Following on from last month in which BullionStar’s Koos Jansen broke the
news that Venezuela had sent almost 36 tonnes of its gold reserves to
Switzerland at the beginning of the year, “Venezuela
Exported 36t Of Its Official Gold Reserves To Switzerland In January“,
there have now been further interesting developments in this ongoing saga.
It has now come to light that on Tuesday 8 March, the Banco Central
de Venezuela (BCV) sent another 12.5 tonnes of gold by air freight to
Switzerland (via Paris), and fascinatingly in this instance, the exact
details of the transfer are already available, including the cargo manifest,
courtesy of Venezuelan newspaper El Cooperante which broke the news on 11
March.
As per the January gold exports to Switzerland, which most likely were
part of a gold swap to generate much-needed financing for the crisis-ridden
Venezuelan economy, this latest shipment appears likewise.
Air France flight AF 385 and Brinks Switzerland
The BCV’s 12.5 tonne gold shipment was flown out of Caracas International
Airport (Maiquetia Simon Bolivar) on Air France flight AF 385 to Paris,
leaving at 5:49pm local time on Tuesday 8 March, and arriving into Paris
Charles de Gaulle Airport at 7:54am on Wednesday 9 March.
The sender of the shipment was Banco Central de Venezuela, and the
consignee (initial receiver) was Brinks Switzerland. Given that Brinks
Switzerland was listed as the consignee for a flight arriving into Paris
Charles de Gaulle at 8am, then there would have been a second flight from
Paris to presumably Zurich in Switzerland which is the main destination
airport for gold arriving into Switzerland. As giant Swiss refiner Valcambi
says under Transportation Services, it provides “Import
services and transportation from Zürich airport to Valcambi“.
The 3 immediate direct flights from Paris Charles de Gaulle to Zurich
after 8:00am are Swiss Air flight LX 655 at 09:55, Air France flight AF 1614
at 12:55, and Swiss Air flight LX 639 at 15:05. Brinks has its operations
centre headquarters
in Zurich at Zurich Airport (and also a Geneva office at Geneva Airport).
The Cargo Manifest
The Cargo Manifest from Maiquetia Airport (Caracas International Airport)
shows that the BCV’s gold shipment was described as ‘GOLDS BARS’, with
tracking number 057-91145645, and comprised 12,561 kilos, packed in 318
packets, which are listed somewhat surprisingly as being ‘caja de carton’
(which translates as cardboard box). Super-strong cardboard presumably.
If each bar weighed approximately 400 ozs, there would have been about
1,009 or 1,010 bars in the shipment. With 318 packets, and with 12,561 kgs =
403,845.53 troy ounces = 12.56 tonnes, then on average there were 39.5 kgs
per packet (12561 / 318 = 39.5), which is a little but more than 3 bars per
packet. But since gold bars can’t obviously be divided, then these gold bars
may have been slightly larger US Assay Office bars weighing more than 400
ozs. Remember that the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Good Delivery
specification for gold bars ranges from 350 oz up to 430 oz. Alternatively,
most of the packets could have contained 3 bars each and the remaining
packets 4 bars each.
Air France has a web-based cargo tracking number website but
unfortunately, it does not return any information on tracking number
057-91145645. See screenshot:
However, the Air France website doesn’t return any data on other known
gold shipments of Venezuelan gold, for example Air France tracking number
057-53208470 from late 2011, which was actually displayed on Venezuelan TV
(see below bar code). Therefore, tracking information on gold shipments
may not be publicly available for security reasons.
Swiss Refineries
It’s important to consider the extent to which this latest BCV gold
shipment may be scraping the barrel in terms of the BCV’s remaining
unencumbered gold reserves. My theory at this stage is that the gold
bars being sent to Switzerland are being sent to Swiss refineries to be
refined into modern Good Delivery bars, and not to be refined into 1 kilo
gold bars for the Asian market. This would be the case if all of the 160
tonnes of gold (in modern good delivery form) that had been repatriated
during late 2011 / early 2012, was already in play (i.e. encumbered, under lien
or claim or pledge).
This is assuming that the gold in transit are the gold legs of USD – gold
swaps, whereby the gold is then held (and used) by a commercial bank
counterpart or via some gold swap arrangement between the BCV and a
commercial bank facilitated by the Bank for Settlements (BIS) in Basel.
Furthermore, the legal wording of gold swaps would normally stipulate that
gold held as part of a gold swap would need to be deposited into the gold
vault of an institution such as the Bank of England, FRBNY, or the BIS’
storage facility at the Swiss National Bank etc.
Consider some facts about the BCV’s gold reserves and the gold swap
activity and rumoured gold swap activity by the BCV in the recent past, using
a reverse timeline:
- The BCV exported 12.56 tonnes of gold to Switzerland on
8 March 2016
- Venezuela (assumed to be the BCV) exported 35.8 tonnes
(specifically 35.835 tonnes) of gold to Switzerland in January 2016
(from Swiss Customs Data)
- Venezuela exported 24 tonnes of gold to Switzerland in
2015, nearly 35 tonnes in 2014, and approximately 8 tonnes in 2013,
after exporting far smaller amounts in any of the 7 prior years (about
0-4 tonnes per annum over 2006 -2012). See chart from Nick Laird’s www.sharelynx.com below.
- The BCV had carried out gold
swaps with the Bank for International Settlements ‘in recent
years’, with up to 7 swap transactions (Reuters February 2016).
These swaps would have to have used gold held outside of Venezuela, i.e.
either at the Bank of England or using gold that was exported from
Venezuela to Switzerland in 2013-2015
- The BCV shipped an unspecified quantity of gold out of
Caracas airport to an international destination on 2nd, 3rd and 7th July
2015 (re-exported for pledging)
- BCV’s gold reserves fell by 60 tonnes over the period
March – April 2015
(For the above 2 points see “Venezuela
says Adiós to her gold reserves“)
- The BCV entered into a 4 year gold swap with Citibank
(announced in April 2015). This Citibank swap most likely used the 50
tonnes of Venezuelan gold that had been left at the Bank of England in
2011.
- Venezuelan opposition leader, Maria Corina Machado, had
information in March 2015 that suggested the BCV was engaging in an even
larger gold swap that the Citi bank swap: “¿Es cierto que estarían
negociando una segunda operacion de empeño similar a la anterior por un
monto aun mayor?“
(For the above points, see “Venezuela’s
Gold Reserves – Part 2: From Repatriation to Reactivation“)
- 12,819 good delivery bars (160 tonnes) were repatriated
to Venezuela in late 2011 / early 2012
- About 4,089 bars (about 51 tonnes) of Venezuela’s gold
was left in London after the 2011/ 2012 repatriation
- There were 12,357 bars (about 154.5 tonnes of gold) held
in the BCV vaults in Caracas before the gold repatriation started in
late 2011. These bars that were originally in Caracas are mainly if not
exclusively US Assay office bars since they were repatriated from the
FRB in New York in the late 1980s
- There were 25,176 bars (about 315 tonnes) in the
BCV vaults when the repatriation to Caracas completed (in early 2012)
(For the above bar number quotes, see “Venezuela’s
Gold Reserves – Part 1: El Oro, El BCV, y Los Bancos de Lingotes“).
Conclusion
Approximately 50 tonnes of BCV gold has been exported from Venezuela to
Switzerland within the first 10 weeks of 2016. How much longer can this
outflow continue? This gold is being exported by the BCV in order to
participate in swaps (or maybe even outright sales) in order to provide
external financing to the Venezuelan Government. The fact that the gold is
being picked up by Brinks Switzerland suggests it is being brought to a Swiss
gold refinery. The main reason gold is sent to Switzerland is so that it can
be refined or recast.
At least 3 entities have been associated with this external financing so
far, namely Citibank, Deutsche Bank and the Bank for International
Settlements. Bullion banks and the BIS hold gold in long-term holdings in the
form of Good Delivery Bars, and enter into gold transactions using Good
Delivery bars, not kilobars. With 50 tonnes of Venezuela’s gold left behind
at the Bank of England in 2011, there were only another 160 tonnes of gold
bars at the BCV vaults that were not old US Assay Office bars. The gold now
going from the BCV to Switzerland is, in my view, old US Assay Office bars.
This would suggest that more than 200 tonnes of Venezuela’s gold is already
in play, as well as the 50 tonnes from Q1 2016.
With the BCV being totally opaque about the real state of its gold
holdings, and with the IMF / World
Gold Council still reporting the fantasy that the BCV / Venezuela
holds 361 tonnes of gold in its official reserves, some speculation is
in my view acceptable, and the above information should go someway towards
illuminating a truer state of Venezuela’s gold holdings, but what that true
state of play is, only the BCV, Venezuelan Government and associated insider
bullion banks and central banks know.
Note, that it’s also possible that Venezuela exported gold to Switzerland
(or elsewhere) in February 2016. Swiss customs data, which shows
(non-monetary) gold imports and exports, including de-monetised gold, is
available each month but with a lag of 3 weeks. Therefore the February 2016 data
is available on Tuesday 22 March, on the Swiss Customs website.
Ronan Manly
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