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What a City With Driverless Cars Will Look Like (In 10 Years or Less)

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Publié le 26 juillet 2016
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SUIVRE : Silicon Valley
Rubrique : Editoriaux

My vision of driverless trucks and taxis within the time frame of six to eight years looks downright feeble to that of Chris Dixon, a partner at prestigious Silicon Valley investment firm Andreessen Horowitz.

Not only does Horowitz see things happening faster than I do, he envisions entire cities totally driverless within ten years.

Tech Insider reports A top Silicon Valley investor predicts what the world will look like in 10 years, when roads are full of self-driving cars.

Within ten years, roads will be full of driverless cars. Maybe within two, depending on where you’re driving.

That’s what Chris Dixon, a partner at prestigious Silicon Valley investment firm Andreessen Horowitz believes.

Dixon Predictions

  • In about 2 years, you’ll be chauffeured around in driverless cars on highways.
  • Regulations will change quickly because of a global autonomous race.
  • “At some point, it will be seen as a national priority to be ahead in self-driving cars,” similar to the space race of the 1960s.
  • Entire cities will flip from drivers to driverless all at once, and they’ll change how we live and commute.
  • Within 10 years, we won’t own cars, we’ll just hail them.
  • The real hold up on driverless cars isn’t technology — it’s all of us

Driverless Car City

24hGold -  What a City With Dr...

Before dismissing Dixon’s view as ridiculous, please read the article.

Mish vs. Dixon

My vision is that driverless trucks will displace millions of long-haul truck drivers in a six to eight year time frame. Dixon takes my rather simplistic vision multiple levels further.

I think Dixon is ahead of things time-wise, perhaps way ahead. Yet, I propose he is far closer to the mark than those who think my comparatively modest vision is decades away.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

 

Source : mishtalk.com
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Driverless cars are a stupid idea.
Components will fail.
Computer systems could be hacked and the vehicle caused to do whatever.
Whether the systems are foolproof or not, drivers would become complacent and incompetent.

There is if course, no such thing as a foolproof system of any kind for any purpose.
Cars operate at close quarters, unlike an aircraft which always has large separation from conflicting traffic or terrain. There is no way I'd be prepared to travel in anything not subject to properly trained and qualified human oversight.
The underlying presumptions are preposterous.
I have rarely heard a more insane proposition.

Regards,

Louis Solomoms
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Driverless cars are a stupid idea. Components will fail. Computer systems could be hacked and the vehicle caused to do whatever. Whether the systems are foolproof or not, drivers would become complacent and incompetent. There is if course, no such thing  Lire la suite
Louis Solomons - 26/07/2016 à 12:56 GMT
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