|
First
of all, what are bank reserves? Bank reserves are cash -- literally dollar
bills -- held in vaults or held as a deposit with the Fed, as an electronic register.
Before the Fed's automated system, all bank reserves were cash, as in literal
paper banknotes. Before 1940 or so, banks commonly used very large
denomination bills as bank reserves.
Yes, this is a real banknote. It is not a counterfeit or joke. At the time
(1934), the dollar was worth $35/oz. So, this was equivalent in value to
2,857 ounces of gold, or about $4 million today.
What did banks do with these huge banknotes? Obviously, they weren't for
buying coffee and a doughnut. They were used to pay other banks.
What happens when you pay for something with a check or credit card? What
happens is that your bank actually pays the bill, with real money, i.e. base
money. This is done on a net basis. For example, let's say that at the end of
the day, 56,674 customers of Bank A want to pay a total of $67,334,392 to
customers of Bank B, using checks, credit cards, debit cards, wire transfers
and the like. However, at the same time, 32,336 customers of Bank B want to
pay $53,223,956 to customers of Bank A. The two banks come together at the
end of the day and say: "I owe you $67,334,392 and you owe me
$53,223,956. Let's net it out, so that I pay you $14,110,436." This is
what actually happens, every day. And how did Bank A pay this money to Bank
B? With those $100,000 bills you see above. Yes, real money crossing the
counter. Today, this is done electronically, using the Fed's bank reserve
system. Bank A's reserves are reduced and Bank B's reserves are increased.
However, if a bank wanted to convert its Fed-registered bank reserves to
paper money at any time, it could do so. The Fed can do this without
borrowing the money from somewhere else, because it can print the money. So,
the electronic bank reserves are effectively another "denomination"
of banknote, convertible just as you can convert $10 bills and $20 bills with
the Fed.
Another potential use for bank reserves is if the bank's lenders want to be
repaid. A bank will typically borrow lots of money at short maturity. These
are demand deposits, of course, but also lending of all sorts including CDs,
straight bonds, overnight interbank lending, etc.
March 23, 2008: How Banks Work 7: the Lender of Last Resort
March 16, 2008: How Banks Work 6: Liquidy Crises
and Bank Runs
March 9, 2008: How Banks Work 5: Selling Loans
February 24, 2008: How Banks Work 4: Banks and the Economy
February 17, 2008: How Banks Work 3: More Elephant Poop
February 10, 2008: How Banks Work 2: Shitting
Like an Elephant
February 3, 2008: How Banks Work
All of these obligations need to be met, or the bank faces bankruptcy. All of
these obligations need to be met with real base money, so the bank needs to
have some real base money on hand, namely the bank reserves.
Before the Federal Reserve was introduced, banks typically held a rather
large portion of their assets in the form of bank reserves, i.e. base money,
i.e. "cash." This ratio was often around 10%, although it varied
depending on individual banks' management decisions.
Here's a chart of the deposit/reserve ratio of U.S. banks from 1867 to 1960.
The data is from Milton Friedman. This is a bit of an odd representation. We
could just as well show a ratio of reserves as a percentage of deposits. I think this makes a little more sense.
First
of all, these are deposits, not all liabilities. Banks today do a lot of
non-deposit funding. It would be more illustrative to have a ratio of
reserves to total liabilities. However, in those days it was more common to
have near-100% deposit funding.
Anyway, the point of this is that banks sometimes hold huge reserves (think
of a big stack of $20 bills), and sometimes they don't. Bank reserves don't
pay interest, so there is a natural incentive to minimize reserve holdings.
On the other hand, going bankrupt is sort of a bummer too, so banks don't
want to be caught with too few reserves.
We start this series in 1867, with immense reserves. Banks aren't making a
lot of loans, they are just sitting on cash. Why? Well, this is the aftermath
of the Civil War so maybe banks are a little gun-shy. However, as the good
times roll, banks hold fewer reserves. The reserve ratio is still pretty high
though, around 10%-15%.
During the 1930s, there is another big burst in reserve holdings. Once again,
banks are holding lots of cash, and maybe not making so many loans. There are
a few reasons why banks do this. One: during times of financial stress, banks
may not be able to borrow money. So they have to keep more cash around. Just
like you: if you don't have a credit card, you have to carry more money in
your wallet. Second, sometimes it is quite difficult to find a borrower who
can be expected to pay the money back with interest. The risk-adjusted rate
of interest (i.e. net of default risk) is near-zero. So what's the point?
Banks just hold cash instead. Also, they are probably paying nothing or
nearly-nothing on their deposits, so there is not so much of a problem with a
negative spread.
I think that is enough for today. We will continue our discussion of bank
reserve holdings later.
Nathan
Lewis
|
|