The Bank of England's just released 2014 Annual
Report discloses that it was holding
5,485 tonnes of gold as a custodian, down 755 tonnes to around the level it was in 2011 and 2012. Below
is a chart of the data against the average gold price over the Bank's
financial year ending February, which shows that the amount of gold has
basically followed the gold price, very much like the behaviour
of the gold ETFs.
The table below details the figures and calculations back to 2005, when the
Bank first started reporting its custodial activities.
As
at Date
|
Allocated Gold (GBP billions)
|
London
PM Fix (GBP)
|
Allocated Gold (tonnes)
|
Year on Year Change (tonnes)
|
28/02/2005
|
29
|
226.514
|
3,982
|
|
28/02/2006
|
36
|
318.078
|
3,520
|
-462
|
28/02/2007
|
43
|
338.964
|
3,946
|
+425
|
28/02/2008
|
72
|
488.854
|
4,581
|
+635
|
28/02/2009
|
102
|
669.809
|
4,737
|
+155
|
28/02/2010
|
125
|
746.149
|
5,211
|
+474
|
28/02/2011
|
156
|
868.682
|
5,586
|
+375
|
28/02/2012
|
197
|
1110.484
|
5,518
|
-68
|
28/02/2013
|
210
|
1046.719
|
6,240
|
+722
|
28/02/2014
|
140
|
793.931
|
5,485
|
-755
|
In this June 2014 Quarterly Bulletin, the Bank reports on page 134 that 72 central banks hold gold with
them (which is 65% of the 113 central banks that the World Gold Council
records as having gold reserves). It also noted that the "Bank also
acts as a bank to certain other financial institutions. One example is
central counterparties". Included in that the latter group would be
the six London bullion market clearing banks. As it is unlikely that the Bank
runs allocated gold accounts for banks that are not central to the gold
market, it would be fair to conclude that the majority of the allocated gold
it holds is for central banks.
Given there was nowhere near 755 tonnes of central
bank selling in the year ending February 2014 it would therefore be fair to
conclude that this gold outflow was from the allocated accounts that bullion
banks had with the Bank of England. This is not surprising considering that
the major gold ETFs lost in excess of 600 tonnes
over that same period.
Just one final observation from World Gold Council central bank holdings
data: it wasn't until the year ending Q1 2010 that
central banks were net buyers. Prior to that they were net sellers (1,011t
for 4 years to March 2009), yet the table above shows customers of the Bank
of England adding to their holdings (753t for 4 years to February 2009). Now
if we remove central banks that most likely don't store with the Bank, this
1,011t net sell figure may change, but I doubt enough to turn it around to
anywhere near 753t of net buying. Tentative conclusion is that bullion banks
were accumulating a lot of allocated gold with the Bank of England.
Combining the above figures with detailed LBMA turnover figures, UK gold
import/exports, London ETF flows, and central bank activity is more work than
I have time for at the moment, but it certainly would give us a better
picture of the London gold market.