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Stocks and Bonds Never Fall Together

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Published : July 09th, 2013
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Category : GoldWire

Read the Wednesday Afternoon Wrap-Up for 7/3/2013 and the Monday Morning Commentary for 7/8/2013

I have been a financial market professional for 24 years – starting with my first college internship at Paine Webber in Albany, New York.  Markets have risen and fallen during that period – sometimes by extreme amounts; and bull and bear markets have come and gone.  However, the MOST UNIVERSAL “rule” I have observed is that U.S. Treasury bonds ALWAYS rise during crises.  In other words, they have been fantastic “safe haven” investments.

Granted, the U.S. Treasury market has been in a bull market since 1980; and thus, Treasuries have risen in essentially all environments….

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

Moreover, given the Federal Reserve’s ZIRP policy since 2008…

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

…that will last until “at least mid-2015”…

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

…and QE injections “to infinity,” artificial demand has EXACERBATED this trend…

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

Irrespective, there is NO DOUBT investors have been brainwashed – via various means – into believing Treasuries ALWAYS rise during times of crisis; despite the LUNACYof parabolic debt growth…

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

..and insanity of holding ultra-low yielding bonds in an inflationary environment…

Here comes $4 gas

…particularly when the PRINTER-IN-CHIEF denies it…

DELUSIONS OF A FED CHAIRMAN

Last year, I put together a table demonstrating how – contrary to prevailing PROPAGANDA – gold has been a spectacular safe haven during financial crises; and even more impressive feat given the Cartel attacks it MORE viciously than usual amidst such events.  As for Treasury bonds, they have been equally strong when stocks fall; which is why the June 20th “post-tapering crash” was so ominous

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

They say “old habits die hard”; particularly so, when the fate of the ENTIRE WORLD is at stake.  Thus, the “final pillar” of Jim Sinclair’s “five pillars of the gold bull” has been the hardest to break; i.e., a “recognized top in the U.S. Treasury market.”

Given the ongoing, GLOBAL economic implosion, the forces pushing rates upward have NEVER been stronger; which is why “QE to Infinity” is the Central banks’ only alternative.  Of course, limitless MONEY PRINTING has failed EVERY single time it’s been tried; and this time will be no different…

24hGold - Stocks and Bonds Nev...

…and thus, at some point soon, the myth that “STOCKS AND BONDS NEVER FALL TOGETHER” will abruptly DIE.

 

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Andrew Hoffman was a buy-side and sell-side analyst in the United States (including six years as an II-ranked oilfield service analyst at Salomon Smith Barney), but since 2002 his focus has been entirely in the metals markets, principally gold and silver. He recently worked as a consultant to junior mining companies, head of Corporate Development, and VP of Investor Relations for different mining ventures, and is now the Director of Marketing for Miles Franklin, a U.S.-based bullion dealer.
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