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IGolder reports
about three problems with Perth Mint gold certificates.
(emphasis mine)
The
Perth
Mint is Australia's oldest operating mint. The Perth Mint
is owned by Gold Corporation which is wholly-owned by the State Government of
Western Australia.
Perth
Mint Certificate Program (PMCP)
The
PMCP offers offshore storage of precious metals (gold and silver) at The
Perth Mint’s vaults in Western Australia. The Perth Mint has operated
continuously from the same location for well over a century. The PMCP is the
only government-guaranteed, precious metals program in the world. This unique
precious metals storage program is fully owned and backed by the government
of Western Australia and insured by Lloyds of London.
*** Your vaulting relationship with The Perth Mint is private, protected
under the Gold Corporation Act 1987 and the Perth Mint Certificate Program's
administrative procedures.
*** This is the world's only Government guaranteed precious metal
accumulation program.
*** The Mint is operated by Gold Corporation that is wholly owned by the
Government of Western Australia.
Perth
Mint Problem #1: PMCP is Paper Gold
Evidence
shows that the Perth Mint is selling paper gold. After all, a
certificate, by nature, is nothing more than a promise to the bearer. Owning
a gold certificate is someone's promise to pay gold to you. According
to James Turk, doing business
with Perth Mint means you are a general creditor of Gold Corporation. For
instance, in 2002, its financial statement showed that the Mint had
approximately 4.5 times more debt than equity
($96.2 million of gold on hand against $234 million of liabilities). In 2006,
the leverage ratio had increased above 18. For details feel free to read Is the Perth Mint telling me the whole
truth?
Year
|
Perth Mint
Leverage Ratio
|
Gold Available
for Redemption
|
Paper Gold
|
2000
|
3.65
|
27.4%
|
72.6%
|
2001
|
4.83
|
20.7%
|
79.3%
|
2002
|
4.61
|
21.7%
|
78.3%
|
2003
|
8.85
|
11.3%
|
88.7%
|
2004
|
10.36
|
9.7%
|
90.3%
|
2005
|
11.38
|
8.8%
|
91.2%
|
2006
|
18.18
|
5.5%
|
94.5%
|
There are numerous warnings from others, such as Jim
Sinclair and Jason
Hommel, regarding the Perth Mint selling paper promises.
Perth
Mint Problem #2: Gold Confiscation
All
countries have a confiscation risk on the basis that we are dealing with
politicians. In our view, Australia has a relatively high risk of gold confiscation
theft because Australian law already has a mechanism in place to require
delivery of gold to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). If
you read Part IV of the Banking Act 1959 (the
compilation was prepared on 7 July 2008, taking into account amendments up to
Act No. 73 of 2008), you will notice the Governor-General may confiscate gold
"for the protection of the currency or of the public credit of the
Commonwealth". Section 41(1) says "A person shall not, except with
the consent in writing of the Reserve Bank, take or send any gold out of
Australia". Section 42(1) says "a person who has any gold in the person’s
possession or under the person’s control shall deliver the gold to the
Reserve Bank, or as prescribed, within one month after the gold comes into
the person’s possession or under the person’s control".
Section 43 says "all gold delivered in pursuance of section 42 shall
thereupon vest in the Reserve Bank absolutely, free from any mortgage,
charge, lien, trust or other interest in or affecting the gold". Section
44 says "the amount to be paid for any gold delivered in pursuance of
section 42 shall be an amount determined in accordance with such price as is
fixed and published by the Reserve Bank". Section 45(1) says "a
person shall not sell or otherwise dispose of gold to a person other than the
Reserve Bank or a person authorized in writing by the Reserve Bank to
purchase gold; and a person, other than the Reserve Bank or a person so
authorized, shall not buy or otherwise obtain gold from any person."
The Perth Mint cannot default on its allocated gold without breaking the
law. Gold Corporation and the Western Australia government can default on the
Perth Mint's UNallocated bullion certificates by using Perth Mint's
"force majeure" clause. Read all the fine print written on
the certificate, including: "The Perth Mint will not be liable or
responsible for delivery delays due to causes beyond its control."
There is no need for the Government of the day to have to rush new
legislation through that may attract public comment or opposition. All that
is required is the Governor-General to proclaim that Part IV shall come into
operation. The Governor-General is a figurehead role and is not elected. The
Governor-General may dismiss the Government, as it did on 11 November 1975. It
is therefore theoretically possible that the Governor-General could bring
Part IV into force against the wishes of the Government if he/she thought
that it was “expedient so to do, for the protection of the currency or
of the public credit of the Commonwealth” (Section 40(2))
Ironically, some people argue that Gold Confiscation won't apply to the Perth
Mint Certificates because these are just certificates. The government
confiscating gold wants the delivery of physical gold; not paper claims. As
far as iGolder is concerned, we will not chose between purchasing paper gold
nor having our physical gold stolen by the government. Instead, we will buy
and store our gold elsewhere.
Perth
Mint Problem #3: Socialist Government
The
Australian Government is running big deficits, and who knows what the next
elected government may do towards the Perth Mint. Runaway inflation will be a
worldwide problem, and the need to stabilize the currency will become a
priority. Will the government decide to bring Part IV into
force to address the issue of runaway inflation? At iGolder, we anticipate an
inflationary economic depression comparable in severity and scope to the
Great Depression of the 1930s. We created iGolder to provide stability and
prevent the division of labor from shrinking -
causing mass unemployment. Political stability is very important to us,
therefore it becomes strategic to store our gold in a country having respect
for private property (gold ownership). Politicians, craving for power, may
promise confiscating gold to resolve the financial crisis. Of course,
stealing the gold won't solve the problem, however it will probably buy a few
votes to get elected.
"Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for
lunch." (Benjamin Franklin). The scenario of a politician
promising to confiscate the gold belonging to foreigners cannot be discarded.
Our
Conclusion Regarding the Perth Mint Certificate Program
Given
all the problems listed above, iGolder does not consider prudent to purchase
Perth Mint Certificates for storing your gold. We welcome Australian
businesses, as long as they are not linked to the Government. No government
should be trusted. If you are relying on a government guarantee, you may
be relying upon a hollow promise. We encourage you to do your own due
diligence before purchasing Perth Mint Certificates.
Perth Mint
Problem #4: Australia's gold reserves are in doubt
Another
cause for concern with Perth Mint certificates is Australia's vanishing gold
reserves. In addition to selling nearly 200 tons of gold in the twenty years,
Australia's remaining 80 tonnes of gold are probably encumbered:
Finally we come to the USA Bloc. This is an amazing Table. All of
America’s closest allies are SOLD OUT. Australia claims to have
80 tonnes but it is probably encumbered. The UK may still have 312 tonnes
but, assuming it isn’t already encumbered, this Gold may be required to
obtain currency union with the Euro zone.
My reaction: The
whole point of owning gold is safety. Investing in gold in an unsafe way
negates this purpose. The four problems with Perth Mint are:
1) Perth Mint sells paper gold (Paper gold refers to any investment in
gold which can default). Certificates for unallocated gold (like those sold
by Perth Mint) are a mint’s equivalent of a bank’s certificates
of deposit (CDs), except they use gold instead of dollars (or paper other
currencies) and they don’t pay interest. When a bank/mint goes under,
the same thing happens to the holders of these certificates: they become
general creditors, with no lien/claim upon any portion of mint/bank’s
assets.
2) Australian law already has a mechanism in place to confiscation gold, by
requiring delivery of gold to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
3) The Australian Government is running big deficits
4) Australia's gold reserves are in doubt
Conclusion: Avoid Perth Mint gold certificates, especially for
unallocated gold (allocated gold is much safer, but still risky). There are
much better and safer alternatives for investing in gold.
Eric
de Carbonnel
Market Skeptics
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