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While New York took the
gold price back up to $1,641.30 on Easter Monday it was India’s return
to the market that lifted it up from $1,618.3 over the weekend. Overnight
Asia lifted it up a further $7 to $1,648.70 ahead of London’s opening
today. The euro dropped from €1: $1.3150 to €1: $1.3082 while
this was happening. Today, gold Fixed it at $1,643.75 up $22 and in the euro
at €1,255.921 up €15 while the euro stood at €1: $1.3088
barely changed from Friday. Ahead of New York’s opening it stood at
$1,644.20 and in the euro €1,257.47 while the euro was at €1:
$1.3075.
Silver fell back to $31.71
down from $32.22 down a dollar. Ahead of New York’s opening it stood at
$31.57.
Gold (very
short-term)
Gold will
consolidate and try to rise, in New York today.
Silver (very
short-term)
Silver will
consolidate and try to rise, in New York today.
Price Drivers
With the Indian jewelers strike now over, the
pent-up demand it caused, started to show itself in international prices over
the weekend. Likewise with Chinese holidays out of the way we expect today to
show the full demand from Asia. Bear in mind that they see prices in their
own currencies and not in the U.S. dollar or euro and are unlikely to react
to any relatively minor western news.
What will have added impetus to gold demand is more
evidence of rising inflation in China. The Chinese and Indian people do not
have the same trust in government-issued money as evidenced by inflation. In
India it ‘appears’ now that the government will again back down
from imposing higher taxes on gold imports because of public pressure.
In India the government has voiced an opinion that
gold is not healthy for their economy so try, superficially, to discourage
gold investors, while in China the government is fully supportive of its
citizens buying gold. Indeed, it outlaws the export of gold. We are of the
opinion that the Chinese central bank, the People’s Bank of China,
through an outside agency are continuously acquiring gold locally and to some
extent from the world market for the purpose of increasing the gold content
of their enormous reserves. This is not ‘visible’ because it is
not in the interests of paying a market related price to disclose these
purchases for fear of driving prices up. [To follow our weekly commentary on
the Chinese and Indian gold markets, please subscribe to our newsletters at www.GoldForecaster.com and at www.SilverForecaster.com.] We
have begun to issue articles on the future of gold in the global monetary
system and comment on the Gold Standard. It is a five part series which
subscribers will get in full. Parts of them only will be issued to the
public. We believe that there will be considerable changes in the shape of
the global monetary system, which may even split in two and drastically
re-rate the value of the dollar on world currency markets.
Regards,
Julian D.W. Phillips
for the Gold & Silver Forecasters
Global Gold Price (1
ounce)
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Today
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1 day ago
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Franc
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Sf1,558.97
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Sf1,553.41
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US
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$1,698.22
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$1,691.80
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EU
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1,269.22
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€1,262.34
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India
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Rs.88,434.81
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Rs.88,591.11
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