James C. McShirley’s comment here below is a must
read.
The advent of computer generated trading algorithms heralded a
quantum leap forward in the quest for 24/7 control of markets. No longer were
humans beings required to do such unseemly things as man trading desks or
worry a whit if free markets were, if even infrequently, attempting to
function. Algo precision has made even the blackest of black swan events seem
to turn lily white in their utter non-eventfulness. No more significant Dow
or bond crashes, and best of all, no gold rallies exceeding (exactly) 1.00%,
or the occasional 2.00%. Algo sentinels now stand in a permanent state of
vigilance, keeping MOPE alive. (MOPE is what Jim Sinclair refers to as
"management of perspective economics".) Market manipulations and
control of gold trading are what I have documented now for over 15 years.
Many of these manipulations are well-worn, tried and true. Nearly all have
intensified over the past 3 years. It seems as if one could throw a dart on a
trading dartboard and hit an anomalous trading pattern nearly every time.
Even with that said, I was stunned to stumble on to the biggest trading
anomaly of all: the MOAMOPE - the mother of all management of perspective
economics.
MOAMOPE is quite simply the stunningly high percentage of lower
opens on the 6:00 PM silver access trade open. Perhaps some have noticed the
oddity in the form of a Kitco 3 day chart.
Look familiar? It should, it’s happened 621 times in the past 3 years.
Virtually every evening for the last 3 years at precisely 6:00
PM EST something very odd has happened: Comex silver offers swamped the bids
to the tune of a 3-10 cent decline. For this to happen for three consecutive
weeks would be strange. If it were to happen for three straight months it
would be bizarre. MOAMOPE can only describe when it occurs for three straight
years. It's a veritable Algopalooza! Silver has had a near-iron clamp imposed
on it commencing with the access trade reopen. How severe is this iron clamp?
From September 1, 2011 to the present, 621 out of the 744 6:00 PM access
trade opens have been lower. All manipulation denialists take note: that's an
astounding 83.5%.
Legitimate hedging? Yeah, right. Ya think maybe deep pockets with algo
sophistry?
The pattern is consistent, pervasive, and relentless. For 36
straight months not ONE month has had a greater number of higher opens than
lower. Amazingly 35 out of 36 were between 80-95% lower, and the lone outlier
"only" had 67% lower openings. The pattern was irrespective of
rising or falling silver prices. From January 1st to February 28th of 2012,
for example, silver rose $9.28, going from $27.86 to $37.12. That's a
whopping 33% gain! During that time, however, 34 out of 42, or 81% of the
6:00 PM access trade opens were lower. It was a bull market in silver in the
context of a raging bear market in access trade opens. The MOAMOPE was in all
its glory!
Selling the 5:30 PM access trade close MOC and then covering 2-4
minutes after the 6:00 PM reopen has been a license to print fiat money for
those willing to shadow cartel behavior. Even a 1-lot trade over 3 years
could have netted someone $70-100k on a measly 3 cent scalp. The unusually
high percentage of lower access opens is actually far worse than it looks,
since the few higher opens for the most part faded as the evening wore on.
The trend of lower silver access opens has actually accelerated
in 2014, with 134 lower openings vs. only 14 higher openings, a 90.5%
probability. More recently 80 out of the past 84 have been lower, with the
past 24 in a row having been lower. This despite silver being virtually
unchanged from January 1st to the present.
Only 14 higher openings in all of 2014 - with silver virtually unchanged from
Jan. 1!
There have also only been 4 significant gaps higher on the 6:00
access trade open since the beginning of 2013 - all of which quickly faded.
Why the lockdown on silver? Why such extreme treatment for a seemingly minor
commodity market? Why has silver been constantly bludgeoned to death with the
CME’s margin hammer? Why the silence on such blatant manipulation? The
only logical answer is that to NOT do it would be tantamount to disaster for
“the force”, or the “resolute sellers”, or whatever
the hell the polite crowd is calling it lately. Call me impolite, but I'll
just call it the MOAMOPE.
Time researching the MOAMOPE: 20+ hours.
Compensation: Zilch.
Satisfaction proving once more that manipulation denialists are disingenuous
phonies: Priceless.
A denialist reporting on gold and silver trading.
James C. McShirley
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