Torchlight
Energy Resources Inc. (TRCH:NASDAQ) is out with an update that comes roughly 30 days after the company updated venture investors that it had decided to move on
from the successful drilling and data capture of its Rich A-11 well, up to
that point its primary valuation-driving well in the all-important Orogrande
project. This new update is more comprehensive; Torchlight Energy updated
investors as to progress being made regarding its Marcelina Creek and
Orogrande projects, as well as provided a merger-and-acquisition update
regarding its Hunton assets, which are currently being marketed.
Regarding the Marcelina Creek Project:
Progress is being made on all fronts in the Marcelina, with Torchlight
updating the Johnson #1, #2 and #4 wells. It's important to keep in context
Torchlight's overall lack of maturity and overall lack of scale when
reviewing the following updates. Put simply, Torchlight is able to continue
to drive production-even into this commodity environment-in that it
substantially has no production; well, not really.
In that Torchlight is so immature and still very much in its
"pre-leveraged/pre-negative capital productivity phase" (basically
it doesn't yet have to balance out capex to debt capacity-a problem plaguing
so many of its much more mature peers-because it's so young and has such a
clean balance sheet), Torchlight is entirely focused on driving production
volumes for the future. Torchlight, and more importantly at this point
its farm-in partner, aren't focused on the commodity environment currently but
the commodity environment of, say, 24 months from now. That's when
Torchlight should have enough production development to be considered greater
than "de minimus." At that point, when it has created something of
scale (regarding oil production volumes), is when underlying economics will
matter and will largely drive rate of growth decisions. Still, 1) we're a
long ways away from 24 months from now, and 2) we believe that there is
general consensus that oil prices will be meaningfully higher at that point
in time.
Again, it's important to keep the maturation dynamic at Torchlight in
context:
"The Johnson #1 continues to produce 40 to 50 barrels per day (40 to
50 bbl/d) and provide sustained production for the company."
"Torchlight also re-entered its Johnson #2 well and performed a seven
stage acid procedure on the Buda formation, which had not been previously
stimulated. Initial fluid entry is positive and the company is currently
having a down hole pump installed to maximize production capability."
"The Johnson #4 well produced a total of 2,920 barrels for the month
of February 2016, compared to 169 barrels for the month of February 2015,
representing a 1,400% increase YOY. This production does not represent a full
month of production and it also represents a reduction from potential
recovery due to a 'best practice' of choking the well back to maintain
pressures, as the well continues to clean up. Over the next ~30 days, Torchlight
expects to optimize daily production thus maximizing sales and providing for
increased well life."
Marcelina Creek Project Map
Regarding the Orogrande Project:
Progress continues as scheduled for the Orogrande project-again,
regardless of underlying commodity prices. Torchlight Energy CEO John Brda
was quick to note in the press release that the Orogrande project
development, via a farm-in agreement with Founders Oil & Gas LLC (a D.R. Horton subsidiary), is fully funded for
development over the next 24 months. Torchlight will continue to receive
award payments in $500,000 increments per milestone achieved (via drilling
initiations). The big takeaway here is Torchlight reiterating that this is
the future of the company and that things are going as planned at least to
this point:
"Preparatory work is currently underway for the next Orogrande
project well, the Founders B19 #1. As previously announced and in line with
timing expectations, the company anticipates drilling to commence within the
next 60 days."
Regarding the currently marketed Hunton Assets:
While these assets have been openly marketed for quite some time now, it
does appear that Torchlight is finally seeing interest in the assets. There's
not much explanation needed here outside of reading the notes from the press
release:
"With recent improvement to commodity prices and resulting
acquisition activity, Torchlight has received an increase of inquiries and
interest for the purchase of its Hunton assets. The company is in final
negotiations with prospective buyers and anticipates a purchase and sale
agreement to be finalized during the calendar Second or Third Quarter 2016.
In addition to providing cash for Torchlight, at closing the company will
retain assets in four additional AMIs to market for future sale."
Torchlight's Hunton Asset
All told we found the update meaningful in several ways:
- Torchlight updated each significant moving piece to its
model.
- Torchlight is now keeping venture investors updated
seemingly every 30 days or so and, more importantly, updated with
meaningful information-that matters to us and provides another
checkpoint of validation for management and for the story.
- Torchlight reiterated that it has an acute focus on
production and commodity pricing several years down the road; in that
Torchlight is currently funding itself via a partner-driven farm-in
agreement we take this to mean that its partner is on board with this
strategy.
- Torchlight's wells are seeing excellent and, equally
important, on schedule development.
- Torchlight made brief note that it should soon be able
to cover its overhead from operations and asset sales (assuming the
Hunton divestiture goes as planned with a calendar Q2/Q3 sale being
consummated); currently it is covering overhead via a blend of
operations and its farm-in partnership.
Dallas Salazar is the chief analyst at
CapGainr.com and currently owns and operates as CEO an Austin-based
enterprise consulting firm that specializes in private company lifecycle
management, up to and including taking companies public, and in helping
consult publicly traded companies ranging in market cap from $100 million to
$500 million.