I have pointed out earlier, gold is forming a possible short-term top. It
is on the verge of completing a bearish 'Head and Shoulder' pattern. The pattern
is confirmed if gold closes below $1220/oz. The downside pattern target for
this setup is $1138/oz.
If gold starts to rally and breaks out to the upside, then we should see the
$1396 level be reached based on technical analysis.
I will open a new long gold position when the time feels right. With technical
analysis strongly suggesting gold and silver have bottomed, New breakouts to
the upside in metals and mining stocks can be bought.
On the other hand, silver has formed an almost perfect cup and handle pattern
and has broken out of it. It has reached its first target objective; chances
are that silver will either consolidate or pullback after having met its target
or move up to $18.70/oz. levels, which is the pattern target of the 'Cup and
Handle' pattern formation. However, new buying is not advised at current levels
due to a poor risk-reward ratio.
If you have not read the post about what the Silver COT data is warning us
about be sure to read this short post: Click
Here
If we take a look and monitor the gold/silver ratio closely, recently, the
ratio had touched its resistance of the past 20 years. Every time the ratio
has returned from the resistance, the minimum it has retraced is to the levels
of 45.
There are no reasons to believe that it will be any different this time around.
Hypothetically, if gold were to remain at $1236/oz. and if the ratio corrects
to 45, silver will reach $27.5/oz., which is a 62% increase from current levels.
Hence, it is prudent to stay with silver for a better return compared to gold.
How to Trade Gold & Silver Conclusion:
Buying gold and silver offer different rate of returns to the investors. If
an investor is able to time both the precious metals, then the total returns
will be 'astronomically high' in the future.
My timing 'cycles' provide signals both for the short-term and the long-term.
The price action of both gold and silver along with my cycles have been showing
VERY strong "Cycle Skew", which I explain in detail in my book "Technical
Trading Mastery". This cycle skew is telling us that precious metals are
now in a strong uptrend and is another confirming indicator that support much
higher prices long term.
During the first half of a bull market trading price patterns and upside breakouts
tend to work very well. Because interest in the sector is growing and more
buyers continue to enter that market, price pattern breakouts are the last
chance to get a position before price has its next rally higher.
