Will Bolivia's mining strike lead to a higher silver price?

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Published : April 02nd, 2011
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Roman Baudzus writes --


It has been ten days since production at San Cristobal, Bolivia's largest silver mine, came to a standstill. Furious mine workers and their unions have demanded that management provide better working conditions and more reliable medical protection at the remote site, following the death of a miner early last month. The company's management and the unions are still at loggerheads. So far this situation has not negatively affected the world silver supply, although as of yesterday, exports have been halted.


As data published by the local authorities show, San Cristobal – located in the Bolivian Andes – produced 620,000 kilograms of silver in 2009. The mining company there is the third-biggest silver producer in the world. San Cristobal is also the sixth-largest zinc producing mine in the world. However, analysts at commodity markets say that even a shutdown of San Cristobal for a couple of months would not lead to silver shortages, despite the concerns of many investors and businesses. Since 2003 worldwide silver production has breached production records every year. Even if problems persist at the Bolivian mine, world production totals would be unlikely to fall.


The gold/silver-ratio has moved in favour of silver in the last couple of months. A large number of investors have seen silver as more affordable than gold – "the poor man's gold" living up to its name. Owing to this demand, precious metals traders in the United States and China have warned of supply shortages and bottlenecks. Many investors are very concerned about a currency devaluation race among leading nations. Policies pursued by the US central bank, the Federal Reserve (Fed) are eroding confidence in the dollar, leading many Americans to buy silver. Many Chinese are also purchasing silver as a hedge against rapidly rising prices. Demand for silver Exchanged Traded Funds (ETFs) has increased dramatically during the last years.


Bolivia's president Evo Morales has urged a quick solution to the labour problems at San Cristobal. Bolivia's tax revenues decline by $400,000 everyday the mine isn't operational. Morales is also increasingly unpopular in Bolivia. In the middle of February he had to hurriedly leave the Andean town Oruro after a furious mob set off dynamite explosions. The protests were sparked by rising food prices combined with government plans to end food subsidies. According to union leader Lugo, the government should actively intervene in the dispute between San Cristobal's workers and their management in order to force changes in managers' attitudes. Until a resolution to the dispute is found, silver and zinc exports from San Cristobal to the Chilean ports will continue to be on hold.








Goldmoney.com


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