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<p style="position:absolute;top:155px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft00"><b>Research Announcement: </b></p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:155px;left:364px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft01"><b>Moody's - APAC steelmakers’ profitability</b></p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:180px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft01"><b>takes a dive on coronavirus-led demand destruction</b></p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:216px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">Singapore, July 29, 2020 --</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:246px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft05">» Profitability set to drop 15% in the year to March 2021, following a 30% drop the previous year<br/>» Sales volumes will contract for the first time since 2015</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:312px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">Moody’s Investors Service says in a new report that the coronavirus-induced demand shock and</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:332px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">an inability to pass on elevated costs to customers will severely hit the profitability of Asia Pacific</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:351px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">steelmakers over the year to March 2021.<br/>“Unlike previous downturns that were prompted by supply gluts linked to large capacity increases,</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:401px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">the coronavirus-led downturn has caused demand destruction across major steel-user industries,”</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:421px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">says Laura Acres, a Managing Director in Moody's Corporate Finance Group.<br/>“We expect aggregate EBITDA-per-ton profitability of the nine rated Asia Pacific steelmakers will</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:470px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">decline 15% in the 12 months to March 2021 after falling 30% a year earlier, underpinning our</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:490px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">continued negative outlook for the sector,” adds Kaustubh Chaubal, a Moody's Vice President and</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:509px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">Senior Credit Officer.<br/>Prices of iron ore, the main steelmaking material, will stay high over the next 12 months, as rising</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:559px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">coronavirus infections in leading iron-ore producer Brazil (Ba2 stable) signal potential supply</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:579px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">disruptions. Iron ore is now trading at 3.0x the level during the last downturn in January 2016.<br/>Meanwhile, plummeting automaker demand and weakness in the construction, infrastructure and</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:628px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">shipbuilding sectors will result in sales volumes contracting for the first time since 2015. Sales</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:648px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">volumes will fall by mid-single digits in Korea (Aa2 stable) and Australia (Aaa stable), high single-</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:667px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">digits in India (Baa3 negative) and by a midteen percentage in Japan (A1 stable). China’s (A1 stable)</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:687px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">demand, however, will fall only marginally given government support measures for infrastructure</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:706px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">construction.<br/>The impact of the downturn will vary by steelmaker, with China Baowu Steel Goup Corporation</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:756px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">Limited (A3 stable), POSCO (Baa1 stable) and BlueScope Steel Limited (Baa3 stable) benefiting</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:776px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">from strong financial profiles and sizeable cash buffers. The three are also industry leaders in their</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:795px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">home markets. These strengths, reflected in their stable outlooks amid a broader negative industry</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:815px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft06">outlook, signal their ability to cope with the challenges.<br/>Subscribers can access the report “Steel - Asia Pacific: Sharp profitability decline on</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:865px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">virus-wrought demand destruction keeps outlook negative” at: </p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:865px;left:542px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft04">http://www.moodys.com/</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:884px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft04">researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1225464</p>
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<p style="position:absolute;top:573px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:592px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:612px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:631px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:651px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:670px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft07">any form of security that is available to retail investors.<br/>Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:713px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc.,</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:732px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:752px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:771px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">(“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:791px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:810px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:830px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:849px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft07">are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.<br/>MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:892px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:911px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:931px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:950px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft07">from JPY125,000 to approximately JPY250,000,000.<br/>MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory</p>
<p style="position:absolute;top:993px;left:108px;white-space:nowrap" class="ft02">requirements.</p>
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