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There Goes Europe

IMG Auteur
Publié le 07 septembre 2015
818 mots - Temps de lecture : 2 - 3 minutes
( 25 votes, 4,7/5 ) , 5 commentaires
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T he desperate wish in what is loosely called the West to at least appear morally correct is unfortunately over-matched by the desperation of people fleeing unstable, overpopulated places outside the West, and it is a fiasco beyond even the events of the moment.

The refugee / immigrant crisis around the Mediterranean is a preview of a horror show to which there is no end in sight, and is certain to escalate. So anyone who indulges in fantasies about organizing an orderly, rational distribution of displaced persons for the current wave, is badly missing the point. Wave beyond wave awaits after the this one. And then what will the well-intentioned sentimentalists say? We wanted to do the right thing… we meant well… we cried when we saw the little boy dead on the beach….

Yes, the tragic intrusions of the US military in Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Syria, and elsewhere have been reckless and stupid. But that is not the whole story. The desert nations of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) have populations abnormally swollen by a century of oil-and-gas-based agriculture, really by the benefits of Modernity in general. Now that the oil age is chugging to an unruly crack-up, and Modernity with it, and the earth’s climate is doing wonky things, and the rich nations to the north have faked their finances to the point of bankruptcy, well, circumstances have changed.

In the years ahead, populations will be fleeing and shifting from many more unfavorable corners of the world. The pressures are mounting all over. Alas, the richer nations in which the fleeing poor aspire to gain a foothold, will also be contending with the disabling effects of a universal economic contraction — the winding down of the techno-industrial system and the global economy with it. That process has the potential to shatter political unions, overthrow established social orders, and provoke wars between the demoralized countries who still possess dangerous military hardware. At the least, it will produce economic conditions in Europe and North America probably worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s.

So, the idea that the nations currently bethinking themselves “rich” can take in, shelter, and employ the masses fleeing MENA (and elsewhere) is absurd. Somehow the people in charge, plus the intellectual classes who shape opinion and consensus, are going to have to arrive at some clear notion of limits and boundaries. It is actually happening in parts of Europe right now, extempore, where the immediate crisis is worst, for the moment in Italy, Greece, and Hungary — which first interned the refugees and then let them loose on the road to Vienna, probably only a way-station to Germany. Soon all nations across Europe will be agonizing, shucking, jiving, or improvising some sort of desperate response.

Among other confusions of policy and intention, the public “debate” so far does not make any distinction between true political refugees fleeing for their lives or economic migrants seeking to improve their prospects elsewhere. It is surely easy to empathize with both categories of persons, but that doesn’t mean you give up the control of your borders just to make yourself feel better. That is pretty much what has happened in the USA, where the Left, for political expediency, has deemed it indecent to call “illegal” immigrants what they are, and the Right has just been pusillanimous and hypocritical about it. Hence the unfiltered persona of Trump who, for all his titanic shortcomings, has at least managed to make his rivals look like the craven midgets they are.

Likewise, the rise of Marine LePen in France, Geert Wilders in Holland, and other parties seeking limits to immigration, perhaps even deportations. Personally, I reject the idea that it’s “racist” to want to preserve one’s national culture and character (especially in language), or to favor bona fide citizens for gainful employment. Europe has the additional obvious problem of an immigrant Islamic population overtly hostile to European culture and tradition. Why is it morally imperative for Europeans to countenance what amounts to low-grade warfare?

The situation that smoldered for decades is now exploding. Don’t expect to see any end to desperation and instability in MENA, but do expect new demographic crises out of other regions: Indonesia, Ukraine, Pakistan, West Africa, and Brazil, with its cratering economy. It’s not inconceivable that China might bust apart politically, with centrifugal consequences. The global economy is contracting. We have indeed attained the limits to growth. Cheap oil is bygone and the capital infrastructure we have won’t run on expensive oil — including the oil industry itself. New technology or further central bank legerdemain is not going to fix that. We’re in population overshoot and a scramble is underway to bail on the places that just can’t support the people who live there. National boundaries will be defended. Sentimentalists will have to step aside. History is not a bedtime story about bunnies and kittens.

Données et statistiques pour les pays mentionnés : France | Pakistan | Ukraine | Tous
Cours de l'or et de l'argent pour les pays mentionnés : France | Pakistan | Ukraine | Tous
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Fiat currencies are the problem. After reading the comments below I thought I had come to the wrong site. Gold and silver are forced upon nations even though no .gov likes it, the question is, who goes first ? War is not necessary unless the Martian landscape appeals. Ironically, we can now see hi res images of that desolate planet. Was "Mars" the God of war ?
The primary evidence supporting your contention is a nation's population before oil production and now.
It is just that simple.
Survival and growth require energy assets.
Those assets MUST be marketable.
It is from the market that all largess originates.
It is the largess that keeps a damper on social unrest.
Reduce the assets and/or their marketability and the former recipients of the largess must move on or perish.

Gypsy, I down arrowed you because it is NOT the bombing, but rather the loss of government largess.
That loss triggered the social unrest leading to the violence.
Nobody with any measure of perceived power willing gives up their wealth and the power it supports.
Non-producers will always feel the brunt of the attack on civility.

This has always been the outcome of distributing largess to non-producers.
Even wildlife professionals will tell you, "Don't feed the animals, you habituate them to hand-outs."
First, last and always, homo sapiens is an animal. It is only the threat of force that maintains civility towards outsiders.
Outsiders defined as not of our group, clan, family, profession, etc.

For all the USA readers, don't get smug.
This reality show is coming to a theater of operations near you all too soon.
I desperately hope I am wrong.
Evaluer :   0  1Note :   -1
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James, you're so politically incorrect, but honest.
I'll be forever grateful for your insights, and would vote you for President,
but why would anyone want to inherit the mess that is the US today.
We have so many discussions about what's wrong with the world, and
where it's headed. I agree, it won't be a bedtime story. I'm so sad for
the many decent folks in the US and Europe who will have to suck it up
for the benefit of the few extremely wealthy.
Evaluer :   1  0Note :   1
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James, you're misleading on this one. Those millions fleeing the Middle East are not running from the collapse of oil. Those millions are fleeing because their towns, neighborhoods and homes are being bombed to hell and there's no place to live. I agree that Greece and Hungary should not be part of the Refugee Solution ~ BECAUSE ~ the cause of the Refugee Problem lies right at the feet of those countries bombing the hell out of the Middle East. End the cause of the problem, stop bombing the hell out of their homes, and take those refugees who have lost their homes to the countries doing the bombing: Germany, England, the United States, Italy, France and on and on. Point out Libya and you can easily find the guilty parties.
Evaluer :   4  2Note :   2
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Great article James. My thoughts exactly.
What citizens in the west forget as they are whipped into a "we have to do something for these poor people" lather is that the large large numbers of predominantly economic migrants need to be housed and live in infrastructure which needs to be built (for them). And then there is the question of whether or not MOST will contribute to their new civilisation and simple take the benefits and live the relatively good life.
Western countries need to look at the long term effect on their own populations. Will cramming millions of unproductive people with morals and religious beliefs which may be toxic for an incumbent population ruin the future for our descendants? Maybe not. Will these people live in enclaves and refuse to assimilate? Maybe not. Will these people demand that we change our laws because they do not accept them? Maybe not. And eventually will these people grow in sufficient numbers and start internal dissent and eventually revolution? Maybe not. Personally I have seen the effects of Islam in a number of countries and I suggest that such a social experiment is scurrilous and that governments and the wealthy people who control them do not have the right to ruin a healthy nation.
Last.........why do 'refugees' bypass countries which are not proposperous? Tells a story.
Sadly it is the flavour of the month to accept wave after wave. Eventually even the do gooders and deadbeat governments will have to accept the reality: YOU SIMPLY CANNOT ALLOW IMPOVERISHED SOCIETIES TO PUSH THEIR WAY INTO YOUR COUNTRY AND THEN IMPOVERISH IT AND TAMPER WITH ITS SOCIAL ORDER AS WELL. And then the problems will really start.
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Fiat currencies are the problem. After reading the comments below I thought I had come to the wrong site. Gold and silver are forced upon nations even though no .gov likes it, the question is, who goes first ? War is not necessary unless the Martian land  Lire la suite
Cameron Waugh - 10/09/2015 à 11:02 GMT
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