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Update on Rare Earths

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Published : October 20th, 2011
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FOLLOW : Rare Earth Wind

 

 

 

 

Back In 2000 the United States granted Beijing Most-Favored-Nation status and let the communist regime join the World Trade Origination (WTO). Sadly this move was obviously not well thought out and has caused our present problem of securing our ever growing need for the most coveted 17 rare earth elements. According to the US Government Accountability Office (GAO), not only did we abandon our capacity to produce these critical elements but restarting mines and production plants could take up to 15 years.


As reported by Robert Maginnis, a new Pentagon report to congress admits our military is critically dependent on Chinese produced for high end weaponry. This dependency was a self inflicted wound that demonstrated how naïve we were regarding Red China. They are a regime that is ready t leverage any advantage.


As has been documented by many of my colleagues, China produces 97% of all rare earth elements (REE). 17 of these elements have unique magnetic properties critical for high tech military equipment such as advanced fighters, lasers, precision guided missiles and 21st century consumer technology found in iPhones, iPads, wind turbines and MRI and CAT machines.


We knew more than a decade ago the Chinese intended to monopolize the REE market and then use that position for its advantage. Beijing is playing this out as scripted as it cut back on exports and has shown an inclination to use those exports to leverage disagreements.


Prior to 1990, the US was the global leader in the production of REE’s. That changed because the Chinese would do it for $0.10 a day and no bathroom breaks. Meanwhile, China created a monopoly with a combination of cheap labor, nonexistent environmental standards and state subsidized loans.


China’s state owned banks granted subsidized loans to promote social stability through full employment. Those loans created such a massive mining sector that most of the mining sector never recovered their operating costs and predictably global prices plunged. The plunging REE prices helped fuel the technological revolution but the West became hooked on cheap Chinese REE’s as uses expanded from cathode ray tubes to components for wind turbines, hybrid cars, laptop computers, cellular phones and at least 36 sophisticated weapons platforms.


Now China is consolidating the REE sector and Beijing’s monopoly is working, but the monopoly can be temporary if nations like the US act quickly. As I have written rare earths are not all that rare but they are expensive to mine and extract. The risk adverse mining sector are not likely to act without government assistance.


So what should America do to reduce its almost total dependence on Chinese REE’s?


The Pentagon has stated that we need to start stockpiling certain elements like dysprosium, yttrium, praseodymium and neodymium for the most critical weapons manufacturing. They further call for granting higher priority to weapons manufacturing over commercial production. That seems prudent until non Chinese REE sources are readily available. Finally out of the six domestic REE companies assessed only one has the facilities and experience to reduce all 17 elements. That company is Molycorp which operates the Mountain Pass facility and indicates its intention to restart operations in 2012. The bad news is that Molycorp lacks the manufacturing assets and facilities to process these rare earths into finished components such as permanent magnets. There have been reports that Molycorp will be cooperating with the US Department of Energy Ames Laboratory in an effort to focus on creating commercial grade REE magnets which are critical for miniaturization. Add to this that Molycorp does not have substantial amounts of heavy rare earths such as dysprosium, which is used for heat resistant permanent magnets used in defense systems.


China is an economic piranha, not a free market. We need to rebuild our REE supply system and stop being economically bullied by China. We need to start protecting our defense and private industries from Beijing’s abusive trade policies.


 

 

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George Maniere has an MBA in Finance and 38+ years of market experience, and has learned by experience that hubris equals failure and that the market can remain illogical longer than you can remain solvent. Please post all comments and questions, and feel free to email him at maniereg@gmail.com. He will respond.
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