The QE Black Hole

IMG Auteur
Published : December 13th, 2013
577 words - Reading time : 1 - 2 minutes
( 1 vote, 4/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
Category : Opinions and Analysis
24hGold - The QE Black Hole

As we approach the Fed’s vaunted “taper decision” Wednesday – which as we have noted, is utterly meaningless in the context of a fiat Ponzi scheme that must expand to survive – we thought it would be useful to demonstrate just how universal the need for unfettered money printing is.

Remember, now that the “final currency war” is upon us, not only is money printing required to prop up zombie economies – at incalculable long-term damage, of course – but fund the retirement of rapidly aging populations.  Nowhere is this more evident than Japan – whose “demographic hell” is well-known, given it has the world’s oldest population, and lowest birth rate.  And thus, with the Bank of Japan committed to doubling its money supply by the middle of 2015 – and using the “proceeds” to purchase JGBs (Japanese government bonds) and equities – the “QE black hole” has being noticeably exposed.

With the Nikkei hitting multi-year highs as the Yen plumbs multi-year lows – amidst record-low approval ratings for its hyperinflationary Prime Minister, Shinzo Abe, Japan’s largest pension fund is on the verge of selling a huge chunk of its JGB holdings.  With $1.2 trillion in assets, the Japan Pension Panel actually said it should “take advantage of BOJ bond purchases” to unload nearly zero-yielding bonds to fund retiree withdrawals.  With inflation hitting new highs in what was already the world’s most expensive country, citizens desperately need income to fund retirement spending; and since the BOJ has “graciously” announced its intention to monetize what’s left of the JGB market, pensioners are happy to oblige it with potentially limitless sales.  And hence, per what we discussed in last week’s “sucker of last resort,” the BOJ couldn’t “taper” its QE scheme if it wanted to.

And if you think Japan is in dire straits, than take a gander at the chart below – depicting how China is currently printing 25% more money than the U.S. and Japan combined.

24hGold - The QE Black Hole

Yes, gold reserves or not, China’s Yuan is still just a fiat currency – with a partial peg to the hyper-inflating dollar.  And thus, as long as the Fed continues to expand dollar supply – ultimately, “to infinity” – the PBOC must inflate the Yuan in parallel.  That is, until it decides to end the current, catastrophic monetary system by decoupling the Yuan from the dollar, and backing it with soon-to-be-announced, massive gold holdings.  Until then, China is clearly on much thinner ice than perma-China bulls have thought; as aside from having the most indebted corporate sector on Earth – FYI, matched only by British banks – it is clearly experiencing much weaker economic growth than most believe; and oh yeah, the world’s largest real estate bubble.

And thus, for those that believe QE – on a worldwide basis – has even a chance of ending, think again.  Whether the Fed announces a pathetic, token “taper” on Wednesday is immaterial; as if it did, it would simply be a political ploy that will ultimately backfire – and subsequently, be reversed – for reasons we have discussed ad nauseum.  In the big picture, the Ponzi-esque nature of fiat currency forces QE into existence; ultimately, creating a “black hole” that can never be escaped.  Which, of course, is why it’s so fortunate that not only are physical gold and silver still available for widespread purchase (except in India, Vietnam, and a growing group of financially repressed nations); let alone, at historically low prices.

Data and Statistics for these countries : China | India | Japan | Vietnam | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : China | India | Japan | Vietnam | All
<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :4 (1 vote)
>> Next article
Andrew Hoffman was a buy-side and sell-side analyst in the United States (including six years as an II-ranked oilfield service analyst at Salomon Smith Barney), but since 2002 his focus has been entirely in the metals markets, principally gold and silver. He recently worked as a consultant to junior mining companies, head of Corporate Development, and VP of Investor Relations for different mining ventures, and is now the Director of Marketing for Miles Franklin, a U.S.-based bullion dealer.
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS
Take advantage of rising gold stocks
  • Subscribe to our weekly mining market briefing.
  • Receive our research reports on junior mining companies
    with the strongest potential
  • Free service, your email is safe
  • Limited offer, register now !
Go to website.