liquidation of rotten balance sheets stopped, within
a few weeks and certainly months they were back to the same old games, such
that Goldman Sachs got $10 billion dollars (from The Fed – ed.) for the
fiscal year that started three months later after that check went out, which
was October 2008. For the fiscal 2009 year, Goldman Sachs generated what I
call a $29 billion surplus – $13 billion of net income after tax, and
on top of that $16 billion of salaries and bonuses, 95% of it which was
bonuses.
“Therefore,
the idea that they were on death’s door does not stack up. Even if they
had been, it would not make any difference to the health of the financial
system.
…
“The
banks quickly worked out their solvency issues because the Fed basically
took it out of the hides of Main Street savers and depositors throughout
America….
“Well, once
you basically unplug the pricing mechanism of a capital market and make it
entirely an administered rate by the Fed, you are going to cause all kinds
of deformations as I call them, or mal-investments as some of
the Austrians used to call them, that basically pollutes and corrupts the
system. Look at the deposit rate right now, it is 50 basis points, maybe
40, for six months. As a result of that, probably $400-500 billion a year is
being transferred as a fiscal maneuver by the Fed from savers to the banks.
They are collecting the spread, they’ve then booked the profits, they’ve
rebuilt their book net worth, and they paid back the TARP
basically out of what was thieved from the savers of America.”
(Emphasis added)
David
Stockman, Frmr Head, OMB & Member, House of Representatives, (1977-81)
The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America, 2013
The
private-for-profit Fed’s Ongoing Intervention in the Markets on behalf of their
owners/shareholders, the Mega-Banks, is an old and ongoing story.
Unfortunately, it is having several ongoing and worsening Negative
Consequences (including those Stockman points out) on Investors, Retirees and
Main Street in general.
Indeed,
investors are increasingly losing faith in the Central Banks ability to
“Save” the Markets. Many months of the private for-Profit Fed and other
Central Bank Zero or near-Zero Interest-Rate Policies have certainly not
saved the U.S. Economy or Markets, and indeed, the Negative Interest Rate
Policies of Japan, Sweden and other have not saved their Economies or Markets
either.
Indeed,
Major Central Banks and Governments have long been intervening in virtually
all Major Markets, creating extraordinarily damaging distortions and
destroying honest Price Discovery. Result: Huge Bubbles, larger than 2008. We
will address those later. And worse, they are intensifying their “War on
Cash” in order to increase their power over the citizenry of Many Nations.
Therefore,
it is essential to Monitor the Interventionals, as Deepcaster does, as well
as the Fundamentals and Technicals for Investment and Trading Success.
Consider
Nanex Market Analyst Eric Scott Hunsader’s View:
“MarketWatch
this week published a profile of market data analyst, Eric Scott Hunsader of
Nanex, in Winnetka, Illinois, who may have done more than anyone to expose
the crookedness of high-frequency trading, quote stuffing, and spoofing on
U.S. exchange and whose work has been crucially publicized by Zero Hedge.
While it’s great that Hunsader should get such recognition of his service to
the restoration of free and transparent markets, the MarketWatch profile
unfortunately omits what may be his greatest service, his disclosure of U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission
documents showing that Central Banks and governments are secretly trading all
major U.S. futures markets…”
Gata.org,
02/06/2016
And the
interventions are not limited to the Equities Markets but extend to the
Sovereign Bond Markets—Former Asst. Secretary of the Treasury, Paul Craig
Roberts, has amassed considerable evidence that The Fed has Bought U.S.
Treasuries through Belgium to support the Treasury Bond Market.
And, most
importantly, Deepcaster and many others, including especially gata.org,
have for years documented the Central Bank Suppression of Gold and Silver
Prices to bolster the ostensible value of their (paper/digital) Fiat
Currencies and (paper/digital) Treasury Securities (see gata.org).
Indeed,
Recent Discovery in a lawsuit against Deutsche Bank revealed clear evidence
that that bank had participated in suppressing the prices of precious
metals!!
But in
2017, as Globalist (as opposed to Internationalist) Central Bank Policies are
increasingly visibly Failing to revive Economies, as the Real Numbers (cf.
Shadowstats.com) indicate, Investors, Traders and the Public at large are
increasingly seeking the Safe Haven of Real Money—Gold and Silver—despite
Price Suppressive Banking Cartel (Note 1) Interventions.
After
all, All Fiat Currencies in the History of the World have failed.
As we
demonstrate, The Globalist Central Banks’ main goal is the protection of its
Clients, the Mega-Banks, and not necessarily (or at all) the Citizenry at large.
This is especially True in the case of the private for-profit Fed whose
shareholders are the Globalist Mega-Banks themselves.
This
explains the Globalist “Bankers Parasite Behavior” of which Jim Rickards
speaks.
“Bankers’
parasitic behavior, … is entirely characteristic of a society nearing
collapse. Wealth is no longer created; it is taken from others. Parasitic
behavior is not confined to bankers; it also infects high government
officials, corporate executives and the elite societal stratum….”
Jim
Rickards, The
Death of Money, June 2014
A Major
Goal of the intensifying Mega-Bank Markets Interventions is arguably
continued Mega-Bank Profits from (aka Parasitism on) the Economies which
Support them. The following Factual Overview is essential to understand this
phenomenon and to Profit and Protect.
First,
Regarding Official Statistics, Headline, Mainstream Media and Government
Agencies (e.g., BLS in USA and Chinese Agencies in China) support the Bogus
/Spun View of Economic Realities.
That is,
in order to Profit and Protect despite Cartel (Note 1) Interventions, it is
first important to understand that Official Statistics and News Reports in
Major Countries are often completely Bogus.
Considering
the U.S., for example, Real Unemployment (October, 2017) is 21.9% and Real
Inflation is 9.98% per Shadowstats.com which calculates the statistics the
way they were calculated decades ago before the numbers became so
politicized. (See the section “Indirect Manipulation” below.).
Not so
well publicized is The Fed/Mega Banks’ ongoing interventions to Suppress the
Prices of Gold and Silver (and boost the $US) because Gold and Silver are the
Legitimate Competitor to the Fed’s (and other Central Banks) Fiat
Currency/ies and Treasury Securities.
[For an
overview and Deepcaster’s Strategies and Recommendations for Profit and
Protection, see Parts II and III that follow.]
PART
II
And
recently, former Asst. Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, Paul Craig Roberts,
has exposed another Federal Reserve activity to disguise their continuing
manipulation. Indeed, pointing out, many Central Banks actions are Covert.
For example, The Fed is not really Tapering in 2013-2014:
“Is
the Fed ‘tapering’? Did the Fed really cut its bond purchases during the
three month period November 2013 through January 2014? Apparently not if
foreign holders of Treasuries are unloading them.
“From
November 2013 through January 2014 Belgium with a GDP of $480 billion
purchased $141.2 billion of US Treasury bonds. Somehow Belgium came up with enough
money to allocate during a 3-month period 29 percent of its annual GDP to the
purchase of US Treasury bonds.
“Certainly
Belgium did not have a budget surplus of $141.2 billion. Was Belgium running
a trade surplus during a 3-month period equal to 29 percent of Belgium GDP?
“No,
Belgium’s trade and current accounts are in deficit.
“Did
Belgium’s central bank print $141.2 billion worth of euros in order to make
the purchase?
“No,
Belgium is a member of the euro system, and its central bank cannot increase
the money supply.
“So
where did the $141.2 billion come from?
“There
is only one source. The money came from the US Federal Reserve, and the
purchase was laundered through Belgium in order to hide the fact that actual
Federal Reserve bond purchases during November 2013 through January 2014 were
$112 billion per month….
“Why
did the Federal Reserve have to purchase so many bonds above the announced
amounts and why did the Fed have to launder and hide the purchase?
“Some
country or countries, unknown at this time, for reasons we do not know dumped
$104 billion in Treasuries in one week….
“The
Fed realized that its policy of Quantitative Easing initiated in order to
support the balance sheets of ‘banks too big to fail’ and to lower the
Treasury’s borrowing cost was putting pressure on the US dollar’s value.
Tapering was a way of reassuring holders of dollars and dollar-denominated
financial instruments that the Fed was going to reduce and eventually end the
printing of new dollars with which to support financial markets. The image of
foreign governments bailing out of Treasuries could unsettle the markets that
the Fed was attempting to sooth by tapering….
“Washington’s
power ultimately rests on the dollar as world reserve currency. …
“If
the world loses confidence in the dollar, the cost of living in the US would
rise sharply as the dollar drops in value. Economic hardship and poverty
would worsen. Political instability would rise.
“If
the dollar lost substantial value, the dollar would lose its reserve currency
status. Washington would not be able to issue new debt or new dollars in
order to pay its bills….”
“Fed
Disguising QE by laundering it through Belgium,” Paul Craig Roberts,
paulcraigroberts.org, 05/12/2014
Mega-Bank
Market Manipulation extends to Boosting Prices (e.g., as above in Bond
Markets) and Price Suppression (as for years in Gold and Silver Markets).
Even the
August Financial Times of London ran a set of Articles revealing the Central
Banks’ “Burgeoning Market Manipulation Support” which the website, Naked
Capitalism, accurately summarizes as “Mission Leap” at The Fed. The Central
Bank is moving unabashedly into price-setting, and stealth, or formally
backstopping, of more and more Markets. — Do we have a move toward Marxist
Central Planning here?
In this
respect, the Globalist Right has much in common with the authoritarian
Cultural Marxist Left (see February 2010 posting at carryingcapacity.org).
These
Interventions provide a Challenge to Investors, and a Threat to their Wealth,
but also Great Opportunities to Profit and Protect Wealth provided one
understands and tracks them, as we explain here.
The Gold
Antitrust Action Committee has done a remarkable job in Exposing this price
suppression in Gold and Silver Markets.
“Western
central banks conceal their gold loans and swaps because information about
them is ‘highly market-sensitive and accountability about them would hinder
secret currency market interventions by central banks, according to a
confidential report by the International Monetary Fund obtained this week by
GATA. …
“This
is, the explicit but secret policy of Western central banking toward gold is
to deceive and manipulate markets, as GATA long has complained. …
“Secret
IMF report: Hide gold loans and swaps for market manipulation,”
The
GATA Dispatch, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, 12/11/2012
Gold and
Silver are the Metallic Canaries which, absent Price Suppression, would
signal many Economic Negatives, including the Price inflationary effect of
The Fed’s and other Central Banks QE. The Fed et al have become increasingly
desperate to conceal these Hidden Realities as the Cartel’s (Note 1) dramatic
April, 2013 Takedown shows.
“[O]n
Friday, April 12, the Fed’s agents hit the market with 500 tons of naked
shorts. Normally, a short is when an investor thinks the price of a stock or
commodity is going to fall. He wants to sell the item in advance of the fall,
pocket the money, and then buy the item back after it falls in price, thus
making money on the short sale. …
“…with
naked shorts, no physical metal is actually sold…
“Consider
the 500 tons of paper gold sold on Friday. Begin with the question, how many
ounces is 500 tons? There are 2,000 pounds to one ton. 500 tons equal
1,000,000 pounds. There are 16 ounces to one pound, which comes to 16 million
ounces of short sales on Friday.
“Who has 16 million ounces of gold? At the beginning gold
price that day of about $1,550, that comes to $24,800,000,000. Who has that
kind of money?
“What happens when 500 tons of gold sales are dumped on the
market at one time or on one day? Correct, it drives the price down.
Investors who want to get out of large positions would spread sales out over
time so as not to lower their sales proceeds. The sale took gold down by
about $73 per ounce. That means the seller or sellers lost up to $73 dollars
16 million times, or $1,168,000,000.
“Who can afford to lose that kind of money? Only a central
bank that can print it.”
“Assault
on Gold Update,” Paul Craig Roberts, Frmr Asst Treasury Sec’y Reagan
Administration, PaulCraigRoberts.org
Roberts also explains one Major Reason The Fed is short
selling bullion.
“The fact that the Federal Reserve is short selling bullion means that there
is something desperate going on. I assume it is related to the USDollar. If
the dollar drops sharply in exchange value, the Fed cannot control the
interest rate and the bond price, and so all of the bubbles would blow up.
All of the recent reports of countries moving away from the dollar to settle
their international payments have most likely caused a great many countries
to look at getting out of dollars. We not only have the BRICs moving away
from the use of the dollar, but also China, Japan, and all of the East Asians.
Recently we have even seen reports out of Australia that they are going to
deal directly with China in their own currency. So this drop in demand for
dollars when the Fed is creating one trillion new dollars every year means
the exchange value of the US dollar is untenable.” (Emphasis added –ed.)
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, quoted in “Global Money War Report,”
via Jim Willie, goldenjackass.com, 04/21/2013
This
Ongoing Suppression of Gold and Silver Prices tends to legitimize and bolster
the Ostensible Value of Major Nations’ Treasury Securities and Fiat
Currencies as stores and measure of value vis-à-vis Gold and Silver.
Remarkably,
The BIS, The Central Bankers’ Bank, advertised in June, 2008 that one of its
“Products” was “Interventions” in the Gold Market, as well as Currencies.
The
Price Suppression Scheme is International, involving many Banks as Mr.
Rigaudy’s characterization implies.
“Our
Products – Forex and Gold Services > Interventions”
The
Bank for International Settlements (BIS): An Introduction
Jean-François
Rigaudy, Head of BIS Treasury, June, 2008
Indeed,
the aforementioned recent example of the Cartels Precious Metals Price
Takedown shows The Cartel’s (Note 1) increasing desperation and determination
to hide the Negative Effects of QE from the Public. But increasing
purchases of Gold and Silver by, and Delivery to, China and India and
Russia make it increasingly hard for The Cartel to maintain its Price
Suppression Scheme. Indeed, Deepcaster has forecast the timing of a Great
Launch up of Gold and Silver Prices in its latest Letter and Alerts.
Further,
it is essential to review several facets of, and Key Points in the History of
and current record of Manipulation which are crucial to understand the
variety of Effects, and how to Profit and Protect from them (and see e.g.,
Notes below). Consider…
Indeed,
there are several Negative consequences of this Mega-Bank Cartel Market
Manipulation for Investor Citizens around the World.
“We
have had a Fed engineered serial bubble, that has created the appearance of
wealth, that has caused people to consume beyond their means through
borrowing, and that has flushed the income and wealth of our society up to
the top, as a result of the Fed turning the financial markets into a casino.
These are pure casinos, they are not capital markets, they are not adding to
the productive capacity of our economy, they simply are a bunch of robots
trading with each other by the millisecond as a result of the Fed giving them
zero cost overnight money, and giving them all kinds of hand signals on what
to front-run.
“The
Fed is destroying prosperity by funding demand that we can't support with
earnings and production, causing massive current accounts deficits and the
flow of funds overseas and the buildup in China, OPEC and Korea of massive
dollar reserves which is a totally unsustainable, unsupportable system, and
we are coming near the edge of where that can continue to remain stable.”
Stockman,
December, 2010
Indeed!
The Debt and Equities Bubbles of early 2016 demonstrate the prescience of
Stockman’s comment.
Among
the Mega-Banks holding huge Precious Metals and other Derivatives Positions
are familiar names (JPM Chase held a Derivative Portfolio of some $70 Trillion
Notional value in 2010, for example).
“This
report (Q1 2010 Bank Derivatives report – ed.) contains more evidence that a
flood of paper gold and silver instruments are being used to divert investor
capital away from the purchase of the actual physical metals in order to
suppress prices…
“Two
bullion banks, JPM and HSBC, continue to dominate the precious metals
derivatives market with positions that are outrageously oversized compared to
the underlying metals markets…”
“Manipulative
Gold & Silver Derivative Positions Continue to Grow!”
Adrian
Douglas, Marketforceanalysis.com, 6/26/10
Other
Negative Consequences of Massive Fed and other Mega-Bank QE (Money “Printing”
and Credit Facilitation) were presciently identified by Bob Chapman (R.I.P.)
and Warren Buffet.
“Banana
Ben, like his equally pernicious predecessor, Easy Al, is trying to paper
over declining US living standards by orchestrating asset bubbles.
Ironically, …
“Soon
Ben will be at his Rubicon. He must then either monetize everything or allow
short rates to explode higher. This of course would precipitate the dreaded
debt deflation that solons have tried to avert.”
Bob
Chapman, International Forecaster, 12/18/10
And
indeed, short rates are exploding higher as we write this in October 2017.
And, we
should add that Janet Yellen and her Fellow FOMC Members have been doubling
down on Banana Ben’s Policies. Such has elicited a Buffet response.
“Charlie
and I are of one mind in how we feel about derivatives and the trading activities
that go with them:we view them as time bombs, both for the parties that deal
in them and the economic system.”
Warren
Buffet, February 21, 2003
The Fact
that The Fed was not tapering when it said it was but rather was (and
is) increasingly monetizing. This Phenomenon could reasonably be considered
one of The Time Bombs to which Buffet refers. Yes, The Fed and other central
Bankers are still Massively Monetizing (i.e. printing/digitizing Money and
Buying) Sovereign and other Debt, and thus creating even Massive Asset
Bubbles in the Treasury and Corporate Bond and Equities Markets as well.
For
example, in the December, 2011 to February, 2012 period The ECB injected One
trillion Euros’ into the International Economy on top of all the Fed QE
and other injections.
Thus,
this Immense and Ongoing QE provides Great Profit and Wealth
Protection Opportunities (see Notes 3 and 4) as well as Great Systemic
Threats, as we explain.
Indeed,
near the end of the Fall, 2008 Equities Market Crash (i.e. as of December
2008) there were about U.S. $548 Trillion in Notional OTC (i.e. Dark, Not
Exchange Traded; thus traded mainly by Mega-Banks) Derivatives still
outstanding worldwide.
Yet
nearly nine years later (as of [H2, 2016] – the latest BIS Report date) that
total was at about $369 Trillion Notional Value of Interest Rate
Derivatives alone! And $544 Trillion in toto for gold categories
according to the Central Banker’s Bank, the Bank for International
Settlements Also reported were Record High $354 (H2, 2016) Billion in
Gold-related Derivatives (http://www.bis.org/statistics/derstats.htm > D5: D5.1
& D5.2). Consider that the entire world GDP is only about $100 Trillion.
Warren
Buffet is surely correct to label such massive quantities of Derivatives as
“Time Bombs” because the leverage inherent in them is both a threat to
Investors and to the financial system.
Clearly,
a Conclusion that Systemic Risk (generated by Derivatives Exposure which
existed, e.g., at AIG prior to the Crash) has somehow been substantially
lessened by the actions of the private for-profit Fed, the European Central
Bank, the U.S. Government, or any other source, is wrongheaded. Indeed,
Taxpayers bailed out AIG to the tune of $180 Billion to “save” the Mega-Banks
and other institutions holding such, because AIG insured those Derivatives. A
Giant Moral Hazard going forward.
In
addition, there is the risk of the Trillions in “Dark (i.e., non-public)
Derivatives”.
Given
the Massive Size and Impact of the over $700 Trillion in Dark OTC
Derivatives, Investing or Trading without addressing the issue of ongoing and
prospective Cartel* Market Interventions is a recipe for disaster.
Thus,
we offer this Overview and Update regarding The Interventional Universe to
provide a Springboard for the Profits and Protection Strategy which we
outline here
and in our Letters and Alerts. And we offer Buy Recommendations designed to
profit from Forecast Mega-Moves. See Notes 2, 3 and 4 below, for example, re
Buy Recommendations and Recent Profits Taken.
[This
November 2017 Article is the Eighteenth in a series of Deepcaster's work
originally entitled “Juiced Numbers”. It provides an Updated Overview and
Summary of Market Intervention and Data Manipulation.It reflects Analysis of
key recent Releases from (and actions of) the BIS (Bank for International
Settlements – The Central Banker’s Bank), BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics)
and The U.S. Federal Reserve, as well as Highlights of recent Interventions,
and updates regarding The Cartel* “End Game.” For the sake of Brevity, we
refer to our earlier articles in this series.]
Bailouts
and Stimuli have afforded The Cartel a whole panoply of additional tools for
Market Intervention which they did not possess even ten years ago. These
tools make tracking “The Interventionals” ever more challenging. In sum, this
report provides even more evidence of increased Risk of Hyperstagflation
and/or Systemic Collapse, and of the beginning of the attempted
implementation of The Cartel’s Nefarious “End Game” (see “Saving Investments,
Sovereignty, & Freedom from the Cartel ‘End Game’ (1/13/11) in the
‘Articles by Deepcaster’ cache at deepcaster.com).
Note that
as of October, 2017 Real U.S. Inflation is near record highs at 10%
(shadowstats.com).
The
aforementioned provide evidence that the private for-profit Fed’s and its
allied Mega-Banks’ Policies and Actions are the Primary Cause of the Economic
and Financial Crises from which we suffer today.
Therefore,
Deepcaster has a Systemic Solution and a Strategy for profiting and
protecting from the Interventional Regime’s actions and policies, and coping
with its ‘End Game’ Strategy for which the following is Essential Background.
PART
III
The
Covert Interventional Context – Overview
Deepcaster
is periodically asked to explain, and provide evidence for, our view that a
U.S. Federal Reserve-led Cartel* (apparently composed of the U.S. Federal
Reserve, Major Central Bankers and key Primary Dealers—The Leaders of The
Deep State) manipulates a wide variety of markets.[Apparently one
“Operational Vehicle” through which The Cartel works is called “The
President’s Working Group on Financial Markets” established by Congress after
the 1987 crash, and which is often informally and widely referred to as “The
Plunge Protection Team” or PPT.]
Essential
to maximizing profits and to avoiding losses is to recognize that the
Fed-led Cartel (Note 1) manages two complementary Interventional
Regimes – one quite public, and the other dark one, at least as
powerful, covert.(A glimpse into this Covert Regime was afforded
via the Partial Audit mandated by the Dodd-Frank Bill.) Thus, a critical key
to profit and loss is tracking the “Dark Interventionals” (which often leave
“Tracks” so to speak) as best one can, as well as the public ones.
Moreover,
whether an Intervention is Overt or Covert is often a matter of degree.Overt
Intervention often has a Covert aspect (e.g. how was that TARP Bailout Money
used and who received it?), and Covert ones are often difficult to detect,
but nonetheless can often be tracked using publicly available information.
Consider for example, Paul Craig Roberts’ Exposés of Covert Interventions
above.
It is
important to note also that by “Cartel Intervention” we do not
(usually) mean that the Cartel totally controls prices in any particular
market, at all times. Various markets are affected in varying degrees, at
varying times, by Cartel manipulation attempts.
In
markets such as the (relatively) Small Cap markets for Gold and Silver
Bullion and especially Mining Stocks, Cartel manipulation attempts can have
much more impact and are, at times, and for certain time periods, tantamount
to control.
COVERT
DIRECT INTERVENTION
Covert
Direct Intervention to manipulate a variety of markets appears to be
accomplished primarily via four categories of vehicles:
1)“Repo” Injections
from The Fed (TOMO’s & POMO’s though POMO injections have become more
widely reported recently)
2)Over The Counter
(OTC) Derivatives (reported at www.bis.org, see above) as
well as “Dark” Derivatives
3)“Bailout” monies
and Authorizations which Congress unwisely gave the Fed without
requiring full disclosure or Oversight and, in particular, the TARP and TSLF
(Term Securities Lending Facility) injections by The Fed and other Vehicles
such as the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)
4)Debt Monetization
and Credit Facilitation by The Fed and other Banks such as the ECB and its $1
Trillion Dec. 2011, February 2012 LTRO Operation, or The Fed’s covertly
Purchasing U.S. Treasuries through Belgium in 2013-2014 (see above).
[For
details regarding Cartel use of Repos, Derivatives, Bailout Monies and other
Vehicles see the July, 2009 Letter at Deepcaster.com.]
The
Challenge:Determining the Impact of The Interventionals
The
challenge for Investors and Forecasters is to determine where (i.e. in what
Sector/s) and how (immediately, in increments, etc.) the Repo-backed funds
and/or TARP/TSLF/Bailout/QE/LTRO Funds and/or OTC Derivatives
(“Interventional Funds”) etc. will be employed.Deepcaster and those very few
others, who monitor the Interventional Funding (and related Cartel and
Allies’ actions) to the extent that is feasible, make educated
Forecasts as Deepcaster does, of where and how such funds are likely to be
used based on patterns, tendencies, and judgments virtually all of which can
be gleaned or inferred from publically reported information.But no outsider
can know for sure.
Those
who doubt whether the Cartel has the capacity to manipulate the
markets (and especially the larger markets like the multi-trillion dollar
currency and bond markets) are invited to inform themselves about the U.S. Trillions
plus of OTC Derivatives (see www.bis.org Path:
Statistics>Derivatives) at Fed Primary Dealer J.P. Morgan Chase, or those
at Fed Primary Dealer Goldman Sachs and Fed Primary Dealer Citibank.
Indeed both
Opportunities for and Threats to Investors are generated by Cartel Policies
and the Massive OTC Derivatives positions. Consider:
“With
Key Mega-Financial Institutions around the World claiming in 2008 that they
risked collapse if they were not bailed out, one must ask which ones
benefited from the $15 Trillion plus Increase in Gross Market
Value of their OTC Derivatives in the six months between June, 2008 and
December, 2008 when the Equities Markets were crashing and Investors around
the world were losing trillions? A logical Conclusion: Key Central Bankers
and Favored Financial Institutions of The Fed-led Cartel*, quite possibly
including the shareholders of the private for-profit U.S. Federal Reserve”
(cf. BIS Data cited above)”
For
further details see our July
2009 Letter, and 12/23/09 Article at Deepcaster.com,
Ibid.
INDIRECT
MANIPULATION
Key
Statistics continue to be gimmicked by Official Sources in Major
Countries including especially the USA and China much to the detriment of
American Citizens and Investors Worldwide. One result of this is that the
extent to which Mega-Bank Policies result in the Confiscation or Devaluation
of Investor Wealth, is hidden.
Investors
and citizens-at-large are misled by Official Statistics which have been
gimmicked in the USA, as shadowstats.com demonstrates.All of the following
Real Numbers for the USA are calculated by shadowstats.com, which calculates
them according to traditional methods used in the 1980s, and early 1990s,
before The Political Adjustments currently being utilized began in earnest.
As the
Real Numbers mentioned below demonstrate, the USA’s ongoing economic and
financial crisis is not merely a “normal” business cycle Recession,
but an ongoing System-Threatening Crisis.Indeed, we are on the Threshold of a
Hyperinflationary Depression. (See below)
Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real
Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)
Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported October
13, 2017
2.23% / 9.98%
U.S. Unemployment reported October
6, 2017
4.22% / 21.9%
U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported
September 28, 2017
2.21% / -1.82%
U.S. M3 reported October 5, 2017 (Month
of September, Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report / 4.30%(e) (i.e., total M3 Now at $18.321 Trillion!)
Knowing
the Real Numbers facilitated Deepcaster’s and others Investment
Recommendations and his making five short (and subsequently quite profitable)
recommendations to subscribers just before the 2008 Financial Crisis.
For
example, knowing that Real Inflation is 9.98% (as of October,
2017) is immensely important for investors aiming to Profit and Protect.
To
understand the motives and Goals for Fed and Cartel Policies and
actions consider:
A Brief
Anatomy of the “U.S.” Federal Reserve
Indeed,
the Profit Motive lies behind Fed Actions.Even the most causal student of
Economic History knows that the United States’ Federal Reserve system, or
“The Fed” as it is called, is not a U.S. government owned or
controlled entity.
Various
international private banks, several of which are headquartered in
Europe, own “shares” in the “United States” Fed. Moreover, this “United
States” Fed leads a Cartel of Central and Private Banks* who collectively
intervene in a wide variety of markets, as Deepcaster demonstrates here. All
this is obviously quite financially incestuous, and, to the extent The Fed
regulates these Banks, it is a clear Conflict of Interest.
These
International Bankers, acting through their “U.S.” Fed, profit both by
creating money out of “thin air” and by collecting “interest” from U.S.
Taxpayers on the Treasury Securities it has bought with U.S. Dollars (Federal
Reserve Notes) it has created out of thin air. The Dean of the Newsletter
Writers, Richard Russell, eloquently describes all this:
“I
still can’t get over the whole Federal Reserve racket…
“The
damnable result is that the Fed effectively controls the U.S. money supply.
The Fed is …not even a branch of the U.S. government. The Fed is not
mentioned in the Constitution of the United States. No Constitutional
amendment was ever created or voted on to accept the Fed. The
Constitutionality of the Federal Reserve has never come before the Supreme
Court. The Fed is a private bank that keeps the U.S. forever in debt - - or I
should say in increasing debt along with ever rising interest payments.”
Richard
Russell (RIP), “Richards Remarks,” dowtheoryletters.com, 3/27/2007
[Historical
note:recall that President John F. Kennedy was very unhappy with Fed
policy and therefore caused U.S. Notes to be printed by the U.S. Treasury as Constitutionally
Authorized and as a substitute for Federal Reserve Notes.The issuance
of these U.S. Notes in early 1963 ceased shortly after President Kennedy's
Assassination a few months later.]
The one conclusion
that one can make from the foregoing is that the failure to take account
of the power, force and pervasiveness of Fed-led Cartel Manipulations (i.e.
The Interventionals) is an invitation to financial and investment disaster
(see 12/23/09 Article, Ibid. See also Note 3 regarding Deepcaster’s attention to Key
Timing Signals and Interventionals and accurate statistics which has
facilitated Recommendations which have performed well in the last eight
months).
The
Interventional Regime – Motive, Causes and Consequences
Clearly,
The Cartel has created a Financial System subject to ever-greater Systemic
Risk.Why?
Harry
Schultz, the Eminent retired Guru of the Financial Newsletter writing
fraternity, puts the question in this way when writing about the 2008
Financial Crisis –
“What
is the reason for this seemingly random monetary mess that multiplies its
momentum every day?The answer, in one word, control.The elite/insiders
already have control of the financial system, but they wanted more, much
more…and it was not random, it was planned.” (emphasis added)
Harry
Schultz, HSLetter
And
as we indicated in our January 2017 Article, the evidence is The Globalist
Cartel is planning another Crisis to harm the Presidency of the
Nationalist/Internationalist President Trump. Indeed!
Since the
cornerstone of The Cartel’s power lies in maintaining the legitimacy of their
Fiat Currencies and Treasury Securities, the last thing they want is to have
Gold, Silver and Tangible Assets held by investors to increasingly be seen as
the Ultimate Stores and Measures of Value rather than their Fiat Currencies
and Treasury Securities, in other words, as money. Thus they will continue
attempts at Takedowns of Gold and Silver and other Hard Asset prices.
In sum,
in addition to Physical Gold and Silver (but in a certain form!! See
our Articles and Alerts) and quality Miners and certain Agricultural
Enterprises (People have to have food), Key Tangible Assets acquired at
the Right Time (see Deepcaster’s recent Recommendations) are the Keys to
Profit and Wealth Protection.
Also
essential for Profit and Protection are Short positions put on at the
right time (See Note 2).
Therefore,
Deepcaster provides an extensive list of Sectors in which one should “Buy the
Dips” or alternatively Short the Bounces, in his September and October 2017
and other recent Letters and Alerts on Deepcaster.com.
Best
regards,
Deepcaster
October
27, 2017
Note
1:
* We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert
Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored
Financial Institutions consider the substantial evidence collected by the
Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before
the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation, and
manipulation in other Markets. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention
has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable
recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by
attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals
facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to
the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated
profitably.
Note
2:
Recent Profits Taken: Our attention to Key Timing Signals and
Interventionals and accurate statistics has facilitated Recommendations which
have performed well lately. Consider our profits taken in the last six months
in our Speculative and Fortress Assets Portfolios*:
- 90%
Profit on P M Royalty Streaming Company on October 5, 2017 after just 52
months (i.e., about 20% Annualized)
- 33%
Profit on Independent Holding Company on August 30, 2017 after just 4
months (i.e., about 100% Annualized)
- 85%
Profit on P M ETF on August 1, 2017 after just 15 months (i.e., about
70% Annualized)
- 60%
Profit on Short $US Position on July 31, 2017 after just 30 days (i.e.,
about 730% Annualized)
- 90%
Profit on a Long Bond position on April 12, 2017 after just 42 days
(i.e., about 860% Annualized)
- 105%
Profit on P M ETF on February 21, 2017 after just 10 months (i.e., about
115% Annualized)
- 90%
Profit on Gold Shares ETF on January 20, 2017 after just 9 months (i.e.,
about 150% Annualized)
- 55%
Profit on P M Streaming Company on January 12, 2017 after just 16 days
(i.e., about 1255% Annualized)
Deepcaster’s
Profits Taken in the second half of 2015 included such successes as 80% in 6
days, 110% in 3 days, 265% in 57 days, as well as 65% in 2 days.
*Past
Profitable Performance is no assurance of future Profitable Performance.
Note
3: If
there were ever a period in which one Simple Investing and Trading Strategy
is likely to be Successful, it is late 2017-2018.
Yes,
Investors and Traders still need also to consider many Fundamental and
Technical variables and Potential Black Swans.
Nonetheless,
in late 2017-2018, one Simple Strategy (coupled with considering Variables
and Potential Black Swans) is likely to generate both Substantial Profit and
Wealth Protection.
To see
The Key Strategy and Consider how it could be used profitably, just consider
our Forecasts and Buy Recommendations in our recent Alerts and Letters
on Deepcaster.com.
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