|
A theme of frequent
mention has been the Paradigm Shift in the financial world. It refers more
specifically to the global shift away from a USDollar-centric alignment. The
major industrialized nations of the world, along with major energy producers,
struggle to develop a monetary and commercial system that is not based upon
the crippled fraudulent bloated USDollar. The challenge is daunting, since
expertise on financial structures, even in an honest legitimate fashion, is
somewhat lacking outside the Anglo world. Changes indeed come. Many observers, investors, and
participants in the global economic and financial world who had held firm to
much hope of bonafide structural improvements and of improved prices in
valuable unblemished assets find themselves slowly fading in that hope.
Many less sophisticated people, who are involved in stifled investments and
who observe the constant shenanigans afoot, point to the landscape as simply
not changing much. Great discouragement comes when the system failed, yet no
important substantial alterations took place to the power structure or the
foundational structure to the system. Desperation to maintain both the system
and the power merchants is evident. The controlled financial press is a
subtle weapon. Many point to price levels of their favorite or most respected
assets or indexes, and conclude not much has changed. Many point to the
incessant stream of deceptive economic assessments about a fictitious
recovery, like Green Shoot nonsense, like Jobless Recovery contradictions,
like Second Half Recovery that never arrives. Many point to the same old same
old in legislation that favors those entrenched with power, like the wealthy
tax cuts certain to see extension. In many respects, the appearance of
sameness is prevalent.
Indeed, some elements
like a cancer remain in place. The USGovt financial ministries are still
dominated by Goldman Sachs, despite their primary role in the death of the US
banking system in October 2008, despite their primary role in the looting of
Fort Knox gold during the Rubin Era, despite their culpability in civil
lawsuits over mortgage bond fraud laced with conflict of interest, and
despite their high frequency insider trading tool being stolen and outed
(covered up by the FBI). The gold & silver market is still weighed down
by naked shorting and concentrated non-economic positions by the Big Four
banks. The exchange traded funds remain in widespread usage, promoted heavily.
The USDept Treasury is still flooding the bond market with supply without any
evidence of bond vigilantes to keep the bond yield from falling. The endless
wars overseas for private gain still march to the beating drums. The New York
Stock Exchange still benefits from the regular and frequent lifts by the
Working Group for Financial Markets (aka Plunge Protection Team). The
lobbyists still write the USCongress legislation, the latest being the
Financial Regulatory Bill that bears an 82% opposite correlation to its
original motivation and intention, thus solidifying the banker control and
neutralizing the threat of independent audit at the US Federal Reserve.
Original motives have no bearing on final legislation. The bond fraud kings
from Wall Street remain outside the prison inmate system and orange jumpsuit
attire, a benefit of controlling the USGovt financial, regulatory, and legal
apparatus. All convictions of financial fraud in the last 15 years have
befallen fraud kings residing outside Manhattan. Sure, it seems that nothing
changes in the polluted landscape that shows vast contamination of the
American urban jungle where banksters ply their trade.
SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES LOCKED IN
Great changes have taken place, important changes,
powerful changes, clues of much deeper systemic change that is part &
parcel not only to a Paradigm Shift away from the USDollar, but also to
significant changes to inner workings, levers, cables, platforms, scaffolds,
communications lines, and other structural equipment that control the
American financial system from the elite helm. The United States, United Kingdom, and Europe have seen great changes
worthy of direct and specific identification. No turning back from these
changes, as the machinery is fast failing. Collectively, they indicate the
Powerz are actually losing control in crucial ways. Public angst and anger
has given way to struggle to survive, both financially and in more tangible
terms. See the 21% actual jobless rate (ref Shadow Govt Statistics) and the
Food Stamp program, where 12% of Americans are on the bread line. My claim of
Third World and its advent to the United States must seem a stretch to some,
but only to those who lack comprehension of its definition and traits. The latest telltale Third World signs are
commitment to hyper-inflation, ruination of the southern ecosystem, endless
war profiteering, challenges to investment bankers, and regulatory
legislation written by the bankers. No great detail will be offered in
the following lengthy list of significant changes to the complexion and
control towers of all things American. The sheer volume of the list
contradicts the baseless claim of no change. As my key banker source likes to
say, "Things are breaking
progressively in important places. Those in power are being pushed onto their
own swords." Unlike the hollow presidential promises, these are
changes that gold investors can believe in. Some semblance of order is given,
ranked by impact and importance. Details on all these topics can be found in
the Hat Trick Letter reports. None existed 12 months ago. The 0% rate is
stuck perhaps permanently. The monetization will resume in powerful form,
again stuck perhaps permanently. The financial and monetary systems are
broken and require permanent props and supports, a tragedy in progress
without proper recognition. THEY ALL MEAN ONE THING CLEARLY: MUCH HIGHER GOLD PRICES DIRECTLY
AHEAD!!!
HOUSING DECLINE &
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURES
Almost 50 thousand
homes per month are being seized by bankers in the foreclosure process. In
just five years, the Bush Ownership Society has turned into the American
Tragedy, thanks to predatory loans, job loss, and foreclosures. The big
difference in the last year has been the flood of REO (real estate owned) by
bankers. This flood aggravates the already significant inventory glut of
unsold homes. With the end of the band-aid tied to the home buyer tax credit,
it is back to Supply vs Demand in the housing market. The price direction is
down, in a resumption of the bear market decline that took a pause. As
bankers grow weary of carrying dead loans and homes that sport negative
equity, they will unload their inventory on the housing market. Meanwhile,
the appraisal process serves as the bridge between the wreckage of bank
sponsored foreclosures and short sales (sale price below seller's equity
stake), as that process pulls down sale prices and forces the abort button to
many contracts in progress. The REO
home inventory was not a factor one year ago, but now it pressures home
prices downward. The housing market resumed decline will put tremendous
pressure to maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) for home loan demand purposes.
The degradation assures further bank losses that will put great pressure to
keep the presses running in bond monetization (QE2), both of which will force
the gold price to $2000, all in time.
SOVEREIGN
DEBT UNMASKED AS BAD PAPER
In the wake of the
Greek Govt debt massacre, bank losses, squabbles over rescue packages, and
inability to rectify the fiscal ship of state, the end effect is recognition
of numerous nations being in similar dire straits. Spain is stuck in the deep
throes of a banking crisis, and has no functioning banking system right here
& now. It is surely next in line for crisis focal point. Astute financial
analysts point out how the United States sovereign debt resembles the PIGS
nations very closely (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain). But the US is granted
a pass by virtue of the Printing Pre$$ that its banking leaders abuse to the
hilt, with all its privileges in mammoth fraud schemes (see Wall Street, AIG,
Fannie Mae) and blatant counterfeit programs (see USTreasury excess issuance,
Fannie Mae excess issuance, CIA $100 bill production). The frequency of
failed government debt security auctions in Europe is no longer an isolated
event (see Germany, Spain, England). The
sovereign debt declines and defaults were not a factor one year ago, but now
they pressure all government debt downward except the USTreasurys. The
explosion of USGovt deficits will put tremendous pressure to maintain a 0%
interest rate (ZIRP) for borrowing cost purposes. The explosion of deficits
will keep the presses running in bond monetization (QE2), both of which will
force the gold price to $2000, all in time.
GOLD VIEWED AS
CURRENCY
As the sovereign bond
chapter continues to be written in the financial crisis bound volume, a clear
practical and perceptual change has occurred regarding gold. Gold is widely seen and mentioned as a
safe haven asset, a reserve asset, and an effective asset that avoids
counter-party risk as well as any debt obligation. The USTreasurys
have long served as the safe haven asset, but that is changing, while USGovt
deficits strain the federal debt limit, crush the bond auction process, and
kill off some primary bond dealers. The outsized debt securitization supply
crowds out investment capital for actual growth, a great surprise to ruling
US economists. The mere volume of USGovt deficits and debt issuance is mind
numbing. All major industrial nations, including China, are dealing with huge
debts, damaging asset bubbles in retreat, and strains to labor markets. The view of gold as a currency and
reserve asset was not a factor one year ago, but now it pressures the gold
price upward in direct competition with the USTreasurys. The explosion of
all major nations in debt production (led by the USGovt) will put tremendous
pressure to maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) for borrowing cost purposes,
with gold the clear winner during broad currency debasement. Gold will
continue to benefit as the monetary presses keep running full tilt during
monetization (QE2), both of which will force the gold price to $2000, all in
time.
LONDON METALS EXCHANGE
STRAIN
Significant numbers of
gold futures contracts have settled in cash in London since December. Often
the event occurs with a 25% cash bonus incentive. Stories are widespread of
gold bullion being borrowed by London from the SPDR exchange traded fund
vaults, known by symbol GLD. Also, London short gold futures contracts have
routinely been satisfied by GLD shares, a double-sided dirty debauchery of
the fund itself. But then again, that is how it was designed. Some recent
stories of thefts at the LBMA inventory warehouses have sprung up. The public
is being set up in my opinion for a cover story of huge proportions, a false
story. They must shield the truth of absent gold & silver supply in
inventory. Any story that brings attention to absent inventory supply will
aid the gold & silver prices, whether true or not. Whether from theft or
huge delivery demand, no matter. Either way, the delivery of gold &
silver from the LBMA and COMEX has never been greater, demanded by contract
holders. Even the Bank For Intl Settlements has entered the picture, with a
mammoth Gold Swap of highly suspicious origin and unstated motive. The gold
shortage at bullion banks and the metals exchanges is acute. The dry London gold inventory and
extreme pressure to drain the London metals exchange were not a factor one
year ago, but now the gold price is pressured upward from pure shortage
standpoint. Demand for gold will
continue in direct response to the monetary presses that keep running full
tilt during monetization (QE2), which will force the gold price to $2000, all
in time.
ZIRP & QE ARE
PERMANENT FIXTURES
The Jackass has consistently found the
claims of an Exit Strategy away from 0% (Zero Interest Rate Policy) to be
laughable, full of deception, and an utter impossibility. The steady public
statements by USFed Chairman Bernanke were merely for crowd control, shaping
perceptions, and maintenance of the USTreasury bubble. The man is sweating
bullets over the failure of the Printing Pre$$ under his tenure. It is the
last asset bubble, all of which have broken. The USTBond bubble might not
break, but extreme measures to support it will surely break the USDollar as
alter ego. The Jackass consistently found the claims of an end to the
Quantitative Easing (QE) to be laughable, full of deception, and an utter
impossibility. They must maintain via vast monetization the USTreasury
bubble. It has lost its foreign buyers at the bid, led by China. The
impoverished wounded US-based financial institutions lack the wealthy
standing necessary to bid up USTreasurys. The main tools to produce USTBond
demand are stock declines and Printing Pre$$ operations, poorly hidden
monetization efforts. The permanence
of ZIRP & QE were not a factor one year ago, but now the tandem (epitaph
on the USDollar tombstone) pressures the gold price upward from zero cost of
money and undermine of currency. Demand for gold will continue while the
monetary presses keep running full tilt within the 0% climate (ZIRP) and
during monetization (QE2) initiatives, which will force the gold price to
$2000, all in time.
RECESSION AFTER 0%
Never in US history has a recession
struck after several extended months of emergency ultra-low interest rates.
This will be the first such occurrence. The policy response from the USFed
must therefore be limited. They cannot reduce the official interest rate,
unless below 0% (which did happen briefly in Japan). The nation stands on the
doorstep of hyper-inflation. The only available tool within the USFed toolbag
is Printing Pre$$ activity, pure monetization of both USTreasurys and
USAgency Mortgage Bonds. The inventive USFed will probably find new assets to
monetize during dire conditions, all for the national good. The risk is
extreme of leakage of the new tainted voluminous money into the mainstream.
Be sure that the true economic growth figures (see GDP) will continue to be
2% to 3% below the official doctored GDP figures produced by the fiction
laboratories at the USGovt. The lost commitment for USGovt stimulus will be
reluctantly revived, at great cost. The
galloping storm of recession under the dark cloud of 0% rates was not a
factor one year ago, but rather the deception of Green Shoots in recovery
(from charred scorched landscape). The economic recession will put
tremendous pressure to maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) for economic
stimulus purposes. The distress and sluggishness will put great pressure to
keep the presses running in bond monetization (QE2) as bank losses mount,
both of which will force the gold price to $2000, all in time.
10-YEAR USTREASURY YIELD UNDER 3%
Low bond yields are a typical incentive
to purchase gold. What can financial advisors promise for investors of
USTBonds in the next year, a move to 2%? Credit must be given to JPMorgan for
its powerful usage of Interest Rate Swaps for pushing down long-term rates to
3% since the USGovt deficits spiraled out of control. Great bond supply was
accompanied by a bond rally. But the USTBond has been exposed as a dangerous
ominous over-arching asset bubble, with less likely investment returns, angry
creditors in retreat (see China), and worrisome fundamentals. Gold thrives
with low USTreasury yields across its spectrum of maturities. The pitifully low USTreasury yield was
not a factor one year ago, but now its exposure as a bubble is profound and
dangerous. The measly low bond yields will put tremendous pressure to
maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) for structural reasons. The lack of buyers
into a bubble asset will put great pressure to keep the presses running in
bond monetization (QE2), both of which will force the gold price to $2000, all
in time.
FDIC
WARNING OF NEW WAVE, LED BY CRE
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp has
recently warned that the bank failures are nowhere finished. They expect
perhaps 1000 more banks to fail. The principal proximal aggravation is
commercial real estate property loans. The acid from residential loan losses
remains a permanent drip on the bank balance sheets. The Commercial Real
Estate (CRE) sector is the latest edifice to collapse, taking a huge toll on
banks, which prefer the myth of extending terms while pretending that
redemption cometh. It will not. They live a fantasy world that avoids honest
accounting. Home loans, CRE loans, and Option ARM loans each carry a
different type of acid that destroys the banks. The FDIC chronic loss from unending bank failures was not a factor
one year ago, but now it forces usage finally of a gigantic credit request
from the USDept Treasury. The bank failure skein will put tremendous
pressure to maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) for the purpose of helping the
Extend & Pretend lunatic practice. The failures will put great pressure
to keep the presses running in bond monetization (QE2) from the FDIC deficit
component, both of which will force the gold price to $2000, all in time.
MERS
& STRUCTURAL MORTGAGE DEFAULTS
The Mortgage Electronic
Registration Systems (MERS) is a property title database turned hostile on
its inventors, the Wall Street bond fraud kings. MERS has zero legal standing
in a string of state court cases. MERS has proven to be the point of extreme
legal vulnerability for corrupt Wall Street fraud kings. Title transfer
through the MERS database cannot be executed in the displacement of
homeowners in the foreclosure process. Therefore, home mortgage owners are
legally permitted to defy the banks, not make the monthly payments, and
remain in their homes without fear of foreclosure and removal. Enter Civil
Disobedience. The
MERS vulnerability was not a factor one year ago, but now it has exposed a
banking balance sheet hemorrhage without end.
The need to relieve homeowners will put tremendous pressure to maintain a 0%
interest rate (ZIRP) for home loan demand purposes that support prices. The
bank loss hemorrhage will put great pressure to keep the presses running in
bond monetization (QE2), both of which will force the gold price to $2000,
all in time.
JPMORGAN
& GOLDMAN SACHS OUTED
The Maguire story before the USCongress
concerning the regular, frequent, constant silver price manipulation,
suppression, and control of the silver market was a game changer. He was
actually invited for testimony, a double shock. Great pressures have come to
the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, but its head Gary Gensler is of
Goldman Sachs pedigree. He turns a blind eye and deaf ear. The civil lawsuits
against Goldman Sachs in recent bond fraud and misrepresentation cases added
to the game changer effect. GSax settled the case, paid a hefty fine,
admitted no guilt, and continued its corrupt ways. However, in the process,
tomatoes and eggs have been found on the logos of the venerable crime
syndicate titans, along with the faces of Jamie Dimon and Lloyd Blankfein.
Perhaps a legal precedent has been set. Regardless, target practice has begun
at a time when Interpol has been working on the ground with full subpoena
power granted by President Obama since January 2010. The legal challenge to the JPM/GS twin pillars was not a factor one
year ago, but now it pressures the integrity of the USTreasurys &
USDollar. Great pressure will continue to permit them to operate the
USDollar presses running parallel to the bond monetization (QE2), which will
force the gold price to $2000, all in time.
CITY & STATE BUST
State budget shortfalls have been
scattered among the financial pages for a long time. California has been the
poster boy on the state milk carton. New Jersey, New York, and Illinois are
also featured on their fair share of milk cartons. State projects, standard
police and teacher staffs, routine maintenance from basic services, and
recently pension obligations have been the source of great distress. Funding
various state programs and systems has become a festering wound, a veritable
impossibility. Contractors go unpaid as accounts receivable mount. While the
USCongress is dominated by Wall Street fraud kings and Pentagon war machinery
technicians, almost no time, no attention, and no funds can be directed to
Main Street. The syndicate leaders have their priorities, and the people are
NOT included. Any state aid that comes as handouts, either by plan or by
accident, will exacerbate the USGovt deficit. The imminent point of state financial breakdown was not a factor one
year ago, but now it pressures USGovt for federal aid and soon. The
nationwide distress will put great pressure to keep the presses running in
bond monetization (QE2) to cover any aid, which will force the gold price to
$2000, all in time.
GULF
OF MEXICO CATASTROPHE
Late April saw a tragic event. It has
been called an accident. It has been labeled an example of ineptitude of
regulators. It has been called the result of corruption at the office of
Mining & Minerals Service. It has far too many international angles on
motive to ignore. Its impact on the Gulf of Mexico ecosystem, fishing
industry, and tourism is devastating and under study. Its impact on the Gulf
Stream that affects the Atlantic Ocean could be much worse than officials
currently anticipate. The damage done to the USEconomy along the southern
shores will surely be very deep. The intangible damage is unspeakable, to the
image of US leadership, to their response management, to the image of
corporate integrity, and to the amplified image of a Third World nation. The British Petroleum oil volcano,
complete with methane, benzene, and hydrogen sulfide (typical of volcanoes)
was not a factor one year ago, but now it pressures the USEconomy badly with
further deterioration. The obscene drag on the coastal economy will put
tremendous pressure to maintain a 0% interest rate (ZIRP) as the least
effective ointment. The decline will put great pressure on survival, leading
to gold demand amidst catastrophe, which will force the gold price to $2000,
all in time.
CROP FAILURES & AGRICULTURAL STRAINS
For years the weather patterns worldwide
have been stable and favorable. For years the world grain markets have
operated with JIT (Just in Time) inventories. Reserve stocks have been on the
low end compared to past historical data. However, times are changing. For
the first time in years, dreaded drought has struck in a great many
locations, such as Eastern Europe, the usual suspect places, but also to some
extent the Midwest United States. The consequent impact could be explosive.
The deception on US agricultural output and storage silo data has been a hot
topic, aggravated by chronic lies put to paper by the USGovt. They wish to avoid
a food price surge. The delicate situation in progress could play out very
dangerously. Use your imagination against a backdrop of what is widely called
a repeat of The Great Train Robbery (1972). California has dealt with the
strain of water shortages for seven years. Next comes the toxin from the Gulf
of Mexico, whose water will include Corexit (the toxic oil dispersant) along
with basic petroleum ingredients (toxic too). Crops along with Southern Gulf
Coast are already peppered and pocked with blemishes from toxic rain. And
tainted fish products has not even been mentioned. The food supply shortages challenge was not a factor one year ago,
but now it pressures to lift food prices. The decline will put great
pressure on survival, leading to gold demand amidst catastrophe, which will
force the gold price to $2000, all in time. (Thanks for contributions from a
subscriber and friend, who has owned and managed corn belt farmland for
decades.)
MANDY DRURY ON CNBC
Australia
is well known for strong commodity supply and tangible asset investment
opportunity. Since the spring months, the US financial flagship has featured
a true Aussie asset. Mandy Drury is one of the smartest talking heads on the
CNBC channel, except she brings much more to the table. The Constant Nonsense
Bullshxx & Crapp showtime production offers indefatigable Wall Street
propaganda, a steady stream of failed bankers bearing shallow apologetics,
clear bias toward the fiat monetary system, endless drivel on attractive
stock prices, blatant bias against all things gold, tight control of content
by Wall Street sponsors, and lunchtime lessons on high speed trading
addiction. Only one in ten guests has a clue. But Mandy brings much appeal,
with the sound off, or with the sound on. The
Mandy factor was not present one year ago, but now it fosters viewer demand.
If truth be known, Mandy loves gold. Viewers like gold jewelry adorning her
neckline. She enhances viewer satisfaction. She once stated she thought the
gold price would reach $1500 per ounce in the not too distant future. She was
promptly reprimanded. She used to wear lower cut blouses, but she was
reprimanded for that too. She looks great in blue, or any other color. Her
accent is enchanting.
Jim Willie CB
Home : Golden Jackass website
Subscribe: Hat Trick Letter
Jim Willie CB is the editor of the “HAT TRICK
LETTER”
Use the above
link to subscribe to the paid research reports, which include coverage of
several smallcap companies positioned to rise during the ongoing panicky
attempt to sustain an unsustainable system burdened by numerous imbalances
aggravated by global village forces. An historically unprecedented mess has
been created by compromised central bankers and inept economic advisors,
whose interference has irreversibly altered and damaged the world financial
system, urgently pushed after the removed anchor of money to gold. Analysis
features Gold, Crude Oil, USDollar, Treasury bonds, and inter-market dynamics
with the US Economy and US
Federal Reserve monetary policy.
THE HAT TRICK LETTER PROFITS IN THE CURRENT
CRISIS.
From subscribers and readers:
At least 30 recently on correct
forecasts regarding the bailout parade, numerous nationalization deals such
as for Fannie Mae and the grand Mortgage Rescue.
"I think that your newsletter is
brilliant. It will also be an excellent chronicle of these times for future
researchers."
(PeterC in England)
"I have been a futures trader for
over 30 years and have subscribed to numerous investment newsletters over the
years. Your newsletter is the one I have subscribed to for the longest period
of time and have gotten the most value from."
(DebraS in Kansas)
"Thanks for the quality of the information you put forth in your
newsletter. I read a lot of newsletters, blogs, and financial sites. The
accuracy of your information has been second to none over the past couple of
years."
(MikeP in Missouri)
Jim Willie CB is a statistical analyst in marketing
research and retail forecasting. He holds a PhD in Statistics.
His career has stretched over 24 years. He aspires to thrive in the financial
editor world, unencumbered by the limitations of economic credentials. Visit
his free website to find articles from topflight authors at www.GoldenJackass.com . For personal
questions about subscriptions, contact him at JimWillieCB@aol.com
|
|