For those who have been
speculating on how the government might bail out participants in the
collapsing US subprime mortgage market, an unlikely savior has stepped
forward: the Federal Home Loan Banks (FHLB).
Compared to their
limelight-hogging cousins — the Federal Reserve, Freddie Mac, and
Fannie Mae — the FHL Banks don't get much press. But from March to
September, the amount of loans these banks have made to their 8,125 members
has risen some $200 billion to stand at $822 billion, a whopping 32% jump in
just six months.[1]
This large increase in
government-sponsored lending to financially troubled banks is unfortunate. It
threatens to spread the consequences of poor choices made by lenders,
regulators, and borrowers to all taxpayers, including those who made every
effort to avoid the whole mess to begin with.
The Function and History of the
FHL Banks
The FHL Banks were established
in the midst of the Great Depression to provide a stable source of funding
for member thrifts, otherwise known as savings & loan associations. Much
like the Federal Reserve Act that established the Fed, the Federal Home
Loan Bank Act chartered twelve regional institutions through which
funds would flow to member banks. Whereas the Fed regulated and lent to
commercial banks, the FHL Banks dealt with institutions that focused on
mortgage origination, or thrifts. To this day the public mission of the FHLB
is the provision of
cost-effective funding to
members for use in housing, community, and economic development; to provide
regional affordable housing programs, which create housing opportunities for
low- and moderate-income families; to support housing finance through
advances and mortgage programs; and to serve as a reliable source of
liquidity for its membership.
The FHLB is a welfare-state
institution to the bone.
The FHL Banks raise money by
issuing bonds and notes in domestic and international markets. Investors
assume that FHLBank debt has a federal government guaranty, even though none
is mentioned explicitly in the Federal Home Loan Bank Act. Bond rating
agencies Moody's and Standard & Poor's bless FHLB with their very best
Aaa/AAA ratings. These factors enable the institution to raise debt at rates
only a fraction above government treasury bonds, and below the rates at which
the average thrift can raise money.
Flush with cash, the FHL Banks
advance this money to members. This money is granted on demand, as long as
members maintain an acceptable level of financial health and deposit
collateral (usually mortgages) to back the loans. The FHLB member list
currently includes such luminaries as Citibank, Wachovia, Washington Mutual,
and Countrywide. For members, this cheap funding is a godsend. Thrifts have
historically depended on deposits from savers for funds, lending this money
out as mortgages. Savers are fickle, turning to whichever institution offers
the best rates and security. They require good service and a voice at the end
of the phone. And they have been known to leave thrifts en masse, with an
old-fashioned bank run as the result.
Thrifts also depend on medium-
to long-term bonds and debentures for funding, or even issues of stock. More
recently they have turned to short-term financing like commercial paper, a
form of debt that remains outstanding for no more than a few months. The
paper is typically rolled over when it expires, allowing the thrift to
continue lending. Like fickle savers, debt investors pay close attention to
interest rates and the financial health of the issuer. Stockholders watch
earnings statements closely. FHL Banks, on the other hand, provide member
thrifts with a steady and hassle-free flow of credit at subsidized rates.
The FHL Banks have a spotty
past, due in part to the Savings & Loans crisis of the 1980s. The
administrations of Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan enacted regulatory changes
to the thrift industry that gave thrift officials the freedom to lend to a
wider range of borrowers. Federal loan insurance to the tune of $100,000 for
each thrift depositor was left untouched. This insurance was provided by the
Federal Savings and Loans Insurance Corporation (FSLIC), and FSLIC was
managed by the FHLB Board.
As Murray Rothbard
writes in Making Economic Sense, the liberalization of lending
rules coupled with a guarantee on deposits encouraged the thrifts to embark
on a campaign of risky lending. With the first $100,000 of a depositor's
balance guaranteed by FSLIC, the thrifts enthusiastically lent to whatever questionable
projects they saw worthy. Whether it returned 300% or went bust, either way
the thrift stood to lose nothing. Many of the thrifts owners started going
bankrupt when the loans they had made failed. FSLIC was required to pay all
the thrifts' insured depositors back. Because the value of the failed assets
on which it foreclosed were worth far less than deposits, FSLIC itself became
insolvent to the tune of some $87 billion.[2] Only multiple billion-dollar
top-ups with taxpayer money allowed it to pay off all depositors.
When FSLIC was finally wound up,
the responsibility for insuring thrift deposits was moved from the FHLB Board
and assumed by the Federal Deposit Insurance
Corporation (FDIC). Historically, FDIC had been responsible for
insuring bank deposits; now it insures both banks and thrifts. More on FDIC
later.
As for the FHL Banks, they have
also undergone a facelift. No longer limiting their membership to just
thrifts, in 1989 commercial banks and credit unions were given carte blanche
to join the FHLB system and accept advances for mortgages. From then to now,
the number of members has risen from 3,217 to 8,125. Some 5,870 of these are
banks; only 1,245 are thrifts. Even more astonishing is that FHLB advances to
members have risen from only $79 billion in 1991 to $822 billion last month.[3]
And now…
In August, lending markets
collapsed. Many mortgage originators had been using unsecured commercial
paper to fund a portion of their mortgages. The mortgages were then packaged
and sold as mortgage-backed securities (MBS), the commercial paper paid off
with the proceeds. This summer, falling housing prices shook the market's
confidence in MBS, and investors in commercial paper suddenly refused to
lend, worried that mortgage originators would be unable to pay them back. Estimates say that as much as $100 billion in unsecured
commercial paper has disappeared from the market since August. Mortgage
originators hooked on commercial paper as well as other forms of medium- and
long-term financing had to look elsewhere for a portion of their funding. With
plummeting stock prices, funding via the stock market was out of the
question.
This is when the good old
neighborhood FHLBank stepped in. Countrywide Financial, the nation's largest
and most notorious thrift, had some $7 billion of unsecured commercial paper
outstanding on December 31, 2006. According to its recent third quarter report, Countrywide's short-term
lenders have fled, leaving the firm with little over $1 billion in commercial
paper outstanding.
Countrywide's borrowings from
the FHL Banks have almost doubled though, rising from $28 billion to $51
billion. The FHLB now accounts for 26% of Countrywide's funding, up from 15%
in December and 2% in 2002, when the firm first started to tap the FHLB.[4] At rates of 5%, this
new lending is far cheaper than what the firm would have been forced to pay
were it to continue its dependence on commercial paper markets, depositors,
bond markets, or the stock market. According to Reuters, Countrywide would have had to pay anywhere between
6–12% to roll over its commercial paper in August.
It is not just Countrywide that
has turned to the FHL Banks. Many of the banks and thrifts have. Washington
Mutual's borrowing jumped from $16 billion last quarter to $43.7 billion this
quarter while World Savings Bank (a subsidiary of financial giant Wachovia)
has borrowed $68 billion, up from $28.5 billion only a few months ago. Both
are large mortgage originators. Year-to-date increases in FHLB advances to
members have increased by the greatest amount ever. On a percentage basis
this sort of growth has not been seen since the 1990s.
FHL Banks Influence and Distort
Markets
When government entities such as
the FHL Banks lend at interest rates below the market rate, they create
distortions in the economy. Resources are allocated away from other sectors
of the economy towards housing. Whole subdivisions are built that would not
have been built at market rates. When conditions return to normal as is
happening right now, many of these ventures are exposed as malinvestments,
the capital tied up in them moving to more appropriate sectors of the
economy. A continued setting of rates below the market rate by the FHL Banks
only delays this eventual realization.
The FHLB system is hardly fair. Those
with privileges — the member banks — get to borrow at rates below
what the market would pay. Customers of these member banks are also
privileged in that they can take out low-rate mortgages. This privilege is
not free, though; it comes at the expense of all other taxpayers. Should the
system experience some sort of setback, the implicit federal-government
guarantee suggests that taxpayers will foot the bill — a select few
bureaucrats, lenders, and house buyers benefiting at their expense.
When the FHL Banks make advances
to members like Countrywide, in return they require sufficient collateral to
back these loans. This collateral usually takes the form of mortgages and
mortgage-backed securities. Should Countrywide go broke, the FHL Banks would
take possession of Countrywide's pledged collateral, saddling their own books
with a bunch of mortgage loans. If the FHL Banks were to sell these assets
and not recoup their capital, as senior secured creditor they would have
first lien on Countrywide's remaining assets.[5] The FHLBank's
government-granted "super lien" comes at the expense of others with
a call on Countrywide's assets, including holders of unsecured commercial
paper, bonds, stocks, and insured depositors.
Insured depositors are the wards
of FDIC. Before August, FDIC would have had significant priority on the
assets of a failed bank, selling off that bank's assets to pay insured
depositors. Unsecured commercial paper holders, bond investors, stockholders,
and other creditors could only take what was left. The exodus of debt investors
from the funding of mortgage originators like Countrywide and their
replacement by FHL Banks at the head of the queue fundamentally changes this
order. FDIC now only gets its pickings after the FHL Banks and the additional
$200 billion in financing they have provided. This makes it more likely that,
in the case of multiple bank failures, FDIC will not get a large enough slice
of the pie to pay off insured depositors.[6]
Protected by their "super
lien", the FHL Banks do not put themselves at risk by stepping in and
lending to iffy members. They put FDIC at risk. And as we know from FSLIC's
demise in the 1980s, any failure of FDIC would probably be funded by
taxpayers to the tune of billions.
If things got bad, FDIC's $50
billion in reserves would allow it to pay off many of its depositors. But how
many, and for how long? Considering that FDIC insures some $4 trillion in
deposits, its $50 billion in reserves (about 1.2% of the total) is only a
drop in the bucket.
At the end of the day
Many will say that the FHL Banks
are simply fulfilling their mandate of providing liquidity when members call
for it. According to this theory, the mass desertion of investors from
commercial paper and other forms of debt can only be an example of market
error, something that government agencies like the FHL Banks must fix with
low rates and easy credit.
On the other hand, maybe the
thousands of informed investors who fled debt markets did so not
irrationally, but because they realized the party was over and that, if
bankruptcies hit the fan, they would be the ones left holding the bag.
Likewise, government agencies
may not be the shrewd market-saving operators they are made out to be. If the
party finally ends, they will be the ones holding the bag. But why should they care? They
have the taxpayer.
John Paul Koning is a freelance
writer based in Toronto, Canada. See his archive. Send him mail. Comment on the blog.
Notes
[1] See also "Pinched By Credit Crunch, Banks Turn to Depression-Era
Relic."
[2] From this 1991 article in the American Institute of CPAs.
[3] Figures and information from
Chapter 1 of the paper "The Causes and Effects of Commercial Bank Participation in
the Federal Home Loan Bank System" , an excellent primer on the
FHL Banks, and FHLB Quarterly and Annual Reports.
[4] Informal polls of bank
supervisors at the Federal Reserve and FDIC indicate that anything over 15%
shows an unsafe and unsound dependence on advances. For source, see note 5.
[5] See the paper, "Should the FDIC Worry about the FHLB? The Impact of Federal
Home Loan Bank Advances on the Bank Insurance Fund", by Yeager, Vaughan,
and Bennett for a full explanation.
[6] For a further example of this
effect, see the pamphlet "How the FLHB Could Cost the FDIC" by the St Louis Fed.
John Paul Koning
John Paul Koning is a financial
writer and graphic designer who runs Financial Graph
& Art. His Recent History of Gold, 1954-2009 Wallchart
is available here.
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