Two Scenarios in Gold -- One Very Bullish, the Other Moderately Bearish

We’ve been using an 1194.40 correction target for a while, but today’s chart, a continuous daily, shows a bigger picture that is intended to ward off despair. First the bad news.  The red abc pattern projects to as low as 1100.60, a $116 drop from these levels. That is my worst-case scenario for the next 8-10 weeks, and the odds of this target being reached would shorten if the futures were to close below 1195 for three consecutive days.  The good news is that there is a much larger, bullish pattern that has so far prevented selloffs in 2017 from turning seriously ugly. The pattern projects to as high as 1452.60, but July Gold would need to rally decisively above 1288.30, a midpoint Hidden Pivot, to become an odds-on bet for a shot at that target. If you don’t subscribe, click here for a free two-week trial that will allow you to enter the Rick’s Picks chat room, where great traders from around the world gather 24/7