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Your Take on the Recovery?

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Publié le 19 août 2013
231 mots - Temps de lecture : moins d'une minute
( 3 votes, 5/5 ) , 1 commentaire
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Here’s a perplexing new twist in the story of America’s supposed recovery from The Great Recession. While auto manufacturers can barely keep up with demand, sales at Wal-Mart, Macy’s and some other big retailers have gone flat. What’s going on here?  The easy explanation is that auto showrooms attract a different class of shopper, one with more discretionary income. Our take, however, is  that more than a few Wal-Mart shoppers who have cut back on non-essential purchases are in fact driving shiny new SUVs.

While this might seem paradoxical, there’s a simple explanation – namely, that even households that don’t have two nickels to rub together at the end of the month can easily qualify for a $40,000, five-year car loan. With interest rates as low as they are, especially for big-ticket items purchased on credit, the buy-now- pay-later engine of the U.S. economy is able to thrive even with real incomes stagnant and new employment coming mainly from minimum-wage jobs.

The Question of the Week is:  What’s your take on the recovery? Is it about to come to a screeching halt?  Did it ever really begin?  Will the economy ever return to “normal,” whatever that means? Are college grads doomed to live with their parents until they are 35 or older, like they do in Spain?  Anecdotes drawn from personal experience and the depressing lives of your neighbors are welcome.

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Don't overlook the new car leasing aspect. There are substantial tax advantages to vehicle leasing by businesses.
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There has been an economic paradigm shift and it is on-going. Daily the people get use to a new normalcy bias. This middle-class anomaly has about run its course.

Historically, the middle class was the merchants and manufacturers. Upper class was the aristocracy. The masses were peons, peasants and wage-slaves.
Only by gaming the system could we fabricate a make-believe middle class out of wage slaves. The game was exporting inflation.

Recovery? Say what? No recovery is possible. The economic pendulum has reached its highest point, reversed and is accelerating towards the bottom of the pit where we are located. Better keep your head down. Everyone is gonna get a hair-cut.
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But ... change offers opportunities. The question is, "Do you have the skills to take advantage of the new paradigm?" If you are only a one-trick pony, you better know the one trick that is in high demand and you'd better be the very best at it. I don't think I'd advise my grand-children to become investment counselors, bankers, bureaucrats or politicians.
The word for tomorrow is "cartage". It is commerce more than anything else that reduces conflict.
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Don't overlook the new car leasing aspect. There are substantial tax advantages to vehicle leasing by businesses. ----------------------- There has been an economic paradigm shift and it is on-going. Daily the people get use to a new normalcy bias. This  Lire la suite
overtheedge - 19/08/2013 à 20:57 GMT
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